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VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

VfL Wolfsburg is the clear favourite, with a 44% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 28% for St. Pauli to win. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Wolfsburg’s home form shows they average 2.11 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against similar opposition, while St. Pauli’s away numbers are 0.78 scored and 1.22 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 82.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 72.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 71.6%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.3%. Wolfsburg’s recent form is a two-game winning streak, whereas St. Pauli are coming off a defeat.

Results analysis

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, a home win for VfL Wolfsburg at 44 percent, failed to materialise, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The game fit the narrative of Wolfsburg’s two-game winning run, but St. Pauli’s form, coming off a defeat, proved resilient. The model’s selection of Under 25.5 fouls hit at 82.8 percent, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 80.8 percent. Over 1.5 goals hit at 76.2 percent, Under 11.5 corners missed at 73.3 percent, Under 5.5 cards hit at 72.9 percent, Under 3.5 hit at 71.6 percent, and Under 23.5 fouls missed at 70.3 percent. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 26 percent chance, came to pass.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg win✗ Miss
43.7%
Avg Implied 54.3% · @ 1.76
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.72
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.79
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W51W23L22D11D00D21W11D21WH·BOR22/12A·18911/01H·BOR14/01A·BAY18/01H·HOL24/01A·EIN02/02H·BAY08/02A·VFB15/02H·VFL22/02A·WER01/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.571.801.671.871.47
vs Stronger (8)1.622.381.002.002.002.60
vs Similar (18)1.891.442.112.001.670.89
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.670.333.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L20W30W11D02L01L02L02LA·VFB21/12H·EIN11/01A·VFL15/01A·1. 18/01H·UNI26/01H·FC 01/02A·RB 09/02H·SC 15/02A·FSV22/02H·BOR01/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.130.791.071.061.19
vs Stronger (10)0.601.100.001.001.201.20
vs Similar (16)0.881.251.001.290.781.22
vs Weaker (4)2.000.752.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.87-0.8%
Under 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.96+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
VfL Wolfsburg goals ↓
FC St. Pauli goals →
01234
08.0%6.8%4.7%1.9%0.5%
19.0%13%7.1%2.8%0.8%
27.7%9.1%5.4%2.1%0.6%
33.9%4.6%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Wolfsburg goals (down), columns = FC St. Pauli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.32 points better than FC St. Pauli in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.82 goals better than FC St. Pauli in terms of goals scored per game (1.65 vs 0.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.38 goals worse than FC St. Pauli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
VfL Wolfsburg is 2.1 percentage points better than FC St. Pauli in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

For 4.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1402835573919103264784104108121210138111214A·WERH·VFLA·VFBH·BAYA·EINH·HOLA·BAYH·BORA·189H·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

602233323312432121332565465136A·WERH·VFLA·VFBH·BAYA·EINH·HOLA·BAYH·BORA·189H·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.1

⚠️ Fouls

2909138151510788891091010714158822232515161919172916A·WERH·VFLA·VFBH·BAYA·EINH·HOLA·BAYH·BORA·189H·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 4.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1307156264531574476331981189412813610H·BORA·FSVH·SC A·RB H·FC H·UNIA·1. A·VFLH·EINA·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60123312313321413223615433534H·BORA·FSVH·SC A·RB H·FC H·UNIA·1. A·VFLH·EINA·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

340111310910108121618615181115787111024192020342129221521H·BORA·FSVH·SC A·RB H·FC H·UNIA·1. A·VFLH·EINA·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.410.35.15.05.323.724.722.6
vs Stronger (12)9.310.28.55.25.35.219.822.217.3
vs Similar (32)9.78.910.45.24.95.424.925.724.1
vs Weaker (6)11.810.713.04.85.04.725.024.725.3
% over line52%36%68%70%80%60%62%76%48%
% under line48%64%32%30%20%40%38%24%52%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.93.94.03.720.321.019.7
vs Stronger (10)8.58.28.83.62.84.418.918.019.8
vs Similar (32)8.98.59.34.04.43.621.422.620.1
vs Weaker (8)12.611.813.53.84.03.518.218.518.0
% over line43%40%46%52%56%48%31%28%33%
% under line57%60%54%48%44%52%69%72%67%
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.1
SV Elversberg
10.9
VfL Bochum
10.8
1899 Hoffenheim
10.7
FC Augsburg
10.1
FSV Mainz 05
10.0
Borussia Dortmund
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
RB Leipzig
9.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.9
VfL Wolfsburg
9.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.8
Union Berlin
9.8
1. FC Heidenheim
9.7
Bayer Leverkusen
9.7
Werder Bremen
9.4
FC St. Pauli
9.4
Bayern München
9.1
SC Freiburg
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
VfB Stuttgart
5.3
FSV Mainz 05
5.2
VfL Wolfsburg
5.1
Werder Bremen
4.9
Holstein Kiel
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.6
RB Leipzig
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.4
1. FC Heidenheim
4.4
Union Berlin
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.3
Bayer Leverkusen
4.3
Borussia Dortmund
4.2
SC Freiburg
4.0
1899 Hoffenheim
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
VfL Bochum
24.8
FSV Mainz 05
24.4
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
VfL Wolfsburg
23.7
FC Augsburg
23.0
VfB Stuttgart
22.8
Werder Bremen
22.6
Holstein Kiel
22.5
1899 Hoffenheim
22.2
Union Berlin
22.1
SV Elversberg
21.7
RB Leipzig
21.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.3
SC Freiburg
20.8
FC St. Pauli
20.3
Borussia Dortmund
20.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.6
Bayer Leverkusen
19.4
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.8%
Under 21.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W12L01L00D00D00D00D10WH·BOR22/12A·18911/01H·BOR14/01A·BAY18/01H·HOL24/01A·EIN02/02H·BAY08/02A·VFB15/02H·VFL22/02A·WER01/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.530.801.000.60
vs Stronger (8)0.881.380.001.331.401.40
vs Similar (18)0.610.560.560.890.670.22
vs Weaker (4)1.250.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W10W10W02L00D00D00DA·VFB21/12H·EIN11/01A·VFL15/01A·1. 18/01H·UNI26/01H·FC 01/02A·RB 09/02H·SC 15/02A·FSV22/02H·BOR01/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.290.360.380.69
vs Stronger (10)0.300.700.000.400.601.00
vs Similar (16)0.380.440.430.430.330.44
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D41W11D21W11D00D21W11D11DH·BOR22/12A·18911/01H·BOR14/01A·BAY18/01H·HOL24/01A·EIN02/02H·BAY08/02A·VFB15/02H·VFL22/02A·WER01/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.871.270.870.870.87
vs Stronger (8)0.751.001.000.670.601.20
vs Similar (18)1.280.891.561.111.000.67
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W20W01L00D01L02L02LA·VFB21/12H·EIN11/01A·VFL15/01A·1. 18/01H·UNI26/01H·FC 01/02A·RB 09/02H·SC 15/02A·FSV22/02H·BOR01/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.500.710.690.50
vs Stronger (10)0.300.400.000.600.600.20
vs Similar (16)0.500.810.570.860.440.78
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

VfL Wolfsburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Wind26%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Tiago Tomás17%
Mattias Svanberg13%
Sebastiaan Bornauw12%
Ridle Baku11%
Lukas Nmecha10%
Maximilian Arnold10%
Joakim Mæhle10%
Denis Vavro9%
Lovro Majer9%
Patrick Wimmer9%
Andreas Skov Olsen8%
Yannick Gerhardt6%
Kevin Behrens5%
Bence Dárdai4%
Kilian Fischer3%
Marius Müller0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Salih Özcan0%
Jakub Kamiński0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Konstantinos Koulierakis0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cedric Zesiger50%
Maximilian Arnold30%
Mattias Svanberg22%
Tiago Tomás19%
Joakim Mæhle19%
Sebastiaan Bornauw19%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura18%
Kilian Fischer17%
Yannick Gerhardt15%
Denis Vavro12%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Konstantinos Koulierakis12%
Ridle Baku11%
Kevin Behrens11%
Lovro Majer9%
Salih Özcan8%
Jakub Kamiński8%
Aster Vranckx7%
Kamil Grabara6%
Jonas Wind6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Bence Dárdai4%
Marius Müller0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Maximilian Arnold20%
Joakim Mæhle13%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Jakub Kamiński12%
Jonas Wind11%
Ridle Baku11%
Lovro Majer9%
Andreas Skov Olsen8%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Konstantinos Koulierakis6%
Mattias Svanberg4%
Bence Dárdai4%
Yannick Gerhardt3%
Tiago Tomás3%
Marius Müller0%
Denis Vavro0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Lukas Nmecha0%
Salih Özcan0%
Kevin Behrens0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Kilian Fischer0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Lovro Majer18%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Tiago Tomás11%
Konstantinos Koulierakis9%
Jonas Wind9%
Ridle Baku6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Mattias Svanberg4%
Maximilian Arnold3%
Denis Vavro3%
Marius Müller0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Salih Özcan0%
Kevin Behrens0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Jakub Kamiński0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Bence Dárdai0%
David Odogu0%
FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Guilavogui22%
Johannes Eggestein14%
Elias Saad11%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Lars Ritzka9%
Siebe Van Der Heyden8%
Danel Sinani7%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Andreas Albers7%
Manolis Saliakas6%
Eric Smith6%
Adam Dźwigała6%
Noah Weißhaupt5%
Jackson Irvine0%
Connor Metcalfe0%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Philipp Treu0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Guilavogui26%
Siebe Van Der Heyden23%
Eric Smith21%
Karol Mets17%
Manolis Saliakas16%
James Sands14%
Abdoulie Ceesay14%
David Nemeth12%
Adam Dźwigała12%
Danel Sinani11%
Johannes Eggestein10%
Jackson Irvine10%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Scott Banks8%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Robert Wagner7%
Philipp Treu6%
Elias Saad5%
Lars Ritzka4%
Nikola Vasilj3%
Hauke Wahl3%
Andreas Albers0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Eggestein17%
Jackson Irvine16%
Morgan Guilavogui15%
Elias Saad11%
Philipp Treu9%
David Nemeth4%
Danel Sinani4%
Manolis Saliakas3%
Eric Smith3%
Oladapo Afolayan3%
Connor Metcalfe0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Scott Banks0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elias Saad21%
Morgan Guilavogui19%
Jackson Irvine16%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan6%
Lars Ritzka4%
Danel Sinani4%
Carlo Boukhalfa4%
Johannes Eggestein3%
Philipp Treu3%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Manolis Saliakas0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
VfL Wolfsburg's squad is €108m more valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€154m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
VfL Wolfsburg's attack is €47m more valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€56m vs €10m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
VfL Wolfsburg's midfield is €16m more valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€32m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
VfL Wolfsburg's defence is €45m more valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€66m vs €21m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VW wins
1
Draws
0
FSP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli · H/A from VW
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24AFC St. Pauli Vs VW0-0

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AWerder Bremen Vs VW1-2
22/02/25HVW Vs VfL Bochum1-1
15/02/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs VW1-2
08/02/25HVW Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-0
02/02/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs VW1-1
24/01/25HVW Vs Holstein Kiel2-2
18/01/25ABayern München Vs VW3-2
14/01/25HVW Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach5-1
11/01/25A1899 Hoffenheim Vs VW0-1
22/12/24HVW Vs Borussia Dortmund1-3

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25HFSP Vs Borussia Dortmund0-2
22/02/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs FSP2-0
15/02/25HFSP Vs SC Freiburg0-1
09/02/25ARB Leipzig Vs FSP2-0
01/02/25HFSP Vs FC Augsburg1-1
26/01/25HFSP Vs Union Berlin3-0
18/01/25A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FSP0-2
15/01/25AVfL Bochum Vs FSP1-0
11/01/25HFSP Vs Eintracht Frankfurt0-1
21/12/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FSP0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.24
HomeLWDDD1.08
AwayWLDWW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%24%40%
AVG goals3.223.363.08
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.561.601.52
Conceded1.661.761.56
BTTS70%80%60%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.869.4410.28
Cards5.145.005.28
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.48
HomeLWDLL1.48
AwayWLWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.442.282.60
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.261.201.32
Conceded1.181.081.28
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.418.969.88
Cards3.944.003.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches