This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.67
1.60
1.93
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (20)
1.35
1.85
1.50
2.20
1.20
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.50
1.30
1.80
1.40
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.57+4.0%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.34-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
Venezia goals ↓
FeralpiSalo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.7%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.7%
10%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
7.9%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.4%
6.7%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.8%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Venezia goals (down), columns = FeralpiSalo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Venezia is 1.04 points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Venezia is 0.58 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Venezia is 0.59 goals better than FeralpiSalo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Venezia is 6.6 percentage points better than FeralpiSalo in terms of average possession (52% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Venezia
For 5.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FeralpiSalo
For 5.4 · Against 6.6 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 14.3 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Venezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.3
3.1
3.4
25.0
24.8
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
9.6
9.0
10.3
3.0
3.0
2.9
24.2
25.5
22.7
vs Weaker (23)
10.3
10.8
9.9
3.6
3.3
3.8
25.9
24.0
27.7
% over line
61%
61%
61%
52%
50%
54%
75%
72%
78%
% under line
39%
39%
39%
48%
50%
46%
25%
28%
22%
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.8
9.6
9.9
4.9
5.3
4.6
26.8
27.0
26.6
vs Stronger (25)
9.8
9.1
10.5
5.1
5.5
4.7
26.8
27.5
26.2
vs Similar (11)
9.7
11.0
8.7
4.5
4.6
4.5
26.7
25.8
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
39%
61%
81%
83%
78%
89%
83%
94%
% under line
50%
61%
39%
19%
17%
22%
11%
17%
6%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
10.4
Parma
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Palermo
10.0
Cremonese
9.8
FeralpiSalo
9.8
Modena
9.7
Bari
9.7
Spezia
9.7
Cosenza
9.6
Lecco
9.6
Como
9.5
Ascoli
9.5
Reggiana
9.3
Catanzaro
9.2
Pisa
9.1
Cittadella
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.2
Spezia
5.7
Modena
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Bari
5.7
Sampdoria
5.7
Cittadella
5.6
Lecco
5.5
Sudtirol
5.4
Parma
5.4
Catanzaro
5.3
Reggiana
5.3
Palermo
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Como
5.1
FeralpiSalo
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Ternana
4.9
Venezia
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.1
Cittadella
32.1
Sampdoria
30.2
Sudtirol
30.1
Spezia
29.8
Reggiana
29.6
Bari
29.3
Como
29.1
Catanzaro
28.9
Pisa
28.8
Palermo
28.8
Modena
28.7
Brescia
28.5
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.4
Cosenza
27.3
Ternana
27.3
Parma
26.8
FeralpiSalo
26.8
Venezia
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.2%
Under 3.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Venezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.13
0.60
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.56
1.12
0.75
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.57
1.14
0.43
0.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.60
1.13
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (20)
0.50
0.85
0.50
1.20
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Venezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Venezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.13
0.93
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.94
1.38
1.00
1.12
0.88
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.64
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FeralpiSalo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FeralpiSalo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.00
0.80
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (20)
0.85
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.70
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Venezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FeralpiSalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Venezia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Pohjanpalo43%
Christian Gytkjær24%
Gianluca Busio17%
Tanner Tessmann15%
Dennis Johnsen14%
Nicholas Pierini12%
Giorgio Altare11%
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason9%
Jay Idzes7%
Ali Dembele6%
Mikael Ellertsson5%
Marco Olivieri4%
Francesco Zampano3%
Antonio Candela2%
Denis Cheryshev0%
Jesse Joronen0%
Michael Svoboda0%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Marin Šverko0%
Nunzio Lella0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maximilian Ullmann25%
Marin Šverko24%
Giorgio Altare20%
Tanner Tessmann20%
Dennis Johnsen19%
Ali Dembele19%
Francesco Zampano18%
Antonio Candela18%
Nunzio Lella17%
Mikael Ellertsson14%
Mato Jajalo13%
Denis Cheryshev11%
Bruno Bertinato11%
Jay Idzes10%
Gianluca Busio10%
Jesse Joronen6%
Joel Pohjanpalo5%
Michael Svoboda4%
Magnus Kofod Andersen4%
Marco Olivieri4%
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason3%
Christian Gytkjær2%
Nicholas Pierini2%
Marco Modolo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Johnsen24%
Nicholas Pierini14%
Francesco Zampano13%
Michael Svoboda13%
Gianluca Busio12%
Joel Pohjanpalo11%
Magnus Kofod Andersen9%
Giorgio Altare9%
Mikael Ellertsson8%
Antonio Candela8%
Tanner Tessmann7%
Christian Gytkjær5%
Marco Olivieri4%
Nunzio Lella4%
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason3%
Denis Cheryshev0%
Jesse Joronen0%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Marin Šverko0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
Jay Idzes0%
Ali Dembele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Pohjanpalo30%
Nicholas Pierini14%
Tanner Tessmann12%
Christian Gytkjær10%
Gianluca Busio7%
Giorgio Altare6%
Dennis Johnsen5%
Nunzio Lella4%
Denis Cheryshev0%
Jesse Joronen0%
Michael Svoboda0%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Marin Šverko0%
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason0%
Antonio Candela0%
Francesco Zampano0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
Jay Idzes0%
Marco Olivieri0%
Mikael Ellertsson0%
Ali Dembele0%
FeralpiSalo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edgaras Dubickas29%
Andrea La Mantia19%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Felici11%
Davide Balestrero10%
Christos Kourfalidis10%
Mattia Zennaro10%
Mattia Tonetto10%
Marco Sau9%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Federico Bergonzi6%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Bruno Martella3%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davide Balestrero38%
Luca Ceppitelli37%
Christopher Attys33%
Luca Fiordilino24%
Vittorio Parigini23%
Federico Carraro20%
Mattia Felici17%
Mattia Compagnon14%
Christos Kourfalidis14%
Mattia Zennaro13%
Federico Bergonzi12%
Andrea La Mantia11%
Semuel Pizzignacco11%
Bruno Martella10%
Giacomo Manzari10%
Alessandro Pilati10%
Karlo Butić9%
Loris Bacchetti9%
Davide Di Molfetta7%
Denis Hergheligiu6%
Mattia Tonetto5%
Gaetano Letizia4%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Giudici0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Letizia22%
Giacomo Manzari20%
Davide Di Molfetta15%
Mattia Felici14%
Bruno Martella10%
Vittorio Parigini8%
Christos Kourfalidis7%
Luca Ceppitelli7%
Mattia Zennaro6%
Alessandro Pilati5%
Davide Balestrero3%
Federico Bergonzi3%
Marco Sau0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Andrea La Mantia0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Karlo Butić0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Christopher Attys0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pietrelli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea La Mantia16%
Karlo Butić12%
Mattia Compagnon10%
Alessandro Pietrelli7%
Davide Di Molfetta4%
Luca Ceppitelli3%
Luca Fiordilino3%
Mattia Felici3%
Marco Sau0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Bruno Martella0%
Mattia Zennaro0%
Semuel Pizzignacco0%
Denis Hergheligiu0%
Luca Giudici0%
Federico Carraro0%
Edgaras Dubickas0%
Davide Balestrero0%
Loris Bacchetti0%
Gabriele Ferrarini0%
Dimo Krastev0%
Federico Bergonzi0%
Christopher Attys0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Mattia Tonetto0%
Alessandro Pilati0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
Lecco