Vëllaznimi vs Suhareka Result & Analysis

Vëllaznimi are tipped to win in a 2-goal affair that should see the home side score twice and concede once. The model’s pick is a home victory, with a 57% chance, a 26% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of Suhareka winning. The average goal tally is 2.5, so the most likely total is two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12.5% probability. Vëllaznimi’s home form shows they average 2.5 goals for and 1.0 against against weaker opposition, while Suhareka’s away form is 0.5 for and 2.5 against against stronger teams. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 at 75.4% and Over 1.5 at 72.8%. The home win probability is 57%, the draw 26%, and the away win 17%. The model’s selections are Under 3.5 (75.4%) and Over 1.5 (72.8%).

The upset came as Vëllaznimi, riding a three-game winning streak, failed to secure the predicted home victory, ending the match in a 2-2 draw. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 57% probability, but the result proved wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5, with a 75.4% chance, missed as the total goals reached four. Conversely, Over 1.5, at 72.8%, hit, reflecting the four-goal tally. Vëllaznimi’s strong home form - averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded - was not enough to overcome Suhareka’s resilient away performance. The final score of 2-2 confirmed the draw, leaving the model’s favourite call incorrect.