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Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 09/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Vestri
Vestri
Vs
54%
22%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vestri win✓ Hit
54.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VestriVestri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W30W11D21W02L22D21W31W50WA·IA 16/07H·THO22/07H·GRO29/07A·GRI02/08H·SEL08/08A·NJA12/08H·AFT16/08A·LEI20/08H·FJO26/08A·ÆGI02/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.302.001.001.331.60
vs Stronger (4)2.001.753.501.000.502.50
vs Similar (23)1.391.301.641.001.171.58
vs Weaker (3)3.330.672.501.005.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L22D23L22D35L43W12L11D22D50WA·AFT12/07H·FJO16/07A·LEI20/07A·ÆGI27/07H·NJA02/08H·SEL12/08A·THO16/08H·IA 20/08A·GRO25/08H·GRI31/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.102.152.501.801.702.50
vs Stronger (2)2.502.502.002.003.003.00
vs Similar (14)2.072.072.711.711.432.43
vs Weaker (4)2.002.252.002.002.002.50
Clean sheet %10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.8%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.9%
Under 2.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
Vestri goals ↓
Throttur Reykjavik goals →
01234
03.7%3.1%2.8%1.3%0.4%
15.3%9.5%6.0%2.8%1.0%
26.7%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.0%
34.8%6.7%4.7%2.2%0.8%
42.6%3.6%2.5%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vestri goals (down), columns = Throttur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Vestri is 0.58 points better than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Vestri is 0.49 goals worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 2.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Vestri is 1.01 goals better than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.09).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W10W21W01L20W00D21W30WA·IA 16/07H·THO22/07H·GRO29/07A·GRI02/08H·SEL08/08A·NJA12/08H·AFT16/08A·LEI20/08H·FJO26/08A·ÆGI02/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.471.000.400.600.53
vs Stronger (4)1.000.752.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.430.820.360.500.50
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.000.503.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L12L21W14L21W11D11D12L30WA·AFT12/07H·FJO16/07A·LEI20/07A·ÆGI27/07H·NJA02/08H·SEL12/08A·THO16/08H·IA 20/08A·GRO25/08H·GRI31/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.251.001.201.001.30
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.071.211.291.140.861.29
vs Weaker (4)1.001.250.501.001.501.50
Clean sheet %15% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VestriVestri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W01L00D01L02L21W10W20WA·IA 16/07H·THO22/07H·GRO29/07A·GRI02/08H·SEL08/08A·NJA12/08H·AFT16/08A·LEI20/08H·FJO26/08A·ÆGI02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.831.000.600.731.07
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.500.500.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.740.870.820.640.671.08
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D01L21W22D01L00D10W20WA·AFT12/07H·FJO16/07A·LEI20/07A·ÆGI27/07H·NJA02/08H·SEL12/08A·THO16/08H·IA 20/08A·GRO25/08H·GRI31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.901.500.600.701.20
vs Stronger (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
vs Similar (14)1.000.861.430.570.571.14
vs Weaker (4)1.001.001.501.000.501.00
Clean sheet %45% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vestri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Vestri and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Vestri and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Vestri and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Vestri and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
VES wins
0
Draws
0
TR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik · H/A from VES
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs VES1-2

VestriVestri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23AÆgir Vs VES0-5
26/08/23HVES Vs Fjolnir3-1
20/08/23ALeiknir R. Vs VES1-2
16/08/23HVES Vs Afturelding2-2
12/08/23ANjardvik Vs VES2-0
08/08/23HVES Vs Selfoss2-1
02/08/23AGrindavik Vs VES1-1
29/07/23HVES Vs Grotta3-0
22/07/23HVES Vs Thor Akureyri1-0
16/07/23AIA Akranes Vs VES1-1

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/23HTR Vs Grindavik5-0
25/08/23AGrotta Vs TR2-2
20/08/23HTR Vs IA Akranes1-1
16/08/23AThor Akureyri Vs TR2-1
12/08/23HTR Vs Selfoss4-3
02/08/23HTR Vs Njardvik3-5
27/07/23AÆgir Vs TR2-2
20/07/23ALeiknir R. Vs TR3-2
16/07/23HTR Vs Fjolnir2-2
12/07/23AAfturelding Vs TR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.45
HomeWWWDW1.71
AwayDDLWW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%29%
AVG goals3.263.572.95
Over 1.5 %88%86%90%
Over 2.5 %67%76%57%
Over 3.5 %45%57%33%
Scored1.642.051.24
Conceded1.621.521.71
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet19%24%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.15
HomeDLWDW1.70
AwayLLDLD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%50%10%
AVG goals4.254.304.20
Over 1.5 %95%100%90%
Over 2.5 %90%90%90%
Over 3.5 %60%60%60%
Scored2.102.501.70
Conceded2.151.802.50
BTTS85%80%90%
Clean Sheet10%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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