The contest between Victoria Rosport and UN Kaerjeng 97 is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 37%. The draw sits at 29% and the away side 34%. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.6% chance. Victoria Rosport, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while UN Kaerjeng 97, on the road, averages 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 goals at 75.5% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.4%. Victoria Rosport’s recent form shows a draw before a string of losses, whereas UN Kaerjeng 97 is on a two-game winning streak, having beaten Swift Hesperange 6-0. The model’s selection remains a home victory, with a 37% probability, a draw at 29%, and an away win at 34%. The Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 picks carry 75.5% and 72.4% respectively.
Victoria Rosport extended a modest run, coming off a draw, while UN Kaerjeng 97 rode a two-game winning streak into the match. The Pythia model favoured a home win with a 37% probability, and the prediction proved correct as Victoria Rosport triumphed 3-0. The model also called the total to be 2, but the game produced three goals. Its suggested selections were Over 1.5 (75.5% chance) and Under 3.5 (72.4% chance); both hit, with the first reflecting the high goal output and the second underscoring the final tally staying below the 3.5 threshold. The overall forecast, including the favourite result and key selections, aligned closely with the actual outcome.
Victoria Rosport| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 2.14 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.50 | 2.88 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 1.83 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 2.67 |
| vs Similar (7) | 2.00 | 2.57 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 14% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.29 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (6) | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 21% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| UN Kaerjeng 97 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 14% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Victoria Rosport
UN Kaerjeng 97
Victoria Rosport| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (14) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (6) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (7) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (14) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (7) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (6) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Victoria Rosport| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.93 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.17 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.86 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.14 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (6) | 0.83 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 64% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
Victoria Rosport| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.86 | 1.21 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.33 | 1.17 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 29% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 1.21 | 0.43 | 1.43 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 1.29 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (6) | 0.17 | 1.17 | 0.33 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 36% (+9pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 72.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Victoria Rosport| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/22 | A | 2-0 | |
| 27/11/22 | H | 0-0 | |
| 13/11/22 | A | 1-6 | |
| 06/11/22 | H | 2-3 | |
| 23/10/22 | A | 4-1 | |
| 16/10/22 | H | 3-1 | |
| 09/10/22 | A | 5-1 | |
| 18/09/22 | H | 0-0 | |
| 10/09/22 | A | 2-2 | |
| 04/09/22 | H | 2-2 |
UN Kaerjeng 97| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 27/11/22 | H | 2-4 | |
| 13/11/22 | A | 4-2 | |
| 06/11/22 | H | 0-2 | |
| 23/10/22 | A | 2-2 | |
| 16/10/22 | H | 3-2 | |
| 09/10/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 18/09/22 | H | 0-1 | |
| 11/09/22 | A | 0-2 | |
| 04/09/22 | H | 0-5 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Swift Hesperange | 30 | 77 | 80% | 2.6 | 100 | 28 | +72 | 4.3 | 93% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | 0.9 | - |
| 2 | Progres Niederkorn | 30 | 70 | 73% | 2.3 | 67 | 31 | +36 | 3.3 | 73% | 63% | 47% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | F91 Dudelange | 30 | 67 | 73% | 2.2 | 86 | 38 | +48 | 4.1 | 93% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | - |
| 4 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 59 | 60% | 2.0 | 62 | 38 | +24 | 3.3 | 87% | 57% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | - |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 30 | 45 | 47% | 1.5 | 60 | 43 | +17 | 3.4 | 80% | 63% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 30 | 45 | 47% | 1.5 | 52 | 52 | +0 | 3.5 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 7 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 43 | 40% | 1.4 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 2.8 | 80% | 50% | 30% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 30 | 43 | 37% | 1.4 | 43 | 39 | +4 | 2.7 | 70% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 9 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 39 | 40% | 1.3 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 2.6 | 70% | 57% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Wiltz | 30 | 36 | 33% | 1.2 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 3.6 | 90% | 77% | 37% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | - |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 32 | 27% | 1.1 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 3.5 | 87% | 70% | 53% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | - |
| 12 | Mondercange | 30 | 29 | 23% | 1.0 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 37% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 13 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 31 | 28 | 19% | 0.9 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 3.4 | 84% | 58% | 45% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | - |
| 14 | Fola Esch | 31 | 27 | 26% | 0.9 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 3.6 | 81% | 71% | 52% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.4 | - |
| 15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 30 | 23 | 20% | 0.8 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 3.4 | 90% | 77% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | - |
| 16 | US Hostert | 30 | 18 | 13% | 0.6 | 20 | 65 | -45 | 2.8 | 67% | 50% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | - |
| 17 | Jeunesse Canach | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 6.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 18 | Bettembourg | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - |