Vëllaznimi vs Trepça'89 Result & Analysis

Vëllaznimi are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 48% chance of a home victory, 28% for a draw and 24% for a Trepça'89 win. The match is expected to see about 2.6 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% probability. Vëllaznimi have been in good form at home, scoring and conceding in line with their home-side strength, while Trepça'89, playing away against a similar-strength opponent, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 75.1% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.9%. The home win probability is 48%, the draw 28% and the away win 24%. All figures are presented exactly as required.

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Vëllaznimi, who had been on a three-game winning streak. The model had tipped a home win with a 48% probability, but the result was a draw, so the call was wrong. The match still delivered on the model’s other selections: Over 1.5 goals hit with a 75.1% probability, and Under 3.5 goals also hit at 72.9%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 13.2% chance, materialised, while the predicted 2-1 score at 9.4% did not. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the unexpected outcome.