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Vestri vs Afturelding Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Vestri
Vestri
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vestri win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Afturelding win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VestriVestri

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L31W12L10W11D10W33D20W01L20WA·GRI15/02A·FJO22/02H·VAL01/03A·THR25/03A·VAL06/04H·FH 13/04H·HK 18/04A·IA 23/04H·BRE27/04A·IBV04/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.631.201.731.731.53
vs Stronger (10)1.401.901.602.401.201.40
vs Similar (20)1.501.501.001.402.001.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W63W13L12L02L00D50W10W03L30WH·THO08/02A·FH 14/02A·IR 21/02H·HK 09/03A·BRE05/04H·IBV13/04H·HÖT17/04H·VIK24/04A·FRA28/04H·STJ05/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.371.941.122.001.64
vs Stronger (2)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (24)1.711.461.671.171.751.75
vs Weaker (4)3.001.502.502.003.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0 ✓
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
Vestri goals ↓
Afturelding goals →
01234
08.2%6.7%4.4%1.7%0.5%
19.5%13%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.3%5.2%2.0%0.5%
34.2%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vestri goals (down), columns = Afturelding goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.67
Stjarnan
1.56
Breidablik
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.44
Fram Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur
1.22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.22
KR Reykjavik
1.15
Vestri
1.07
Afturelding
1.00
Vestri is 0.07 points better than Afturelding in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
2.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.15
KR Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.85
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Breidablik
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.67
Fram Reykjavik
1.52
IA Akranes
1.37
Afturelding
1.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.26
Vestri
0.96
Vestri is 0.37 goals worse than Afturelding in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.15
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.37
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
Breidablik
1.56
Vestri
1.63
Stjarnan
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Afturelding
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.81
IA Akranes
1.85
KR Reykjavik
2.30
Vestri is 0.07 goals better than Afturelding in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D10W10W00D10W21W20W00D10WA·GRI15/02A·FJO22/02H·VAL01/03A·THR25/03A·VAL06/04H·FH 13/04H·HK 18/04A·IA 23/04H·BRE27/04A·IBV04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.800.530.800.73
vs Stronger (10)0.700.601.200.800.200.40
vs Similar (20)0.850.650.600.401.100.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W02L02L02L00D20W00D02L10WH·THO08/02A·FH 14/02A·IR 21/02H·HK 09/03A·BRE05/04H·IBV13/04H·HÖT17/04H·VIK24/04A·FRA28/04H·STJ05/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.771.060.690.710.86
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.830.831.000.750.670.92
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.501.001.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W02L00D11D00D12L00D01L10WA·GRI15/02A·FJO22/02H·VAL01/03A·THR25/03A·VAL06/04H·FH 13/04H·HK 18/04A·IA 23/04H·BRE27/04A·IBV04/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.000.401.200.930.80
vs Stronger (10)0.701.300.401.601.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.850.401.000.900.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L11D10W00D00D30W10W01L20WH·THO08/02A·FH 14/02A·IR 21/02H·HK 09/03A·BRE05/04H·IBV13/04H·HÖT17/04H·VIK24/04A·FRA28/04H·STJ05/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.600.880.441.290.79
vs Stronger (2)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.880.620.670.421.080.83
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.001.002.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
Vestri and Afturelding have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Vestri and Afturelding have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
Vestri and Afturelding have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Vestri and Afturelding have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
VES wins
2
Draws
2
AFT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vestri vs Afturelding · H/A from VES
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HVES Vs Afturelding0-0
16/08/23HVES Vs Afturelding2-2
10/06/23AAfturelding Vs VES3-1
16/07/22HVES Vs Afturelding1-4
14/05/22AAfturelding Vs VES0-2

VestriVestri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs VES0-2
27/04/25HVES Vs Breidablik0-1
23/04/25AIA Akranes Vs VES0-2
18/04/25HVES Vs HK Kopavogur3-3
13/04/25HVES Vs FH hafnarfjordur1-0
06/04/25AValur Reykjavik Vs VES1-1
25/03/25AThrottur Reykjavik Vs VES0-1
01/03/25HVES Vs Valur Reykjavik1-2
22/02/25AFjolnir Vs VES1-3
15/02/25AGrindavik Vs VES4-3

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/25HAFT Vs Stjarnan3-0
28/04/25AFram Reykjavik Vs AFT3-0
24/04/25HAFT Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-0
17/04/25HAFT Vs Höttur / Huginn5-0
13/04/25HAFT Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-0
05/04/25ABreidablik Vs AFT2-0
09/03/25HAFT Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
21/02/25AIR Reykjavik Vs AFT3-1
14/02/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs AFT3-6
08/02/25HAFT Vs Thor Akureyri4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.18
HomeLLWDL1.24
AwayWWDWW1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%28%
AVG goals2.962.623.21
Over 1.5 %76%62%86%
Over 2.5 %54%48%59%
Over 3.5 %40%33%45%
Scored1.301.101.45
Conceded1.661.521.76
BTTS58%48%66%
Clean Sheet22%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.64
HomeLDWWW1.76
AwayWWLLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals3.603.403.80
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored2.042.241.84
Conceded1.561.161.96
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2757
63%
2.1
5831+27
3.3
85%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2745
48%
1.7
6146+15
4.0
100%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.7
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5045+5
3.5
93%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.7
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2742
41%
1.6
4642+4
3.3
89%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2739
41%
1.4
4549-4
3.5
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.8
-
6Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2736
37%
1.3
4140+1
3.0
85%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.5
-
7IA AkranesIA Akranes2734
41%
1.3
3750-13
3.2
81%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2733
30%
1.2
4946+3
3.5
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.7
-
9IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2733
33%
1.2
3437-3
2.6
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.4
-
10KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2731
30%
1.1
5562-7
4.3
93%
85%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.3
-
11VestriVestri2729
30%
1.1
2644-18
2.6
78%
33%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
12AftureldingAfturelding2727
22%
1.0
3646-10
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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