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Vëllaznimi vs Vushtrria Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Vs
44%
33%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Vëllaznimi a 44% win probability against Vushtrria in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare on 2026-05-23, with 33% for the draw and 23% for Vushtrria. The model estimates around 2.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 0-0 the most likely scoreline (15.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (86%).

Results analysis

Vëllaznimi finished 1-3 against Vushtrria (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 44% home win, 33% draw and 23% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (86%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vëllaznimi win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria win✓ Hit
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W31W21W11D10W21W31W32WA·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03H·KIK29/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.871.790.501.561.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (28)1.680.821.770.461.601.13
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D30W22D11D00D10W41W10W10WH·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·KEK29/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05H·RAM16/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.802.120.751.290.86
vs Stronger (7)1.431.572.001.500.671.67
vs Similar (19)1.680.581.900.501.440.67
vs Weaker (4)2.500.503.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.7%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.3%
Under 2.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.0%
No
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
Vëllaznimi goals ↓
Vushtrria goals →
01234
015%9.8%4.4%1.2%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.4%0.3%
29.7%7.6%3.0%0.8%0.2%
33.8%3.0%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.1%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vëllaznimi goals (down), columns = Vushtrria goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Vëllaznimi is 0.15 points worse than Vushtrria in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Vëllaznimi is 0.12 goals worse than Vushtrria in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Vëllaznimi is 0.18 goals worse than Vushtrria in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D11D00D11D00D10W00D11DH·RAM08/03A·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.720.480.570.360.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (27)0.780.440.620.380.930.50
Clean sheet %55% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VushtrriaVushtrria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D21W00D00D10W40W00D00DA·LIR08/03H·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05H·RAM16/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.331.270.330.530.33
vs Stronger (7)0.860.711.250.750.330.67
vs Similar (20)0.800.201.000.200.600.20
vs Weaker (3)1.670.334.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VËL wins
0
Draws
1
VUS wins

Head-to-head

Vëllaznimi vs Vushtrria · H/A from VËL
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25AVushtrria Vs VËL2-1

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26AKEK-u Vs VËL2-3
09/05/26HVËL Vs Vjosa3-1
02/05/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-2
25/04/26HVËL Vs Liria Prizren1-0
19/04/26ARilindja 1974 Vs VËL1-1
11/04/26HVËL Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-1
05/04/26ASuhareka Vs VËL1-3
29/03/26HVËL Vs Kika2-0
22/03/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL1-0
15/03/26ATrepça'89 Vs VËL0-0

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HVUS Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0
10/05/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VUS0-1
03/05/26HVUS Vs Prizreni4-1
26/04/26AIstogu Vs VUS0-1
19/04/26HVUS Vs 2 Korriku0-0
11/04/26AFeronikeli Vs VUS1-1
05/04/26HVUS Vs Trepça'892-2
29/03/26HVUS Vs KEK-u3-0
22/03/26AVjosa Vs VUS1-1
15/03/26HVUS Vs Tefik Canga3-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.12
HomeWWWWW2.50
AwayLWDWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%75%53%
AVG goals2.612.502.71
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %52%50%53%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.731.881.59
Conceded0.880.621.12
BTTS55%50%59%
Clean Sheet36%50%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.15
HomeWDDWW2.44
AwayWDDWW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%72%50%
AVG goals2.472.722.19
Over 1.5 %71%72%69%
Over 2.5 %47%56%38%
Over 3.5 %21%28%12%
Scored1.742.061.38
Conceded0.740.670.81
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet47%56%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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