PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Victoria Rosport vs UNA Strassen Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Rosport win✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen win✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L13L11D01L22D22DA·MON07/08A·WIL14/08H·AS 20/08A·PRO28/08H·US 04/09A·RAC10/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.331.501.501.002.75
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (5)1.402.601.501.501.333.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L32W21W04L13L02LA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.331.002.671.332.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.402.401.503.001.332.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-0 ✓
5.1%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
UNA Strassen goals →
01234
05.1%4.8%4.3%2.1%0.8%
16.0%11%7.5%3.6%1.3%
26.2%9.0%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = UNA Strassen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Victoria Rosport is 0.23 points worse than UNA Strassen in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Victoria Rosport is 0.50 goals better than UNA Strassen in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Victoria Rosport is 0.40 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D01L01L00D11DA·MON07/08A·WIL14/08H·AS 20/08A·PRO28/08H·US 04/09A·RAC10/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.170.000.500.751.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.601.200.000.501.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W01L01L11D00DA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.670.670.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.001.001.000.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L10W00D22D11DA·MON07/08A·WIL14/08H·AS 20/08A·PRO28/08H·US 04/09A·RAC10/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.171.501.000.251.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (5)0.801.401.501.000.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W03L02L02LA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.500.332.000.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.601.400.502.000.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
Victoria Rosport's squad is €1m less valuable than UNA Strassen's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and UNA Strassen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and UNA Strassen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and UNA Strassen have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VR wins
0
Draws
0
US wins

Head-to-head

Victoria Rosport vs UNA Strassen · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs VR2-2
04/09/22HVR Vs US Hostert2-2
28/08/22AProgres Niederkorn Vs VR1-0
20/08/22HVR Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-1
14/08/22AWiltz Vs VR3-1
07/08/22AMondercange Vs VR5-1

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22HUS Vs UN Kaerjeng 970-2
04/09/22AF91 Dudelange Vs US3-1
28/08/22HUS Vs Swift Hesperange0-4
21/08/22AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs US1-2
14/08/22HUS Vs FC Differdange 033-2
07/08/22AFola Esch Vs US2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD0.50
HomeDD1.00
AwayLLLD0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.503.003.75
Over 1.5 %83%100%75%
Over 2.5 %67%50%75%
Over 3.5 %67%50%75%
Scored1.171.501.00
Conceded2.331.502.75
BTTS83%100%75%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.00
HomeWLL1.00
AwayLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals3.503.673.33
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %83%67%100%
Over 3.5 %50%67%33%
Scored1.171.001.33
Conceded2.332.672.00
BTTS67%33%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

← all matches