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Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-0
Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Vs
41%
24%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Victoria Rosport hosts Wiltz in the Luxembourg National Division on August 23. Recent form suggests a high-scoring match, with Victoria Rosport coming off a win after 4 straight defeats and Wiltz coming off a defeat. The expected total goals are 3.6, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.6%.

Victoria Rosport has a strong home form, scoring 1.54 goals per game on average against stronger opponents, but conceding 2.15 goals. Wiltz has a weaker away form, scoring 1.54 goals per game on average against stronger opponents, but conceding 2.15 goals.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 41% probability. The away win probability is 36%, and the draw probability is 24%. The model also suggests Over 3.5 cards (89.9%), Over 1.5 (88.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (86.7%), BTTS Yes (70.8%), and Over 2.5 (70.1%) as its selections.

Results analysis

Victoria Rosport’s win extends their run, ending a five-match streak with a 4-0 triumph over Wiltz. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, at 41 % probability, proved correct, matching the actual 4-0 result. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals at 96.8 % hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8 % hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 % hit, Under 6.5 at 92.5 % hit, and the edge pick Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.1 % hit. Only Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3 % missed. The predicted most likely score of 1-1, 2-1 or 1-2 was not achieved, but the overall forecast was largely accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Rosport win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.52
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.75
Dafabet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.52
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.55
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.70
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Wiltz win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.36
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
William Hil
2.38

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W10W22D03L24L14L04L23L23LH·AS 26/04A·F9103/05H·US 10/05A·PRO13/05A·SWI17/05H·US 23/05A·FC 29/05A·UNA04/08H·US 09/08A·US 16/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.001.231.771.122.18
vs Stronger (14)0.861.860.831.330.882.25
vs Similar (15)1.402.071.572.141.252.00
vs Weaker (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-724L22D11D62W60W01L00D11D72W12LA·ROD18/05H·US 25/05H·JEU01/06A·OLY21/09H·MAR09/11H·PRO04/03A·MAM31/05H·ETZ01/08A·SWI09/08H·FC 15/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.801.751.442.072.21
vs Stronger (15)1.202.470.712.141.622.75
vs Similar (14)2.711.142.750.882.671.50
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Under 1.5
11.5%
@ 4.31-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.58+11.6%
Under 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.23-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 2.46+11.6%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.46-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.8%
@ 1.49+9.3%
No
29.2%
@ 2.38-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
No
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.39
William Hil
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.34

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%@ 6.63+3.9%
2-1
8.2%@ 9.00+4.0%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.37+3.1%
2-2
7.2%@ 10.42+3.5%
3-1
5.1%@ 16.00+2.8%
2-0
4.7%@ 13.33+1.8%
3-2
4.5%@ 19.00+2.5%
1-3
4.5%@ 14.67+1.9%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
Wiltz goals →
01234
03.6%3.8%4.1%2.4%1.0%
14.1%9.6%7.7%4.5%1.9%
24.7%8.2%7.2%4.2%1.8%
32.9%5.1%4.5%2.6%1.1%
41.4%2.4%2.1%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = Wiltz goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz are level in average points per game (both 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Victoria Rosport is 0.20 goals worse than Wiltz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

WiltzWiltz

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.811.58.00.60.90.425.023.026.0
vs Stronger (20)8.09.07.00.91.00.923.023.023.0
vs Similar (29)11.514.09.00.40.80.229.0-29.0
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line25%50%0%6%10%3%100%100%100%
% under line75%50%100%94%90%97%0%0%0%
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.9%
Under 9.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.9%
Under 3.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.7%
Under 21.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Victoria Rosport or Draw✓ Hit
64.3%
Avg Implied 61.3% · @ 1.49
Edge
+3.1%
41%
24%
36%
covers Victoria Rosport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Victoria Rosport or Wiltz✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
+1.9%
41%
24%
36%
covers Victoria Rosport + Wiltz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Draw or Wiltz✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-4.9%
41%
24%
36%
covers Draw + Wiltz
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.6%
@ 1.20+8.4%
Under
15.4%
@ 3.86-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.92
10Bet
3.80
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 2.06+11.0%
Under
44.1%
@ 1.68-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.9%
@ 4.20+7.1%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.17-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.17
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.1%
Under
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.6%
@ 1.19+5.6%
Under
17.4%
@ 3.98-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Wiltz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 2.01+6.2%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.71-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
10Bet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Wiltz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 4.10+3.2%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.18-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Wiltz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.40-4.3%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Victoria Rosport, so a minus line means Victoria Rosport give that many goals of a start and Wiltz receive them. At -1, Victoria Rosport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Victoria Rosport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport -2
10.0%
Draw -2
12.4%
Wiltz +2
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport -1
22.5%
@ 4.75+3.9%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 4.29-2.3%
Wiltz +1
59.2%
@ 1.46-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport +1
64.3%
@ 1.49+4.8%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.20-4.1%
Wiltz -1
18.7%
@ 4.55-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport +2
81.3%
Draw +2
10.8%
Wiltz -2
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W01L00D13L02L04L12L01LH·AS 26/04A·F9103/05H·US 10/05A·PRO13/05A·SWI17/05H·US 23/05A·FC 29/05A·UNA04/08H·US 09/08A·US 16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.770.770.241.00
vs Stronger (14)0.290.790.500.170.121.25
vs Similar (15)0.671.001.001.290.380.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L00D00D41W20W00D00D01L60W11DA·ROD18/05H·US 25/05H·JEU01/06A·OLY21/09H·MAR09/11H·PRO04/03A·MAM31/05H·ETZ01/08A·SWI09/08H·FC 15/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.620.441.070.93
vs Stronger (15)0.670.670.290.431.000.88
vs Similar (14)1.070.641.000.381.171.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.26+3.2%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 3.37-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 2.29-1.6%
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.52+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.13-3.8%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.0%
@ 1.90-7.0%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.82+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.50-6.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.10+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 1.83-5.8%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.89+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.85
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 4.90-1.2%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.13+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D21W03L11D12L00D11D22DH·AS 26/04A·F9103/05H·US 10/05A·PRO13/05A·SWI17/05H·US 23/05A·FC 29/05A·UNA04/08H·US 09/08A·US 16/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.461.000.881.18
vs Stronger (14)0.571.070.331.170.751.00
vs Similar (15)0.731.070.570.860.881.25
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WiltzWiltz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D11D21W40W01L00D10W12L01LA·ROD18/05H·US 25/05H·JEU01/06A·OLY21/09H·MAR09/11H·PRO04/03A·MAM31/05H·ETZ01/08A·SWI09/08H·FC 15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.131.121.001.001.29
vs Stronger (15)0.531.800.431.710.621.88
vs Similar (14)1.640.501.750.501.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.7%
@ 1.14+2.5%
Under 0.5
16.3%
@ 4.90-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.80+1.7%
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.88-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.75
Under
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.1%
@ 3.30-1.9%
Under 2.5
73.9%
@ 1.28+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.9%
@ 1.62-14.2%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.15+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.15
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.2%
@ 4.00-0.7%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.19+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.7%
@ 1.55+3.0%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.30-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.30
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 3.60+0.0%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.23-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 10.50-0.8%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards96.2%--------
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls93.8%--------
Under 6.592.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+0.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.0%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+4.3%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards89.9%--------
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.10
1xBet
1.10
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Over 1.588.5%1.16
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-+9.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls86.7%--------
Under 2.5 HT goals85.9%1.12
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
--+3.8%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.6%1.20
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
---+8.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.584.1%1.06
1xBet
1.06
-----4.8%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.1%--------
Over 0.5 2H goals83.7%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+2.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals82.6%1.19
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
---+5.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals82.4%1.13
1xBet
1.13
----+1.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards79.4%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.8%1.19
1xBet
1.19
----+0.7%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap77.5%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away76.4%1.23
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+1.9%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals76.0%1.26
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+3.2%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls76.0%--------
Under 10.5 corners75.3%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals74.5%1.23
1xBet
1.23
-----0.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals74.5%1.18
1xBet
1.18
-----3.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals73.9%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+1.9%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals71.1%1.17
1xBet
1.17
-----7.1%✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.8%1.49
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
+9.3%✗ Miss
Under 4.570.2%1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
----9.2%✓ Hit
Over 2.570.1%1.58
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
+11.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport's squad is €1m more valuable than Wiltz's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
VR wins
4
Draws
1
WIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HVR Vs Wiltz1-1
24/11/24AWiltz Vs VR1-1
17/03/24AWiltz Vs VR2-2
24/09/23HVR Vs Wiltz3-1
12/02/23HVR Vs Wiltz0-0
14/08/22AWiltz Vs VR3-1

Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AUS Rumelange Vs VR3-2
09/08/26HVR Vs US Mondorf-les-bains2-3
04/08/26AUNA Strassen Vs VR4-0
29/05/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs VR4-1
23/05/26HVR Vs US Hostert2-4
17/05/26ASwift Hesperange Vs VR3-0
13/05/26AProgres Niederkorn Vs VR2-2
10/05/26HVR Vs US Mondorf-les-bains1-0
03/05/26AF91 Dudelange Vs VR1-2
26/04/26HVR Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-2

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HWIL Vs FC Differdange 031-2
09/08/26ASwift Hesperange Vs WIL2-7
01/08/26HWIL Vs Etzella Ettelbruck1-1
31/05/26AMamer Vs WIL0-0
04/03/26HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn0-1
09/11/25HWIL Vs Marisca Mersch6-0
21/09/25AOlympia Christnach Vs WIL2-6
01/06/25HWIL Vs Jeunesse Canach1-1
25/05/25HWIL Vs US Hostert2-2
18/05/25ARodange 91 Vs WIL4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.16
HomeWLWLL1.10
AwayDLLLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%34%
AVG goals3.042.903.14
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %64%62%66%
Over 3.5 %36%24%45%
Scored1.241.241.24
Conceded1.801.671.90
BTTS56%57%55%
Clean Sheet16%19%14%
Corners9.7511.508.00
Cards6.209.004.33
Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.26
HomeDWLDL1.24
AwayLLWDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals3.543.203.88
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %68%64%72%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.761.522.00
Conceded1.781.681.88
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen515
100%
3.0
101+9
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains515
100%
3.0
126+6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.41.2
-
3FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg510
60%
2.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.61.2
-
5Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange59
60%
1.8
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 9759
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.61.8
-
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn59
60%
1.8
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
8Atert BissenAtert Bissen59
60%
1.8
77+0
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
9US HostertUS Hostert56
40%
1.2
1110+1
4.2
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.22.0
-
10F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
11US RumelangeUS Rumelange56
40%
1.2
812-4
4.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
12WiltzWiltz54
20%
0.8
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
13Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport54
20%
0.8
1012-2
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.4
-
14AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch53
20%
0.6
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck51
0%
0.2
213-11
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.6
-
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange50
0%
0.0
221-19
4.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.44.2
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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