Viborg are tipped to edge Odense, with a 45 % chance of a home win, 26 % for a draw and 29 % for an away victory. The model expects three goals on average, but the most likely total is two, with a 24 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.2 % chance. Viborg, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, while Odense on the road averages 1.54 scored and 1.23 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 87.4 %, Over 1.5 at 81.1 % (miss), Under 4.5 cards at 74.9 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.8 % and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.3 % (miss). Viborg’s recent form shows a two-game winning streak, having beaten FC Copenhagen 4-0, whereas Odense is coming off a draw, 2-2 with Aarhus.
Results analysis
Viborg’s 1-0 win over Odense kept the home side on a two-game winning streak, extending their recent form. The match finished with a 1-0 scoreline, a clear home victory that matched the model’s pick of a Home win, which it had assigned a 45 % probability to and proved correct. The total goals of one fell far below the model’s expected 3.0 and the most likely 2-goal total, underscoring a low-scoring affair. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 87.4 %, Under 4.5 cards hit at 74.9 %, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.8 %. However, Over 1.5 missed at 81.1 % and Under 25.5 fouls missed at 72.3 %.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viborg win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odense win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.53
1.79
1.36
1.69
1.69
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.60
1.60
1.40
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (20)
1.95
1.50
1.89
1.33
2.00
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.62
1.56
vs Stronger (8)
1.62
2.75
1.40
2.60
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.59
1.14
1.67
1.00
1.54
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0 ✓
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
Viborg goals ↓
Odense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
5.5%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
1
7.3%
12%
7.3%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.3%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.0%
5.2%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.7%
2.2%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = Odense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.64
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Odense
1.28
Lyngby
1.25
AC Horsens
1.20
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
Viborg is 0.09 points better than Odense in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.12
Aarhus
1.94
Odense
1.59
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Viborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.40
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
AC Horsens
1.34
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.03
Viborg is 0.06 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.12
Brondby
1.15
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Lyngby
1.72
AC Horsens
1.80
Odense
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
Viborg is 0.28 goals better than Odense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Sonderjyske
44%
Viborg is 3.8 percentage points worse than Odense in terms of average possession (48% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Odense
For 6.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.9
9.3
3.0
3.0
3.0
24.5
24.1
24.9
vs Stronger (14)
9.2
10.0
8.4
2.8
2.7
2.9
25.2
25.0
25.4
vs Similar (34)
9.4
9.7
9.1
3.0
3.1
2.9
24.2
24.1
24.4
vs Weaker (2)
14.0
11.0
17.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
24.5
20.0
29.0
% over line
51%
57%
45%
42%
38%
46%
73%
67%
80%
% under line
49%
43%
55%
58%
62%
54%
27%
33%
20%
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.6
1.8
2.0
1.7
21.8
22.1
21.4
vs Stronger (10)
9.3
9.0
9.6
3.6
4.2
3.0
21.8
22.6
21.0
vs Similar (40)
11.0
10.9
11.1
1.4
1.4
1.4
21.7
21.9
21.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
69%
56%
22%
25%
19%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
38%
31%
44%
78%
75%
81%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.5
AC Horsens
10.5
Lyngby
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.8
Brondby
9.7
Randers FC
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Silkeborg
9.3
Aarhus
9.1
FC Nordsjaelland
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Lyngby
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.5
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Viborg
24.0
Brondby
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Lyngby
23.3
Aarhus
23.1
Sonderjyske
22.0
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.9
AC Horsens
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.3%
Under 21.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.14
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.70
1.22
0.67
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.57
0.79
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.75
0.40
1.60
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.41
0.67
0.33
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.64
0.86
1.06
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.60
1.20
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.80
0.67
0.67
1.45
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.79
0.94
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.77
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Viborg's squad is €12m more valuable than Odense's (€30m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
Viborg's attack is €2m more valuable than Odense's (€8m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
AH (6)
€2m
Viborg's midfield is €5m more valuable than Odense's (€9m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Viborg's defence is €5m more valuable than Odense's (€13m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
AC Horsens
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske