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Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Rosport win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wiltz win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D13L11D11D21W12L02L00DH·PRO23/02A·UNI02/03H·SWI08/03A·RAC12/03A·MON16/03H·AS 30/03A·BET06/04H·US 13/04H·FC 19/04A·ROD27/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.370.930.931.131.80
vs Stronger (12)0.502.080.401.600.572.43
vs Similar (18)1.390.891.200.601.621.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L21W13L03L13L20W11D32W32WA·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04H·PRO23/04H·BET27/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.801.431.711.691.88
vs Stronger (16)1.002.310.572.291.332.33
vs Similar (14)2.211.212.291.142.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
Wiltz goals →
01234
09.3%8.0%5.3%2.0%0.6%
19.8%14%7.3%2.8%0.8%
27.6%8.7%5.0%1.9%0.6%
33.5%4.0%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = Wiltz goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Atert Bissen
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.60
UNA Strassen
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.90
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
Swift Hesperange
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Union Titus Petange
1.37
US Hostert
1.27
Victoria Rosport
1.13
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Wiltz
0.97
Rodange 91
0.97
Bettembourg
0.74
Fola Esch
0.43
Mondercange
0.40
Victoria Rosport is 0.17 points better than Wiltz in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.30
F91 Dudelange
2.23
UNA Strassen
2.07
Swift Hesperange
1.87
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.67
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.37
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Rodange 91
1.33
Wiltz
1.23
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Atert Bissen
1.00
Victoria Rosport
0.97
Bettembourg
0.94
Mondercange
0.70
Fola Esch
0.60
Victoria Rosport is 0.26 goals worse than Wiltz in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Atert Bissen
0.00
FC Differdange 03
0.23
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.73
UNA Strassen
0.77
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Union Titus Petange
1.07
F91 Dudelange
1.13
Swift Hesperange
1.13
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.30
Victoria Rosport
1.50
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.60
Bettembourg
1.94
Wiltz
2.00
Rodange 91
2.07
US Hostert
2.30
Mondercange
2.47
Fola Esch
2.60
Victoria Rosport is 0.50 goals better than Wiltz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

WiltzWiltz

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L02L00D00D21W02L00D00DH·PRO23/02A·UNI02/03H·SWI08/03A·RAC12/03A·MON16/03H·AS 30/03A·BET06/04H·US 13/04H·FC 19/04A·ROD27/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.570.130.270.270.87
vs Stronger (12)0.000.830.000.400.001.14
vs Similar (18)0.330.390.200.200.500.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D00D00D03L10W01L11D12LA·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04H·PRO23/04H·BET27/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.600.930.470.87
vs Stronger (16)0.311.120.381.250.251.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.640.860.570.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D11D11D00D10W02L00DH·PRO23/02A·UNI02/03H·SWI08/03A·RAC12/03A·MON16/03H·AS 30/03A·BET06/04H·US 13/04H·FC 19/04A·ROD27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.800.670.870.93
vs Stronger (12)0.501.250.401.200.571.29
vs Similar (18)1.060.501.000.401.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L21W13L03L10W10W10W21W20WA·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04H·PRO23/04H·BET27/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.000.870.871.071.13
vs Stronger (16)0.561.380.381.120.751.62
vs Similar (14)1.430.571.430.571.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
Victoria Rosport's squad is €1m more valuable than Wiltz's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
VR wins
3
Draws
1
WIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24AWiltz Vs VR1-1
17/03/24AWiltz Vs VR2-2
24/09/23HVR Vs Wiltz3-1
12/02/23HVR Vs Wiltz0-0
14/08/22AWiltz Vs VR3-1

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25ARodange 91 Vs VR0-0
19/04/25HVR Vs FC Differdange 030-2
13/04/25HVR Vs US Hostert1-2
06/04/25ABettembourg Vs VR1-2
30/03/25HVR Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-1
16/03/25AMondercange Vs VR1-1
12/03/25ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs VR3-1
08/03/25HVR Vs Swift Hesperange1-1
02/03/25AUnion Titus Petange Vs VR0-0
23/02/25HVR Vs Progres Niederkorn0-0

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HWIL Vs Bettembourg3-2
23/04/25HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn3-2
19/04/25AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs WIL1-1
13/04/25HWIL Vs Mondercange2-0
06/04/25ASwift Hesperange Vs WIL3-1
30/03/25HWIL Vs Union Titus Petange0-3
16/03/25AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-1
12/03/25AJeunesse Canach Vs WIL1-2
09/03/25HWIL Vs US Mondorf-les-bains0-2
02/03/25AF91 Dudelange Vs WIL3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.28
HomeDDDLL1.33
AwayDLDWD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.662.332.96
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %50%38%62%
Over 3.5 %28%17%38%
Scored1.201.081.31
Conceded1.461.251.65
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.14
HomeLLWWW1.17
AwayLWLLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals3.403.333.46
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.541.501.58
Conceded1.861.831.88
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033078
83%
2.6
697+62
2.5
70%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.2
-
2UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3060
60%
2.0
6223+39
2.8
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.8
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3057
57%
1.9
6734+33
3.4
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.1
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3057
57%
1.9
5022+28
2.4
67%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.70.7
-
5Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5430+24
2.8
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3054
53%
1.8
5634+22
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.1
-
7US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3053
53%
1.8
5339+14
3.1
90%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.3
-
8AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3042
37%
1.4
4148-7
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.6
-
9Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3041
37%
1.4
4132+9
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
10US HostertUS Hostert3038
37%
1.3
5069-19
4.0
93%
83%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.3
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3034
27%
1.1
2945-16
2.5
80%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
12WiltzWiltz3130
26%
1.0
3862-24
3.2
84%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13Rodange 91Rodange 913029
23%
1.0
4062-22
3.4
87%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14BettembourgBettembourg3123
23%
0.7
2960-31
2.9
77%
65%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
15Fola EschFola Esch3013
13%
0.4
1878-60
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
16MondercangeMondercange3012
10%
0.4
2174-53
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.5
-
17Atert BissenAtert Bissen13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.0
-
18Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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