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Vëllaznimi vs Ferizaj Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Vs
28%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with Ferizaj holding a 43 % chance of triumph against Vëllaznimi’s 28 % home advantage and a 29 % draw probability. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 27 % share. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 14 % chance. Vëllaznimi, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.77 goals scored and 0.54 conceded, while Ferizaj on the road against a stronger opponent averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Under 5.5 (96.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.5 %), Under 4.5 (89.6 %) and Away +2 handicap (88.8 %). The home win probability is 28 %, the draw 29 %, and the away win 43 %.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vëllaznimi win
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj win
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D10W21W31W32W13L31W20W10WH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.901.790.571.561.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (27)1.740.891.770.541.711.21
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L11D11D33D23L23L12L11D01LA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.211.141.121.75
vs Stronger (6)0.831.831.001.000.752.25
vs Similar (24)1.251.381.251.171.251.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
Vëllaznimi goals ↓
Ferizaj goals →
01234
09.6%10%8.3%3.9%1.4%
17.7%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
24.8%6.8%4.8%2.2%0.8%
31.7%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vëllaznimi goals (down), columns = Ferizaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Vëllaznimi is 0.67 points better than Ferizaj in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Vëllaznimi is 0.30 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Vëllaznimi is 0.46 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vëllaznimi or Draw
56.8%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Vëllaznimi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi or Ferizaj
70.8%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Vëllaznimi + Ferizaj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ferizaj
72.4%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Draw + Ferizaj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5
Over
75.4%
Under
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vëllaznimi, so a minus line means Vëllaznimi give that many goals of a start and Ferizaj receive them. At -1, Vëllaznimi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vëllaznimi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vëllaznimi)
Vëllaznimi -2
3.3%
Draw -2
7.8%
Ferizaj +2
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vëllaznimi)
Vëllaznimi -1
11.1%
Draw -1
16.5%
Ferizaj +1
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vëllaznimi)
Vëllaznimi +1
56.8%
Draw +1
21.9%
Ferizaj -1
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vëllaznimi)
Vëllaznimi +2
78.7%
Draw +2
13.3%
Ferizaj -2
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W00D11D01L20W00D00DH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.360.290.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.000.750.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (26)0.690.380.420.250.930.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D10W11D01L12L11D10W00DA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.570.360.500.81
vs Stronger (6)0.670.831.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.540.500.330.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W11D31W21W12L11D20W10WH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.360.360.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.251.500.500.500.00
vs Weaker (26)0.920.501.330.330.570.64
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D01L22D22D11D01L01L01LA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.640.790.620.94
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.000.500.251.25
vs Similar (24)0.750.830.750.830.750.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------
Under 5.595.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.5%-------
Under 4.589.4%-------
Away +2 handicap88.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.3%-------
Home +2 handicap78.7%-------
Under 3.576.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.4%-------
Draw or Away72.4%-------
Away +1 handicap72.4%-------
Over 1.572.1%-------
Home under 1.5 goals70.8%-------
Home or Away70.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VËL wins
0
Draws
0
FER wins

Head-to-head

Vëllaznimi vs Ferizaj · H/A from VËL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL0-1
23/08/26HVËL Vs Suhareka2-0
15/08/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-3
23/05/26HVËL Vs Vushtrria1-3
16/05/26AKEK-u Vs VËL2-3
09/05/26HVËL Vs Vjosa3-1
02/05/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-2
25/04/26HVËL Vs Liria Prizren1-0
19/04/26ARilindja 1974 Vs VËL1-1
11/04/26HVËL Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-1

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HFER Vs Trepça'890-1
22/08/26ARilindja 1974 Vs FER1-1
16/08/26ALiria Prizren Vs FER2-1
31/05/26HFER Vs Llapi2-3
24/05/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs FER3-2
17/05/26APrishtina Vs FER3-3
10/05/26HFER Vs Malisheva1-1
03/05/26AGjilani Vs FER1-1
30/04/26HFER Vs Dukagjini1-2
26/04/26ABallkani Vs FER3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.14
HomeWWWLW2.39
AwayDWWWW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%72%58%
AVG goals2.622.562.68
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %51%50%53%
Over 3.5 %32%28%37%
Scored1.731.831.63
Conceded0.890.721.05
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet38%50%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.10
HomeDLDLL1.38
AwayDDLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%15%
AVG goals2.562.582.54
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.121.251.00
Conceded1.441.331.54
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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