Vejle’s five-game winning streak against Silkeborg, ending 3-0, fuels a narrative of home dominance, yet the model still favours an away win with a 54% probability. The draw and home win chances each sit at 23%. The expected goal tally is 3.5, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 9.8% chance. Vejle, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded; Silkeborg, away, averages 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (93.6%), Away +2 handicap (89.8% but a 14% edge), Away over 0.5 goals (88.1% with a 14% edge), Over 1.5 (87.1% with an 8% edge), Under 5.5 (86.0%), and Home under 2.5 goals (84.5% but a 8% edge). The model’s strongest divergence from market sentiment lies in the away win pick, where the 54% probability reflects Silkeborg’s recent away form and the balanced defensive output of both sides.
Results analysis
The upset was stark: Vejle won 3-0, ending Silkeborg’s three-game losing streak and extending Vejle’s five-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Away win, had a 54% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 3-0 was a home win. The model’s selections performed as follows: Under 7.5 hit with a 97.4% probability; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.1%; Under 6.5 hit at 93.6%; Away +2 handicap missed at 89.8%; Away over 0.5 goals missed at 88.1%; Over 1.5 hit at 87.1%; Under 5.5 hit at 86.0%; Home under 2.5 goals missed at 84.5%. The match contradicted the model’s strongest pick, highlighting the unpredictability of cup football.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vejle win✓ Hit
23.1%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.22
Edge
-17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.29
SBO
2.27
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.39
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Silkeborg win✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.80
Edge
+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
William Hil
2.88
Betano
2.87
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vejle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.90
1.86
1.71
1.50
2.06
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
2.67
1.67
1.67
1.33
3.67
vs Similar (22)
1.64
1.77
1.90
1.70
1.42
1.83
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.07
1.00
1.57
1.25
2.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
3.36
0.80
2.80
0.67
3.83
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.32
1.11
0.89
1.60
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.17+8.4%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 4.34-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
@ 1.62+10.7%
Under 2.5
32.5%
@ 2.14-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.68
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.30
Betfair
2.20
SBO
2.19
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.9%
@ 2.51+9.3%
Under 3.5
54.1%
@ 1.45-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
Unibet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
@ 1.52+5.6%
No
33.8%
@ 2.34-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
No
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%@ 6.35+2.8%
1-2
9.4%@ 9.27+4.7%
0-2
7.0%@ 14.57+3.9%
1-3
6.7%@ 18.77+4.3%
2-2
6.4%@ 10.54+2.2%
2-1
6.0%@ 8.24+0.6%
0-1
5.7%@ 10.40+1.4%
0-3
4.9%@ 29.29+3.4%
Vejle goals ↓
Silkeborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
5.7%
7.0%
4.9%
2.6%
1
3.3%
9.8%
9.4%
6.7%
3.6%
2
2.8%
6.0%
6.4%
4.5%
2.4%
3
1.3%
2.7%
2.9%
2.0%
1.1%
4
0.4%
0.9%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vejle goals (down), columns = Silkeborg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.57
Odense
2.40
Vejle
2.40
Roskilde
2.33
FC Fredericia
2.33
FC Midtjylland
2.29
Hobro
2.25
Thisted FC
2.00
Holbæk B&I
2.00
Kolding B
2.00
GVI
2.00
Sundby
2.00
VSK Århus
2.00
FA 2000
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
2.00
HIK
2.00
Kolding IF
2.00
Sonderjyske
2.00
Brondby
2.00
Silkeborg
2.00
Randers FC
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Esbjerg
1.67
Aarhus
1.67
Skjold Sæby
1.50
Skive
1.50
Vejgaard B
1.50
Vanløse
1.50
FC Nakskov
1.50
BSI
1.50
Skanderborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
Middelfart
1.50
Viborg
1.43
Ringsted
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Lyngby
1.33
B 93
1.33
Brønshøj
1.25
Lyseng
1.25
Såby
1.01
Skjold Birkerød
1.01
Viby
1.01
Køge Nord
1.01
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
1.01
Fuglebakken KFUM
1.01
SGI
1.01
Aabenraa
1.01
Bredballe
1.01
Bogense
1.01
Aarhus Black Vipers
1.01
Ringkøbing
1.01
Slagelse B&I
1.01
Vatanspor
1.01
Glamsbjerg
1.01
Frederikssund
1.01
KRFK
1.01
Brønderslev
1.01
Tarup-Paarup
1.01
Espergærde
1.01
Sydkysten
1.01
Hedensted
1.01
Vaeggerlose
1.01
Maribo
1.01
Varde
1.01
Skovshoved
1.01
Munkebo
1.01
Hørsholm-Usserød
1.01
tst Fodbold
1.01
Aabybro
1.01
Handelsstandens
1.01
Vaerlose
1.01
Boldklubben FIX
1.01
Morud
1.01
Aalborg KFUM
1.01
Føroyar
1.01
Vigerslev
1.01
Frem
1.00
Odder
1.00
Holstebro
1.00
Allerød
1.00
Nykobing FC
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
HB Koge
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Hvidovre
0.67
Ishøj
0.50
ASA Aarhus
0.00
Avarta
0.00
Naestved
0.00
Næsby
0.00
Brabrand
0.00
Rudersdal
0.00
SfB-Oure
0.00
NB Bornholm
0.00
Nørresundby
0.00
Vallensbæk
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
Marienlyst
0.00
Tårnby FF
0.00
OKS
0.00
FC Helsingor
0.00
Vejle is 0.40 points better than Silkeborg in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nykobing FC
5.00
Sonderjyske
4.33
Skjold Sæby
4.00
VSK Århus
4.00
B 93
4.00
Odense
3.80
Holbæk B&I
3.67
Vejgaard B
3.50
Vanløse
3.50
FC Nakskov
3.50
Aarhus Fremad
3.33
Sundby
3.00
Nørresundby
3.00
Roskilde
3.00
Hillerød
3.00
Vejle
3.00
HB Koge
3.00
Brondby
3.00
Ringsted
2.67
HIK
2.67
FC Fredericia
2.67
GVI
2.50
Hobro
2.50
Thisted FC
2.33
Aalborg
2.33
Silkeborg
2.33
FC Copenhagen
2.29
FC Midtjylland
2.29
Viborg
2.14
Brønshøj
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
SfB-Oure
2.00
Allerød
2.00
BSI
2.00
OKS
2.00
Skanderborg
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
Kolding IF
2.00
Middelfart
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Kolding B
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Såby
1.62
Skjold Birkerød
1.62
Viby
1.62
Køge Nord
1.62
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
1.62
Fuglebakken KFUM
1.62
SGI
1.62
Aabenraa
1.62
Bredballe
1.62
Bogense
1.62
Aarhus Black Vipers
1.62
Ringkøbing
1.62
Slagelse B&I
1.62
Vatanspor
1.62
Glamsbjerg
1.62
Frederikssund
1.62
KRFK
1.62
Brønderslev
1.62
Tarup-Paarup
1.62
Espergærde
1.62
Sydkysten
1.62
Hedensted
1.62
Vaeggerlose
1.62
Maribo
1.62
Varde
1.62
Skovshoved
1.62
Munkebo
1.62
Hørsholm-Usserød
1.62
tst Fodbold
1.62
Aabybro
1.62
Handelsstandens
1.62
Vaerlose
1.62
Boldklubben FIX
1.62
Morud
1.62
Aalborg KFUM
1.62
Føroyar
1.62
Vigerslev
1.62
Skive
1.50
Odder
1.50
Aarhus
1.33
Lyseng
1.25
Esbjerg
1.17
ASA Aarhus
1.00
Naestved
1.00
Næsby
1.00
Rudersdal
1.00
Vallensbæk
1.00
FA 2000
1.00
Marienlyst
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
Randers FC
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Lyngby
0.67
Ishøj
0.50
Avarta
0.00
Frem
0.00
Brabrand
0.00
NB Bornholm
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
Tårnby FF
0.00
FC Helsingor
0.00
Vejle is 0.67 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frem
0.00
FA 2000
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
FC Midtjylland
0.57
Odense
0.60
Thisted FC
0.67
Roskilde
0.67
Kolding IF
0.67
FC Copenhagen
0.86
Skive
1.00
Vejgaard B
1.00
Tårnby FF
1.00
Aarhus
1.00
FC Helsingor
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.00
HIK
1.00
Sonderjyske
1.00
Lyngby
1.00
AC Horsens
1.00
Fremad Amager
1.00
Viborg
1.14
Vejle
1.20
Esbjerg
1.33
Holbæk B&I
1.33
VSK Århus
1.33
Hillerød
1.33
Skjold Sæby
1.50
Odder
1.50
GVI
1.50
Vanløse
1.50
Brondby
1.50
Aalborg
1.67
FC Fredericia
1.67
Silkeborg
1.67
B 93
1.67
Hobro
1.75
ASA Aarhus
2.00
Avarta
2.00
Ishøj
2.00
Naestved
2.00
Næsby
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
Kolding B
2.00
Sundby
2.00
Allerød
2.00
NB Bornholm
2.00
Lyseng
2.00
BSI
2.00
Marienlyst
2.00
Hvidovre
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
Middelfart
2.00
Brønshøj
2.25
Ringsted
2.33
Såby
2.44
Skjold Birkerød
2.44
Viby
2.44
Køge Nord
2.44
Frederiksholm Sydhavnen
2.44
Fuglebakken KFUM
2.44
SGI
2.44
Aabenraa
2.44
Bredballe
2.44
Bogense
2.44
Aarhus Black Vipers
2.44
Ringkøbing
2.44
Slagelse B&I
2.44
Vatanspor
2.44
Glamsbjerg
2.44
Frederikssund
2.44
KRFK
2.44
Brønderslev
2.44
Tarup-Paarup
2.44
Espergærde
2.44
Sydkysten
2.44
Hedensted
2.44
Vaeggerlose
2.44
Maribo
2.44
Varde
2.44
Skovshoved
2.44
Munkebo
2.44
Hørsholm-Usserød
2.44
tst Fodbold
2.44
Aabybro
2.44
Handelsstandens
2.44
Vaerlose
2.44
Boldklubben FIX
2.44
Morud
2.44
Aalborg KFUM
2.44
Føroyar
2.44
Vigerslev
2.44
FC Nakskov
2.50
Brabrand
3.00
Rudersdal
3.00
SfB-Oure
3.00
OKS
3.00
Skanderborg
3.00
HB Koge
3.00
Nørresundby
4.00
Kjellerup
4.00
Nykobing FC
5.00
Vallensbæk
7.00
Vejle is 0.47 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vejle or Draw✓ Hit
45.7%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.36
Edge
-22.0%
23%
23%
54%
covers Vejle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
SBO
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Vejle or Silkeborg✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+3.9%
23%
23%
54%
covers Vejle + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Silkeborg✗ Miss
76.9%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.56
Edge
+18.1%
23%
23%
54%
covers Draw + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vejle over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.1%
@ 1.18-3.8%
Under
25.9%
@ 4.18+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Vejle over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.2%
@ 1.94-8.5%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.76+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Vejle over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.5%
@ 3.92-8.0%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.20+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Vejle over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 8.75-6.0%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.06+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Silkeborg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.1%
@ 1.25+14.3%
Under
11.9%
@ 3.51-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.56
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Silkeborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.7%
@ 2.24+21.6%
Under
37.3%
@ 1.56-21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
BetVictor
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Silkeborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 4.97+17.3%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.13-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Silkeborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 12.12+8.8%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.03-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vejle, so a minus line means Vejle give that many goals of a start and Silkeborg receive them. At -1, Vejle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vejle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle -2
3.5%
@ 9.15-6.4%
Draw -2
6.7%
@ 6.53-7.2%
Silkeborg +2
89.8%
@ 1.19+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle -1
10.2%
@ 3.99-11.7%
Draw -1
13.0%
@ 4.02-8.8%
Silkeborg +1
76.9%
@ 1.55+20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Unibet
1.48
Handicap +1 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle +1
45.7%
@ 1.37-18.2%
Draw +1
20.9%
@ 4.40+1.0%
Silkeborg -1
33.4%
@ 5.35+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.35
Handicap +2 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle +2
66.6%
@ 1.11-12.5%
Draw +2
16.6%
@ 6.92+3.9%
Silkeborg -2
16.9%
@ 10.65+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vejle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.43
0.86
0.56
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.17
0.33
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.57
0.71
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.55
0.80
1.40
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
0.44
0.33
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Pinnacle
2.33
Under
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Vejle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
4.80
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
Vejle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
Betano
5.70
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vejle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.90
1.43
0.86
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.50
1.33
1.33
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.77
1.50
0.70
0.75
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.10
0.43
0.86
0.50
1.31
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.82
0.00
1.40
0.33
2.17
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.56
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Betano
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.43
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.05
Vejle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.65
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
Vejle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.8%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+13.6%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+14.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
87.1%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
83.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-8.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
76.9%
1.56
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
+18.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.1%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-6.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vejle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen25%
Christian Gammelgaard25%
Mikkel Duelund24%
Stefan Velkov20%
Jelle Duin17%
Tobias Bach15%
Amin Chiakha14%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Andrew Hjulsager8%
Abdoulaye Camara5%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Lasse Flø4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Tabatadze36%
Stefan Velkov30%
Lasse Nielsen26%
Mads Enggård20%
Tobias Bach20%
Mike Vestergård19%
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Bismark Edjeodji17%
Mikkel Duelund16%
Alexi Pitu12%
Valdemar Lund11%
Christian Sørensen8%
Amin Chiakha7%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Christian Gammelgaard6%
Igor Vekić4%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Tobias Bach15%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Christian Gammelgaard12%
Christian Sørensen12%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Mikkel Duelund4%
Mads Enggård4%
Lasse Nielsen4%
Mike Vestergård3%
Jonathan Amon0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha21%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Andrew Hjulsager12%
Mikkel Duelund12%
Tobias Bach10%
Christian Gammelgaard9%
Stefan Velkov5%
Christian Sørensen4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Giorgi Tabatadze0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Lasse Flø0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Bismark Edjeodji0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross33%
William Kirk17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Møller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum McCowatt60%
William Møller40%
Robin Østrøm17%
Alexander Priesborg17%
Lucas Riisgaard17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Oliver Ross0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
William Kirk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Callum McCowatt0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vejle's squad is €10m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€9m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vejle's attack is €3m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€3m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vejle's midfield is €3m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vejle's defence is €4m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€4m vs €8m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hvidovre
Hobro
FC Fredericia
Aarhus Fremad
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske