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Vëllaznimi vs FC Besa Peja Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Vs
67%
19%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vëllaznimi win✓ Hit
67.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja win✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W20W11D31W21W10W11DH·FER16/08A·2 K23/08H·IST27/08A·PRI30/08H·TRE06/09A·RAM13/09H·TRE17/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.862.001.252.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (6)2.170.832.331.332.000.33
Clean sheet %29% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D12L53W01L11D17L11DH·VUS16/08A·FER23/08H·2 K27/08A·IST30/08H·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.432.292.001.500.673.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.502.502.331.670.673.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
3-0 ✓
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
Vëllaznimi goals ↓
FC Besa Peja goals →
01234
04.1%2.6%1.7%0.6%0.1%
17.2%8.9%4.1%1.4%0.3%
29.5%9.6%4.9%1.6%0.4%
37.6%7.7%3.9%1.3%0.3%
44.5%4.6%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vëllaznimi goals (down), columns = FC Besa Peja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Vëllaznimi is 1.00 points better than FC Besa Peja in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Vëllaznimi is 0.52 goals better than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Suhareka
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Vëllaznimi is 0.63 goals better than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W11D10W01LH·FER16/08A·PRI30/08H·TRE06/09A·RAM13/09H·TRE17/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.001.001.500.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.500.501.501.001.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W01L11D02L00DH·VUS16/08H·2 K27/08A·IST30/08H·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.831.500.500.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.001.001.670.670.001.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D10W00D10WH·FER16/08A·PRI30/08H·TRE06/09A·RAM13/09H·TRE17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.330.330.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.500.500.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L00D00D15L11DH·VUS16/08H·2 K27/08A·IST30/08H·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.500.501.000.502.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.601.600.671.000.502.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VËL wins
0
Draws
0
FBP wins

Head-to-head

Vëllaznimi vs FC Besa Peja · H/A from VËL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25HVËL Vs Trepça'891-1
13/09/25ARamiz Sadiku Vs VËL0-1
06/09/25HVËL Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
30/08/25APrizreni Vs VËL1-3
27/08/25HVËL Vs Istogu1-1
23/08/25A2 Korriku Vs VËL0-2
16/08/25HVËL Vs Feronikeli4-2

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25HFBP Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-1
13/09/25ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs FBP7-1
05/09/25HFBP Vs Prizreni1-1
30/08/25AIstogu Vs FBP1-0
27/08/25HFBP Vs 2 Korriku5-3
23/08/25AFeronikeli Vs FBP2-1
16/08/25HFBP Vs Vushtrria1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD2.43
HomeWDWD2.00
AwayWWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%50%100%
AVG goals2.863.252.33
Over 1.5 %86%100%67%
Over 2.5 %43%50%33%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded0.861.250.33
BTTS71%100%33%
Clean Sheet29%0%67%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD0.86
HomeDWDD1.50
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%25%0%
AVG goals3.713.504.00
Over 1.5 %86%100%67%
Over 2.5 %43%25%67%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored1.432.000.67
Conceded2.291.503.33
BTTS86%100%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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