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Vestri vs Njardvik Result & Analysis

Date: 03/06/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Vestri
Vestri
Vs
43%
26%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vestri win✓ Hit
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Njardvik win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VestriVestri

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L41W22D11D22D12L12L22D22D02LA·KÓR18/08H·FJO23/08A·GRI27/08A·KV03/09H·SEL10/09A·HK 17/09A·THO06/05H·IA 13/05A·GRO21/05H·GRI27/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.582.002.152.001.002.00
vs Stronger (4)2.002.003.001.501.002.50
vs Similar (20)1.402.151.802.301.002.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.504.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %12% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L31WA·GRO05/05H·ÆGI11/05A·GRI22/05H·THR26/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.252.501.500.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.331.003.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-0 ✓
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
Vestri goals ↓
Njardvik goals →
01234
05.4%5.1%4.4%2.1%0.7%
16.4%12%7.5%3.6%1.3%
26.4%9.1%6.5%3.1%1.1%
33.6%5.2%3.7%1.7%0.6%
41.6%2.2%1.6%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vestri goals (down), columns = Njardvik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Vestri is 0.71 points better than Njardvik in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Vestri is 0.08 goals worse than Njardvik in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Vestri is 1.06 goals better than Njardvik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W10W00D11D10W11D01L11D01LA·KÓR18/08H·FJO23/08A·GRI27/08A·KV03/09H·SEL10/09A·HK 17/09A·THO06/05H·IA 13/05A·GRO21/05H·GRI27/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.770.850.920.380.62
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.601.000.500.60
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D21WA·GRO05/05H·ÆGI11/05A·GRI22/05H·THR26/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.001.501.500.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.672.001.000.000.50
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %25% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W12L11D11D02L01L21W11D01LA·KÓR18/08H·FJO23/08A·GRI27/08A·KV03/09H·SEL10/09A·HK 17/09A·THO06/05H·IA 13/05A·GRO21/05H·GRI27/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.231.311.080.621.38
vs Stronger (4)1.251.001.500.501.001.50
vs Similar (20)0.851.351.201.300.501.40
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %19% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W01L10WA·GRO05/05H·ÆGI11/05A·GRI22/05H·THR26/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.251.000.000.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %75% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Vestri and Njardvik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Vestri and Njardvik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Vestri and Njardvik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Vestri and Njardvik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VES wins
0
Draws
0
NJA wins

Head-to-head

Vestri vs Njardvik · H/A from VES
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VestriVestri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/23HVES Vs Grindavik0-2
21/05/23AGrotta Vs VES2-2
13/05/23HVES Vs IA Akranes2-2
06/05/23AThor Akureyri Vs VES2-1
17/09/22AHK Kopavogur Vs VES2-1
10/09/22HVES Vs Selfoss2-2
03/09/22AKV Vs VES1-1
27/08/22AGrindavik Vs VES2-2
23/08/22HVES Vs Fjolnir4-1
18/08/22AKórdrengir Vs VES4-0

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23HNJA Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-1
22/05/23AGrindavik Vs NJA1-0
11/05/23HNJA Vs Ægir2-2
05/05/23AGrotta Vs NJA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.15
HomeLWDDL1.31
AwayDDLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%31%23%
AVG goals3.584.153.00
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %73%85%62%
Over 3.5 %58%77%38%
Scored1.582.151.00
Conceded2.002.002.00
BTTS65%77%54%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLW1.25
HomeDW2.00
AwayDL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%50%0%
AVG goals2.754.001.50
Over 1.5 %75%100%50%
Over 2.5 %50%100%0%
Over 3.5 %50%100%0%
Scored1.502.500.50
Conceded1.251.501.00
BTTS75%100%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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