This high-scoring match between Vëllaznimi and Suhareka is set to be an open affair, with Vëllaznimi averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.64 conceded at home, while Suhareka has averaged 2.33 scored and 3.33 conceded away against stronger opponents. Conversely, Suhareka's recent form has seen them score 2.33 goals per match, but also concede 3.33, suggesting a vulnerable defense.
The model predicts a 57% chance of a Vëllaznimi win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of a Suhareka win. The expected total goals stand at 3.3, with the most likely total being 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.2% probability.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 57% chance. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.2% probability. Vëllaznimi has a 57% chance of winning, a 23% chance of drawing, and a 20% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Vëllaznimi’s two-game winning run continued as they secured a 2-0 victory over Suhareka, matching the model’s predicted home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came through with a 57 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.6 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.1 %, Under 6.5 hit at 94.8 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 91.9 %, and Home +2 handicap hit at 91.8 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vëllaznimi win✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suhareka win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vëllaznimi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.93
1.71
0.64
1.56
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.73
0.92
1.75
0.58
1.71
1.21
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.70
1.93
1.27
1.80
2.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.25
0.50
2.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (22)
2.00
1.68
2.27
1.27
1.73
2.09
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.25
1.50
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.3%
Under 2.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0 ✓
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
Vëllaznimi goals ↓
Suhareka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.8%
10%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
2
8.1%
9.8%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
5.7%
6.9%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
4
3.0%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vëllaznimi goals (down), columns = Suhareka goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Vëllaznimi is 0.76 points better than Suhareka in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Vëllaznimi is 0.06 goals worse than Suhareka in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Vëllaznimi is 0.85 goals better than Suhareka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vëllaznimi or Draw✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied -
57%
23%
20%
covers Vëllaznimi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi or Suhareka✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied -
57%
23%
20%
covers Vëllaznimi + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suhareka✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
57%
23%
20%
covers Draw + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.9%
Under
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.3%
Under
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.7%
Under
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vëllaznimi, so a minus line means Vëllaznimi give that many goals of a start and Suhareka receive them. At -1, Vëllaznimi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vëllaznimi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vëllaznimi)Actual: Draw
Vëllaznimi -2
18.2%
Draw -2
17.6%
Suhareka +2
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vëllaznimi)Actual: Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi -1
35.7%
Draw -1
21.6%
Suhareka +1
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vëllaznimi)Actual: Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi +1
79.9%
Draw +1
11.9%
Suhareka -1
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vëllaznimi)Actual: Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi +2
91.8%
Draw +2
5.7%
Suhareka -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vëllaznimi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.43
0.36
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.81
0.42
0.50
0.33
1.07
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.59
0.29
0.46
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.65
0.55
0.18
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.2%
Under 0.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.0%
Under 1.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.3%
Under 2.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
60.6%
Under
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vëllaznimi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.29
0.36
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.88
0.54
1.25
0.33
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
1.41
1.06
1.23
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.05
2.00
1.00
1.33
1.11
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
1.40
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.9%
Under 0.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.9%
Under 1.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.0%
Under 2.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.4%
Under
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.4%
Under
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →