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Victoria Rosport vs US Hostert Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Victoria Rosport a 43% win probability against US Hostert in the Luxembourg: National Division on 2026-05-23, with 27% for the draw and 30% for US Hostert. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 3.5 cards (91%), Over 21.5 fouls (88%), Over 1.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Victoria Rosport finished 2-4 against US Hostert (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 27% draw and 30% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Rosport win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
US Hostert win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W34L13L21W03L12L21W10W03LH·ATE08/03A·MAM15/03H·RAC22/03A·ROD04/04H·JEU12/04A·FC 19/04H·AS 26/04A·F9103/05H·US 10/05A·SWI17/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.571.361.361.001.75
vs Stronger (18)0.831.781.221.560.442.00
vs Similar (12)1.671.251.601.001.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L15L32W02L13L03L04L42W10W01LA·FC 08/03H·PRO15/03A·AS 22/03H·UN 04/04A·F9112/04H·ATE19/04A·US 26/04H·MAM03/05A·SWI10/05H·RAC17/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.871.071.671.132.07
vs Stronger (20)1.002.050.901.601.102.50
vs Similar (10)1.301.501.401.801.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
US Hostert goals →
01234
07.1%6.3%4.8%2.0%0.6%
18.0%13%7.4%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.1%5.8%2.5%0.8%
33.7%4.7%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = US Hostert goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Atert Bissen
2.17
FC Differdange 03
2.17
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.93
UNA Strassen
1.93
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.33
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.27
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.13
Swift Hesperange
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.03
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Wiltz
1.00
Mamer
0.97
Rodange 91
0.83
Union Titus Petange
0.83
Victoria Rosport is 0.03 points worse than US Hostert in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atert Bissen
2.33
FC Differdange 03
2.10
F91 Dudelange
1.97
UNA Strassen
1.90
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.70
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.47
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.17
US Hostert
1.17
Victoria Rosport
1.10
Mamer
1.06
Swift Hesperange
1.03
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
0.97
Rodange 91
0.93
Union Titus Petange
0.87
Wiltz
0.00
Victoria Rosport is 0.07 goals worse than US Hostert in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wiltz
0.00
FC Differdange 03
0.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.80
UNA Strassen
0.87
Atert Bissen
0.90
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.13
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Jeunesse Canach
1.45
Swift Hesperange
1.53
Progres Niederkorn
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.60
Union Titus Petange
1.63
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.67
Victoria Rosport
1.67
US Hostert
1.87
Mamer
1.90
Rodange 91
2.17
Victoria Rosport is 0.20 goals better than US Hostert in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.87).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
F91 Dudelange
61%
Progres Niederkorn
60%
UNA Strassen
57%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
56%
FC Differdange 03
54%
US Hostert
53%
Rodange 91
52%
US Mondorf-les-bains
52%
Atert Bissen
51%
Jeunesse Canach
49%
Swift Hesperange
48%
AS Jeunesse Esch
46%
Mamer
45%
Union Titus Petange
45%
UN Kaerjeng 97
41%
Victoria Rosport
40%
Victoria Rosport is 12.4 percentage points worse than US Hostert in terms of average possession (40% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

For 2.5 · Against 7.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

14095718914799H·UN A·PROH·UNAA·US
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

90361154352192983H·UN A·PROH·UNAA·UNIA·US
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

29012111491712232329A·PROH·UNAA·US
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

US HostertUS Hostert

For 5.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

9063534345998799A·UNAH·JEUA·UNIH·RODH·VIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

90524224541276693A·UNAH·JEUA·UNIH·RODH·VIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 29.0

⚠️ Fouls

340171521131110121732342129A·UNAH·JEUH·RODH·VIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.811.58.00.60.80.525.023.026.0
vs Stronger (29)8.09.07.00.70.60.723.023.023.0
vs Similar (19)11.514.09.00.61.10.329.0-29.0
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line25%50%0%6%8%4%100%100%100%
% under line75%50%100%94%92%96%0%0%0%
This opponent (US Hostert) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.78.00.60.70.529.028.032.0
vs Stronger (33)8.0-8.00.40.00.832.0-32.0
vs Similar (17)8.78.7-1.12.00.028.028.0-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%0%8%8%8%75%67%100%
% under line100%100%100%92%92%92%25%33%0%
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Mamer
10.3
Victoria Rosport
9.8
Rodange 91
9.3
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Jeunesse Canach
8.2
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
Union Titus Petange
5.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Rodange 91
7.8
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Mamer
6.8
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
Union Titus Petange
6.2
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
Jeunesse Canach
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Jeunesse Canach
30.6
Swift Hesperange
30.4
Mamer
30.3
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
Rodange 91
28.0
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
Union Titus Petange
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.6%
Under 9.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
90.6%
Under 3.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.5%
Under 21.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 3.5 cards90.6%--------
Over 21.5 fouls87.5%--------
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
FD0 (16)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Victoria Rosport vs US Hostert · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25AUS Hostert Vs VR1-4
13/04/25HVR Vs US Hostert1-2
20/10/24AUS Hostert Vs VR1-4
05/03/23AUS Hostert Vs VR1-3
04/09/22HVR Vs US Hostert2-2

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ASwift Hesperange Vs VR3-0
10/05/26HVR Vs US Mondorf-les-bains1-0
03/05/26AF91 Dudelange Vs VR1-2
26/04/26HVR Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-2
19/04/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs VR3-0
12/04/26HVR Vs Jeunesse Canach2-1
04/04/26ARodange 91 Vs VR3-1
22/03/26HVR Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg3-4
15/03/26AMamer Vs VR0-2
08/03/26HVR Vs Atert Bissen1-0

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HUH Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-1
10/05/26ASwift Hesperange Vs UH0-1
03/05/26HUH Vs Mamer4-2
26/04/26AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs UH4-0
19/04/26HUH Vs Atert Bissen0-3
12/04/26AF91 Dudelange Vs UH3-1
04/04/26HUH Vs UN Kaerjeng 970-2
22/03/26AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UH2-3
15/03/26HUH Vs Progres Niederkorn1-5
08/03/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs UH3-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.16
HomeWLWLW1.17
AwayWLLWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals2.582.422.73
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %22%12%31%
Scored1.041.001.08
Conceded1.541.421.65
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners9.7511.508.00
Cards6.209.004.33
US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.22
HomeLLLWL1.23
AwayLWLLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals3.343.353.33
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %66%62%71%
Over 3.5 %46%42%50%
Scored1.301.271.33
Conceded2.042.082.00
BTTS62%69%54%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners8.408.678.00
Cards6.206.006.50

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Atert BissenAtert Bissen3065
67%
2.2
7027+43
3.2
83%
60%
37%
8.6
40%
6.6
100%
26.0
80%
0
0002.30.9
51%
2FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033065
63%
2.2
6322+41
2.8
70%
50%
40%
6.0
0%
5.5
100%
28.5
100%
2
1012.10.7
54%
3US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3060
63%
2.0
5124+27
2.5
70%
50%
33%
11.0
100%
6.2
80%
25.3
100%
0
0001.70.8
52%
4UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3058
57%
1.9
5726+31
2.8
70%
53%
37%
7.8
0%
5.6
60%
28.2
100%
3
1111.90.9
57%
5F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3058
57%
1.9
5938+21
3.2
80%
63%
40%
8.0
0%
7.4
80%
24.7
67%
1
0002.01.3
61%
6AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3040
33%
1.3
3534+1
2.3
70%
33%
20%
8.8
25%
6.2
100%
29.0
100%
0
0001.21.1
46%
7Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3040
37%
1.3
4850-2
3.3
77%
57%
43%
7.5
0%
8.8
100%
26.5
100%
1
1011.61.7
56%
8UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973038
37%
1.3
4348-5
3.0
83%
57%
33%
9.2
50%
6.6
80%
27.0
67%
0
0001.41.6
41%
9US HostertUS Hostert3036
33%
1.2
3556-21
3.0
73%
57%
40%
8.4
0%
6.2
80%
29.0
75%
0
0001.21.9
53%
10Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3035
33%
1.2
3350-17
2.8
73%
60%
27%
9.8
25%
6.2
60%
25.0
100%
0
0001.11.7
40%
11Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3034
30%
1.1
4447-3
3.0
77%
53%
33%
7.5
25%
5.0
80%
22.2
75%
0
0001.51.6
60%
12Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3032
30%
1.1
3146-15
2.6
70%
50%
20%
7.2
20%
6.6
100%
29.6
80%
0
0001.01.5
48%
13Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach3132
29%
1.0
3045-15
2.4
58%
48%
29%
8.2
40%
5.6
80%
30.6
100%
0
0001.01.5
49%
14MamerMamer3130
26%
1.0
3359-26
3.0
74%
55%
35%
10.3
67%
6.8
75%
30.3
100%
0
0001.11.9
45%
15Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3025
20%
0.8
2649-23
2.5
70%
47%
17%
5.2
0%
6.2
80%
26.0
67%
0
0000.91.6
45%
16Rodange 91Rodange 913025
20%
0.8
2865-37
3.1
80%
63%
40%
9.3
33%
7.8
100%
28.0
67%
0
0000.92.2
52%
17Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
18WiltzWiltz11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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