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Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Result & Analysis

Date: 23/10/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vendsyssel FF winâś“ Hit
50.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge winâś— Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W02L11D03L20W22D41W02L21WA·NYK13/08H·HOB16/08A·FC 21/08H·HVI28/08A·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.312.290.861.171.83
vs Stronger (12)1.671.332.290.860.802.00
vs Similar (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W01L24L21W11D32W01L11D30WA·HIL11/08H·NYK16/08A·HVI19/08H·FC 27/08A·VEJ03/09H·NAE09/09A·FRE16/09H·FC 02/10A·NAE09/10H·FRE15/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.541.231.571.141.501.33
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.001.001.601.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-0 âś“
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
Vendsyssel FF goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
01234
06.3%5.0%3.6%1.4%0.4%
18.3%12%6.3%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.7%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.0%5.8%3.4%1.3%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vendsyssel FF goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
2.09
Hvidovre
1.81
Sonderjyske
1.75
Vendsyssel FF
1.44
FC Fredericia
1.41
HB Koge
1.38
Naestved
1.34
FC Helsingor
1.31
Hillerød
1.28
Hobro
1.19
Fremad Amager
1.06
Nykobing FC
0.72
Vendsyssel FF is 0.06 points better than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hvidovre
2.03
Vejle
1.91
Sonderjyske
1.88
FC Fredericia
1.75
Naestved
1.56
HB Koge
1.56
Vendsyssel FF
1.50
FC Helsingor
1.47
Nykobing FC
1.34
Fremad Amager
1.19
Hillerød
1.16
Hobro
1.03
Vendsyssel FF is 0.06 goals worse than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vejle
0.94
Hvidovre
1.28
Hobro
1.31
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
Sonderjyske
1.41
Naestved
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hillerød
1.59
HB Koge
1.59
FC Helsingor
1.75
Fremad Amager
1.88
Nykobing FC
2.28
Vendsyssel FF is 0.25 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L01L01L10W02L20W01L10WA·NYK13/08H·HOB16/08A·FC 21/08H·HVI28/08A·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.850.771.140.430.501.17
vs Stronger (12)0.750.751.140.430.201.20
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D12L00D10W12L00D10W20WA·HIL11/08H·NYK16/08A·HVI19/08H·FC 27/08A·VEJ03/09H·NAE09/09A·FRE16/09H·FC 02/10A·NAE09/10H·FRE15/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.540.860.430.500.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (10)0.800.401.000.400.600.40
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %69% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W02L10W20W21W01L11DA·NYK13/08H·HOB16/08A·FC 21/08H·HVI28/08A·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.541.140.430.670.67
vs Stronger (12)0.920.581.140.430.600.80
vs Similar (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L12L21W01L20W01L01L10WA·HIL11/08H·NYK16/08A·HVI19/08H·FC 27/08A·VEJ03/09H·NAE09/09A·FRE16/09H·FC 02/10A·NAE09/10H·FRE15/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.850.690.710.711.000.67
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.000.601.000.601.000.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.4%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Vendsyssel FF's squad is €4m less valuable than HB Koge's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's midfield is €1m less valuable than HB Koge's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's defence is €2m less valuable than HB Koge's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
VF wins
0
Draws
0
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge · H/A from VF
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/22AHB Koge Vs VF1-2

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/10/22HVF Vs FC Fredericia2-1
08/10/22AHillerød Vs VF2-0
01/10/22HVF Vs FC Helsingor4-1
19/09/22ASonderjyske Vs VF2-2
11/09/22HVF Vs Vejle2-0
04/09/22ANaestved Vs VF3-0
28/08/22HVF Vs Hvidovre1-1
21/08/22AFC Fredericia Vs VF2-0
16/08/22HVF Vs Hobro1-0
13/08/22ANykobing FC Vs VF1-3

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22HHK Vs Fremad Amager3-0
09/10/22ANaestved Vs HK1-1
02/10/22HHK Vs FC Fredericia0-1
16/09/22AFremad Amager Vs HK2-3
09/09/22HHK Vs Naestved1-1
03/09/22AVejle Vs HK1-2
27/08/22HHK Vs FC Helsingor2-4
19/08/22AHvidovre Vs HK1-0
16/08/22HHK Vs Nykobing FC4-0
11/08/22AHillerød Vs HK0-2

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.77
HomeWDWWW2.29
AwayWLLDL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%71%33%
AVG goals3.083.143.00
Over 1.5 %92%86%100%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %31%29%33%
Scored1.772.291.17
Conceded1.310.861.83
BTTS62%71%50%
Clean Sheet15%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.38
HomeWLDLW1.14
AwayWLWWD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%29%50%
AVG goals2.772.712.83
Over 1.5 %77%71%83%
Over 2.5 %54%57%50%
Over 3.5 %31%29%33%
Scored1.541.571.50
Conceded1.231.141.33
BTTS54%43%67%
Clean Sheet31%43%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle3267
62%
2.1
6130+31
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.90.9
-
2HvidovreHvidovre3258
53%
1.8
6541+24
3.3
81%
69%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
3SonderjyskeSonderjyske3256
50%
1.8
6045+15
3.3
78%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.91.4
-
4Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3246
41%
1.4
4843+5
2.8
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3245
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.2
78%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.81.5
-
6HB KogeHB Koge3244
41%
1.4
5051-1
3.2
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7NaestvedNaestved3243
34%
1.3
5048+2
3.1
84%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
8FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3242
41%
1.3
4756-9
3.2
72%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
9HillerødHillerød3241
38%
1.3
3751-14
2.8
81%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.6
-
10HobroHobro3238
28%
1.2
3342-9
2.3
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.3
-
11Fremad AmagerFremad Amager3234
31%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
69%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12Nykobing FCNykobing FC3223
19%
0.7
4373-30
3.6
91%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.3
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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