This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.37
1.27
1.53
1.93
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
1.33
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.65
1.45
1.25
1.75
1.92
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
1.29
1.25
1.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.2%
@ 1.82+16.3%
Under 2.5
31.8%
@ 1.97-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
VfL Osnabrück goals ↓
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
6.2%
8.2%
6.5%
3.8%
1
2.6%
8.9%
9.6%
7.5%
4.4%
2
2.0%
4.7%
5.6%
4.4%
2.6%
3
0.8%
1.8%
2.2%
1.7%
1.0%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Osnabrück goals (down), columns = SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
VfL Osnabrück is 0.91 points worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
VfL Osnabrück is 1.00 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
VfL Osnabrück is 0.41 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Osnabrück
For 3.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
For 5.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 16.2 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Osnabrück
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.7
10.4
4.9
5.0
4.8
26.9
28.5
25.5
vs Stronger (34)
10.4
9.2
11.3
4.9
5.1
4.7
26.6
28.4
25.2
vs Similar (16)
7.9
7.8
8.0
4.9
4.8
5.0
27.6
28.7
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
42%
50%
80%
79%
81%
88%
92%
85%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
20%
21%
19%
12%
8%
15%
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
10.0
4.3
4.1
4.5
29.9
30.2
29.5
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
13.0
10.5
5.6
6.3
4.5
30.2
30.0
30.5
vs Similar (33)
9.7
9.7
9.7
4.0
3.5
4.4
28.7
29.5
28.0
vs Weaker (12)
10.8
10.8
10.7
4.7
4.5
4.8
33.0
32.3
33.7
% over line
50%
50%
50%
70%
67%
73%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
30%
33%
27%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.3
SV Darmstadt 98
11.0
Regensburg
10.9
Karlsruher SC
10.9
SC Paderborn 07
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.8
FC St. Pauli
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.3
Holstein Kiel
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.9
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.6
VfL Osnabrück
9.6
Hannover 96
9.4
Erzgebirge Aue
9.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
8.9
Wurzburger Kickers
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wurzburger Kickers
5.9
Erzgebirge Aue
5.1
SV Sandhausen
5.1
VfL Osnabrück
4.9
Karlsruher SC
4.8
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.6
Regensburg
4.6
VfL Bochum
4.5
SV Darmstadt 98
4.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.3
Hannover 96
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.2
1. FC Nürnberg
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.0
Hamburger SV
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
29.9
Wurzburger Kickers
29.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
28.2
Regensburg
28.0
SV Sandhausen
27.6
VfL Osnabrück
26.9
Karlsruher SC
26.5
VfL Bochum
26.4
FC St. Pauli
25.9
Erzgebirge Aue
25.7
Hannover 96
25.6
SV Darmstadt 98
25.3
1. FC Nürnberg
25.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.8
Hamburger SV
24.2
SC Paderborn 07
24.1
Holstein Kiel
23.3
1. FC Heidenheim
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.1%
Under 9.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.5%
Under 21.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.71
1.00
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
0.67
0.62
0.75
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
0.83
1.33
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.60
0.87
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.65
0.75
0.75
1.17
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
1.00
0.50
1.25
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.64
1.07
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
0.86
0.75
1.25
0.54
0.62
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.78
0.50
0.83
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.29
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Osnabrück · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robin Meißner50%
N. Wiemann25%
Ismail Badjie25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismail Badjie50%
P. Kammerbauer25%
N. Wiemann25%
F. Wagner25%
Konrad Faber25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
J. Müller0%
Robin Meißner0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Faber25%
L. Münst25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Robin Meißner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Ismail Badjie0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robin Meißner25%
Ismail Badjie25%
B. Riesselmann25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Klaus75%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Will25%
Krisztián Keresztes25%
Jannis Heuer25%
Aaron Keller25%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Felix Klaus0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Omar Sillah0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omar Sillah33%
Dennis Srbeny25%
Jannik Dehm25%
Luca Itter25%
Paul Will0%
Felix Klaus0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Aaron Keller0%
Sacha Banse0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felix Klaus50%
Ole Pohlmann25%
Sacha Banse25%
Paul Will0%
Dennis Srbeny0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Luca Itter0%
Krisztián Keresztes0%
Shinta Appelkamp0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Aaron Keller0%
Omar Sillah0%
Florian Hellstern0%
Lukas Reich0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
VO (25)
€10m
FD (26)
€10m
WK (27)
€4m
EA (18)
€2m
VfL Osnabrück's squad is €8m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€10m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (11)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
EB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
SGF (6)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
WK (8)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück and SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a similar attack value (both €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
VO (7)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
WK (9)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück's midfield is €3m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€3m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
WK (10)
€2m
EA (8)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück's defence is €6m less valuable than SpVgg Greuther Fürth's (€3m vs €9m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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VfL Bochum
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg
Erzgebirge Aue
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
Eintracht Braunschweig
Wurzburger Kickers