Victoria Rosport look poised for a high-scoring encounter against Ré Sidence Walferdange, with both sides averaging over two goals per game. The model predicts a home win, giving Victoria a 43% chance, a draw 24%, and a 32% chance for Walferdange. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% probability. Victoria’s home form shows 2.14 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Walferdange’s away form shows 2.0 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 97.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 96.1%, Under 6.5 goals at 93.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.3%, Over 3.5 cards at 89.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 88.3%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 86.9%. The home side’s recent draw and the away side’s recent win set the stage for a competitive match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Victoria Rosport win
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange win
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Victoria Rosport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.97
1.54
1.69
1.18
2.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.86
0.83
1.33
0.88
2.25
vs Similar (15)
1.73
2.00
2.14
2.00
1.38
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Résidence Walferdange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Résidence Walferdange
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
2.20
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
0.50
1.50
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (3)
1.67
1.33
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
11% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.1%
No
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
Résidence Walferdange goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
4.1%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
1
5.0%
10%
7.4%
3.9%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.8%
6.9%
3.7%
1.4%
3
3.4%
5.4%
4.3%
2.3%
0.9%
4
1.6%
2.5%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = Résidence Walferdange goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Victoria Rosport is 1.00 points worse than Résidence Walferdange in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Victoria Rosport is 0.20 goals worse than Résidence Walferdange in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Victoria Rosport is 1.20 goals worse than Résidence Walferdange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Victoria Rosport
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Résidence Walferdange
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Victoria Rosport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
11.5
8.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
25.0
23.0
26.0
vs Stronger (21)
8.0
9.0
7.0
0.9
1.0
0.8
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (27)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.4
0.8
0.2
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
6%
9%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
94%
91%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Résidence Walferdange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Résidence Walferdange
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.2%
Under 9.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.6%
Under 3.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.9%
Under 21.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Victoria Rosport or Draw
67.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
24%
32%
covers Victoria Rosport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport or Résidence Walferdange
75.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
24%
32%
covers Victoria Rosport + Résidence Walferdange
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Résidence Walferdange
56.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
24%
32%
covers Draw + Résidence Walferdange
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5
Over
84.5%
Under
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5
Over
55.6%
Under
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 0.5
Over
79.5%
Under
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 1.5
Over
47.0%
Under
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 2.5
Over
21.2%
Under
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 3.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Victoria Rosport, so a minus line means Victoria Rosport give that many goals of a start and Résidence Walferdange receive them. At -1, Victoria Rosport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Victoria Rosport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Victoria Rosport)
Victoria Rosport -2
11.0%
Draw -2
13.4%
Résidence Walferdange +2
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Victoria Rosport)
Victoria Rosport -1
24.4%
Draw -1
19.3%
Résidence Walferdange +1
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Victoria Rosport)
Victoria Rosport +1
67.9%
Draw +1
16.2%
Résidence Walferdange -1
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Victoria Rosport)
Victoria Rosport +2
84.1%
Draw +2
9.7%
Résidence Walferdange -2
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Victoria Rosport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.85
0.69
0.29
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.79
0.50
0.17
0.12
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.00
1.14
1.14
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Résidence Walferdange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Résidence Walferdange
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
1.00
0.50
1.25
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Victoria Rosport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.07
0.69
1.00
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.33
1.17
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Résidence Walferdange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Résidence Walferdange
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.33
0.50
0.25
1.20
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Résidence Walferdange over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport's squad is €1m more valuable than Résidence Walferdange's (€2m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
VR wins
0
Draws
0
RW wins
Head-to-head
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange · H/A from VR
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
UN Kaerjeng 97
Progres Niederkorn
Atert Bissen
US Hostert
F91 Dudelange
US Rumelange
Wiltz
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Swift Hesperange