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Veles vs FC UFA Result & Analysis

Date: 13/08/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 0-2
Veles
Veles
Vs
37%
33%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Veles win✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC UFA win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VelesVeles

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L02L12LH·BAL17/07A·DIN24/07H·ROD30/07A·ENI06/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.501.001.500.501.50
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.50--
vs Similar (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W00D13LA·URO17/07H·VOL23/07A·RUB01/08H·ALA07/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.501.502.000.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.002.001.502.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.8%
Under 2.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2 ✓
6.0%
Veles goals ↓
FC UFA goals →
01234
014%11%6.0%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.6%2.2%0.5%
27.6%7.5%3.7%1.2%0.3%
32.8%2.8%1.4%0.4%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Veles goals (down), columns = FC UFA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rubin
2.03
Baltika
1.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.82
Enisey
1.59
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.38
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.35
Akron
1.35
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
KAMAZ
1.29
Arsenal Tula
1.21
Urozhay
1.09
Veles
0.97
Krasnodar 2
0.91
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.88
FC UFA
0.88
Veles is 0.09 points better than FC UFA in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.65
Baltika
1.65
Rubin
1.56
Ska-khabarovsk
1.47
Enisey
1.26
Rodina Moskva
1.24
Akron
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.09
Volgar Astrakhan
1.09
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.06
Urozhay
1.06
Veles
1.03
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Krasnodar 2
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.74
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.68
Veles is 0.09 goals better than FC UFA in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.76
Rubin
0.79
Baltika
0.88
FK Neftekhimik
0.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.03
Enisey
1.03
Akron
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Rodina Moskva
1.12
Ska-khabarovsk
1.15
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Volgar Astrakhan
1.21
Urozhay
1.21
Arsenal Tula
1.35
FC UFA
1.35
Krasnodar 2
1.59
Veles
1.62
Veles is 0.26 goals worse than FC UFA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

VelesVeles

For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

90366226988A·ENIH·RODA·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

80443322228644A·ENIH·RODA·DINH·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC UFAFC UFA

For 4.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1004454337389610H·ALAA·RUBH·VOLA·URO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

60334231226644H·ALAA·RUBH·VOLA·URO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

VelesVeles

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)8.38.08.55.55.06.0---
vs Stronger (2)8.08.0-5.05.0----
vs Similar (2)8.5-8.56.0-6.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%0%100%100%100%---
% under line100%100%100%0%0%0%---
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)8.27.09.55.05.05.0---
vs Stronger (1)9.0-9.06.0-6.0---
vs Similar (3)8.07.010.04.75.04.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line25%0%50%100%100%100%---
% under line75%100%50%0%0%0%---
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Akron
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.2
Krasnodar 2
9.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
9.0
Baltika
8.5
Veles
8.3
Urozhay
8.3
KAMAZ
8.2
Ska-khabarovsk
8.2
FC UFA
8.2
Enisey
8.0
Volgar Astrakhan
7.8
FK Neftekhimik
7.7
Rubin
7.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
7.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
7.0
Rodina Moskva
6.7
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ska-khabarovsk
7.3
KAMAZ
7.0
Rubin
6.5
FK Neftekhimik
6.0
Akron
5.7
Veles
5.5
Enisey
5.5
Rodina Moskva
5.0
FC UFA
5.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.8
Krasnodar 2
4.8
Arsenal Tula
4.7
Urozhay
4.7
Baltika
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.3%
Under 9.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.0%
Under 3.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VelesVeles

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L02LH·BAL17/07A·DIN24/07H·ROD30/07A·ENI06/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.251.250.501.000.001.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D01LA·URO17/07H·VOL23/07A·RUB01/08H·ALA07/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Veles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VelesVeles

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10WH·BAL17/07A·DIN24/07H·ROD30/07A·ENI06/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.250.500.500.500.00
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D12LA·URO17/07H·VOL23/07A·RUB01/08H·ALA07/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.251.000.501.000.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.330.501.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Veles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards89.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners85.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.584.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (27)
€45m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
RM (26)
€17m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Veles and FC UFA have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
DM (13)
€9m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
AT (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
Veles and FC UFA have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (6)
€12m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Veles and FC UFA have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Veles and FC UFA have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VEL wins
0
Draws
0
FU wins

Head-to-head

Veles vs FC UFA · H/A from VEL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VelesVeles

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22AEnisey Vs VEL2-1
30/07/22HVEL Vs Rodina Moskva0-2
24/07/22ADinamo Makhachkala Vs VEL1-0
17/07/22HVEL Vs Baltika2-1

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/22HFU Vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz1-3
01/08/22ARubin Vs FU0-0
23/07/22HFU Vs Volga Ulyanovsk2-1
17/07/22AUrozhay Vs FU2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Veles
Veles
Russia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLL0.75
HomeWL1.50
AwayLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%50%0%
AVG goals2.252.502.00
Over 1.5 %75%100%50%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.751.000.50
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners8.338.008.50
Cards5.505.006.00
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDL1.00
HomeWL1.50
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%50%0%
AVG goals2.253.501.00
Over 1.5 %75%100%50%
Over 2.5 %50%100%0%
Over 3.5 %25%50%0%
Scored0.751.500.00
Conceded1.502.001.00
BTTS50%100%0%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners8.257.009.50
Cards5.005.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RubinRubin3469
56%
2.0
5327+26
2.4
62%
47%
24%
9.6
47%
5.3
73%
-
0%
45
812251.60.8
-
2BaltikaBaltika3467
53%
2.0
5630+26
2.5
74%
50%
29%
10.4
57%
4.6
82%
-
0%
30
106151.60.9
-
3Alaniya VladikavkazAlaniya Vladikavkaz3462
50%
1.8
5635+21
2.7
71%
59%
32%
8.3
31%
5.0
67%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4EniseyEnisey3454
38%
1.6
4335+8
2.3
76%
41%
21%
9.6
33%
5.4
71%
-
0%
6
2221.31.0
-
5Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva3450
38%
1.5
4238+4
2.4
74%
41%
24%
8.5
29%
4.8
76%
-
0%
17
7371.21.1
-
6FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik3447
35%
1.4
3433+1
2.0
59%
32%
15%
9.9
50%
4.9
73%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
7Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3447
35%
1.4
2526-1
1.5
50%
24%
0%
8.1
17%
5.2
80%
-
0%
20
9380.70.8
-
8AkronAkron3446
29%
1.4
3836+2
2.2
65%
38%
24%
9.9
50%
5.2
83%
-
0%
25
11681.11.1
-
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3446
38%
1.4
3641-5
2.3
65%
44%
18%
9.9
60%
3.8
60%
-
0%
6
2121.11.2
-
10Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk3444
32%
1.3
5039+11
2.6
71%
47%
35%
8.4
33%
5.8
80%
-
0%
6
2231.51.1
-
11KAMAZKAMAZ3444
32%
1.3
3536-1
2.1
56%
32%
24%
8.1
27%
6.7
100%
-
0%
5
2121.01.1
-
12Volgar AstrakhanVolgar Astrakhan3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
68%
50%
24%
9.2
46%
4.9
80%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
13Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3441
32%
1.2
3746-9
2.4
68%
47%
21%
10.4
45%
4.5
75%
-
0%
8
3231.11.4
-
14UrozhayUrozhay3437
26%
1.1
3641-5
2.3
71%
44%
18%
9.5
47%
5.5
85%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15VelesVeles3433
26%
1.0
3555-20
2.6
79%
44%
21%
9.4
36%
4.7
69%
-
0%
5
2221.01.6
-
16Krasnodar 2Krasnodar 23431
24%
0.9
3254-22
2.5
62%
50%
24%
9.7
60%
5.4
83%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
17FC UFAFC UFA3430
21%
0.9
3246-14
2.3
71%
50%
18%
8.7
47%
5.3
85%
-
0%
5
2220.91.4
-
18Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk3430
18%
0.9
2341-18
1.9
62%
35%
9%
6.3
0%
4.6
67%
-
0%
6
2130.71.2
-
Russia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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