This opponent (Wehen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.67
1.20
1.80
1.33
1.53
vs Stronger (26)
1.19
1.77
1.31
2.00
1.08
1.54
vs Similar (4)
1.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
3.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.63-5.4%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.21+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
0-2 ✓
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
VfL Osnabrück goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.1%
6.9%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.9%
13%
8.9%
4.4%
1.6%
2
5.2%
7.7%
5.7%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.2%
3.3%
2.4%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Osnabrück goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
VfL Osnabrück is 0.08 points worse than Wehen in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
VfL Osnabrück is 0.17 goals worse than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
VfL Osnabrück is 0.50 goals worse than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Osnabrück
For 5.2 · Against 7.9 · Total 13.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 4.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Osnabrück
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.4
4.3
4.7
3.8
26.3
27.3
25.3
vs Stronger (39)
10.7
11.1
10.2
4.3
4.7
3.9
25.5
26.4
24.6
vs Similar (11)
9.8
8.2
11.2
4.2
5.0
3.5
29.1
31.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
56%
56%
60%
68%
52%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
40%
32%
48%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Wehen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
10.2
10.2
10.3
4.7
4.6
4.9
24.3
24.2
24.3
vs Stronger (35)
10.7
10.6
10.8
4.5
4.3
4.6
23.4
23.0
23.9
vs Similar (8)
8.2
8.5
8.0
5.9
5.8
6.0
27.9
29.5
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
59%
57%
74%
73%
76%
72%
68%
76%
% under line
42%
41%
43%
26%
27%
24%
28%
32%
24%
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.7
Hannover 96
10.5
VfL Osnabrück
10.5
SV Wehen
10.3
FC Schalke 04
10.3
SV Elversberg
10.3
Wehen
10.2
SC Paderborn 07
10.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.1
Holstein Kiel
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Hansa Rostock
9.8
Karlsruher SC
9.8
Hertha BSC
9.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.6
FC St. Pauli
9.1
1. FC Magdeburg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Wehen
5.7
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
Hamburger SV
4.8
Wehen
4.7
SV Elversberg
4.6
Hansa Rostock
4.6
1. FC Nürnberg
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
VfL Osnabrück
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.2
Karlsruher SC
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
Hannover 96
4.0
Hertha BSC
3.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
27.6
VfL Osnabrück
26.3
1. FC Magdeburg
26.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
26.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.9
SV Elversberg
25.5
Hansa Rostock
24.6
Hertha BSC
24.6
Wehen
24.3
SV Wehen
24.1
1. FC Nürnberg
24.0
FC Schalke 04
23.6
Hannover 96
23.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.2
Holstein Kiel
22.6
FC St. Pauli
22.1
Hamburger SV
22.1
Karlsruher SC
21.7
SC Paderborn 07
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
74.9%
Under 9.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.8%
Under 3.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.1%
Under 21.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.44
1.06
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (23)
0.39
0.91
0.46
1.15
0.30
0.60
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
0.73
0.69
1.08
0.46
0.38
vs Similar (4)
1.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
2.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.23
0.62
1.06
0.57
1.43
vs Stronger (23)
0.61
1.22
0.69
1.08
0.50
1.40
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.29
0.33
1.00
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.53
0.80
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
1.04
0.62
0.92
0.62
1.15
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Osnabrück
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erik Engelhardt28%
Dave Gnaase13%
Michaël Cuisance12%
Christian Joe Conteh10%
Lars Kehl10%
Charalambos Makridis8%
Oumar Diakhité5%
Lukas Kunze4%
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt4%
Niklas Wiemann4%
Robert Tesche3%
Maxwell Gyamfi3%
Florian Kleinhansl3%
Athanasios Androutsos0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Timo Beermann0%
Maximilian Thalhammer0%
John Verhoek0%
Lennart Grill0%
Noel Niemann0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Bashkim Ajdini0%
Lex-Tyger Lobinger0%
Jannes Wulff0%
Henry Rorig0%
Florian Bähr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dave Gnaase45%
Michaël Cuisance32%
Bashkim Ajdini27%
John Verhoek25%
Athanasios Androutsos23%
Florian Kleinhansl21%
Florian Bähr20%
Robert Tesche17%
Oumar Diakhité16%
Maxwell Gyamfi16%
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt13%
Jannes Wulff12%
Thomas Goiginger11%
Philipp Kühn11%
Christian Joe Conteh10%
Henry Rorig10%
Lukas Kunze9%
Niklas Wiemann7%
Noel Niemann7%
Maximilian Thalhammer6%
Timo Beermann0%
Lennart Grill0%
Lex-Tyger Lobinger0%
Erik Engelhardt0%
Charalambos Makridis0%
Lars Kehl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John Verhoek8%
Robert Tesche7%
Christian Joe Conteh7%
Maximilian Thalhammer6%
Florian Kleinhansl6%
Philipp Kühn5%
Oumar Diakhité5%
Bashkim Ajdini5%
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt4%
Michaël Cuisance4%
Jannes Wulff4%
Erik Engelhardt3%
Athanasios Androutsos0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Timo Beermann0%
Lukas Kunze0%
Lennart Grill0%
Noel Niemann0%
Dave Gnaase0%
Niklas Wiemann0%
Lex-Tyger Lobinger0%
Maxwell Gyamfi0%
Charalambos Makridis0%
Henry Rorig0%
Lars Kehl0%
Florian Bähr0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erik Engelhardt22%
Bashkim Ajdini9%
Robert Tesche7%
Oumar Diakhité5%
Charalambos Makridis4%
Maxwell Gyamfi3%
Athanasios Androutsos0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Timo Beermann0%
Maximilian Thalhammer0%
John Verhoek0%
Lukas Kunze0%
Michaël Cuisance0%
Lennart Grill0%
Noel Niemann0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Dave Gnaase0%
Christian Joe Conteh0%
Niklas Wiemann0%
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt0%
Lex-Tyger Lobinger0%
Jannes Wulff0%
Henry Rorig0%
Lars Kehl0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Florian Bähr0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
VfL Osnabrück
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
Jahn Regensburg