Viborg are favoured to win, with a 55% chance of taking the match, a 24% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a Lyngby victory. The model predicts an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, occurring with an 11.4% chance. Viborg, riding a three-game winning streak, have scored an average of 2.0 goals at home and conceded 3.0, while Lyngby, playing away against a stronger opponent, have scored 2.0 and conceded 3.0 on average. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Under 7.5 at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.0%, Under 6.5 at 95.7% with a 3% edge, Home +2 handicap at 94.3%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.9% with a 7% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.4% with a 2% edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viborg win
55.6%
Avg Implied 52.2% · @ 1.79
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.83
SBO
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Dafabet
1.80
Draw
23.9%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.90
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
Bet365
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Lyngby win
20.5%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.90
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
Dafabet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.43
1.93
1.13
1.53
1.73
vs Stronger (9)
1.89
1.56
2.00
1.17
1.67
2.33
vs Similar (21)
1.67
1.38
1.89
1.11
1.50
1.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.30
2.07
1.13
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.88
1.20
2.18
1.00
1.64
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.2%
@ 1.16+1.1%
Under 1.5
17.8%
@ 4.97-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.25
Superbet
5.15
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.53-1.8%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.41+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.0%
@ 2.34-3.3%
Under 3.5
63.0%
@ 1.58+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Unibet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Both teams to score
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.51-2.6%
No
41.1%
@ 2.41+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
No
Betfair
2.55
William Hil
2.45
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 7.43+5.0%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.84+4.1%
2-0
8.8%@ 10.01+4.3%
1-0
8.0%@ 9.39+3.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.83+2.6%
3-0
5.7%@ 14.86+2.7%
1-2
5.7%@ 11.85+1.9%
0-0
5.6%@ 15.03+2.6%
Viborg goals ↓
Lyngby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.0%
11%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.9%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.7%
6.4%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.8%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = Lyngby goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Viborg is 1.67 points better than Lyngby in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Viborg is 0.50 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Viborg is 1.17 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Viborg is 4.8 percentage points worse than Lyngby in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.5 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
For 5.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.5 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.5
2.8
2.9
2.8
25.1
24.8
25.4
vs Stronger (14)
9.0
9.5
8.4
3.0
3.1
2.9
25.4
25.3
25.4
vs Similar (35)
10.0
10.5
9.4
2.7
2.8
2.7
24.9
24.6
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
17.0
-
17.0
5.0
-
5.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
55%
62%
48%
40%
35%
44%
79%
76%
81%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
60%
65%
56%
21%
24%
19%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.9
1.1
1.5
0.8
25.3
27.1
23.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.4
10.3
10.5
3.5
3.8
3.0
29.4
33.0
24.0
vs Similar (42)
8.9
8.0
9.6
0.8
1.1
0.7
23.0
22.8
23.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
57%
71%
16%
25%
8%
64%
71%
57%
% under line
36%
43%
29%
84%
75%
92%
36%
29%
43%
This opponent (Viborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Copenhagen
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
28.1
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lyngby
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Randers FC
22.1
Odense
21.8
Sonderjyske
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.6
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.67+3.0%
Under 9.5
41.5%
@ 2.09-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.88
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Under
Unibet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.08
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.0%
@ 1.62-7.7%
Under 3.5
51.0%
@ 2.13+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.58
Under
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.10
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Viborg or Draw
85.1%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
+8.9%
56%
24%
21%
covers Viborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Viborg or Lyngby
78.9%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.22
Edge
+2.5%
56%
24%
21%
covers Viborg + Lyngby
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Lyngby
36.0%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.98
Edge
-11.4%
56%
24%
21%
covers Draw + Lyngby
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Viborg over/under 0.5
Over
88.9%
@ 1.11+5.4%
Under
11.1%
@ 5.66-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Unibet
5.60
Viborg over/under 1.5
Over
64.6%
@ 1.62+7.0%
Under
35.4%
@ 2.20-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Viborg over/under 2.5
Over
37.8%
@ 2.93+6.0%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.37-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Viborg over/under 3.5
Over
18.1%
@ 5.93+2.4%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.10-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.90
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Lyngby over/under 0.5
Over
62.8%
@ 1.32-7.5%
Under
37.2%
@ 3.14+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Lyngby over/under 1.5
Over
26.0%
@ 2.60-10.0%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.46+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Lyngby over/under 2.5
Over
7.8%
@ 6.07-7.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.09+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Lyngby over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
@ 15.17-4.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Viborg, so a minus line means Viborg give that many goals of a start and Lyngby receive them. At -1, Viborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Viborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Viborg)
Viborg -2
22.2%
@ 5.63+6.4%
Draw -2
19.5%
@ 5.00+1.6%
Lyngby +2
58.3%
@ 1.35-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Unibet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Away
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Viborg)
Viborg -1
41.7%
@ 2.91+11.0%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.77-1.4%
Lyngby +1
36.0%
@ 1.96-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Viborg)
Viborg +1
85.1%
@ 1.23+12.1%
Draw +1
9.5%
@ 5.68-6.3%
Lyngby -1
5.3%
@ 8.07-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.60
Superbet
5.60
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Viborg)
Viborg +2
94.7%
@ 1.06+7.4%
Draw +2
3.9%
@ 11.33-4.2%
Lyngby -2
1.4%
@ 20.00-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
16.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.20
0.47
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
0.56
1.33
0.17
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.57
1.11
0.67
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.87
0.40
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.64
1.00
0.36
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.26-1.7%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.51+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.6%
@ 2.25-5.9%
Under 1.5
64.4%
@ 1.60+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.4%
@ 5.03-5.1%
Under 2.5
86.6%
@ 1.14+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.20
Unibet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.9%
@ 1.62-2.7%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.20+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Unibet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Viborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.1%
@ 3.96-5.2%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.21+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Under
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Viborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.2%
@ 10.06-4.2%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.3%
@ 2.19-6.2%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.62+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.8%
@ 6.97-6.4%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.07+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 21.17-3.4%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.73
0.67
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.81
0.78
0.44
1.17
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.20
0.73
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.16
0.56
1.18
0.64
1.14
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.15-0.4%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 4.92+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Under
Betano
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.4%
@ 1.76-4.7%
Under 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.99+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.1%
@ 3.29-6.1%
Under 2.5
77.9%
@ 1.30+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Unibet
3.25
1xBet
3.18
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.29
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
68.0%
@ 1.41+2.4%
Under
32.0%
@ 2.69-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Viborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
29.3%
@ 2.91-2.4%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.35+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.88
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Viborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.9%
@ 7.22-5.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.06+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.7%
@ 1.81-11.4%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.89+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.6%
@ 5.04-8.8%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.14+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 13.83-5.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 7.5
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
Under 6.5
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Unibet
1.01
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
+4.2%
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+7.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+6.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+7.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+5.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.4%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+8.8%
Under 5.5
89.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+2.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
88.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+5.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.1%
Home or Draw
85.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+8.9%
Home +1 handicap
85.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+12.1%
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
1.35
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+15.1%
Over 1.5
82.2%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+1.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
81.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-2.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.9%
1.21
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+5.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
-0.4%
Home or Away
78.9%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+2.5%
Under 4.5
78.2%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+1.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.29
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
+6.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.0%
1.46
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
+10.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
-1.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.7%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+2.4%
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
1.37
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
+3.7%
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
1.57
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
+11.4%
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
-1.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dorian Hanza33%
Asker Beck33%
Charly Nouck33%
Thomas Jørgensen25%
Mads Søndergaard20%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bilal Brahimi20%
Jeppe Grønning17%
Oliver Bundgaard17%
Žan Zaletel17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Dorian Hanza0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Charly Nouck0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Søndergaard40%
Oliver Bundgaard33%
Žan Zaletel17%
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Casper Winther17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Renzo Tytens17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cornelius Allen40%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Casper Winther33%
Munashe Garananga33%
Renzo Tytens33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Lauge Sandgrav17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Diego Kochen0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn17%
Oskar Buur17%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Colyn50%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson50%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Viborg's squad is €6m more valuable than Lyngby's (€19m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Viborg's attack is €3m more valuable than Lyngby's (€6m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Viborg's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lyngby's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Viborg's defence is €6m more valuable than Lyngby's (€11m vs €5m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Sonderjyske