Victoria Rosport hosts Wiltz in the Luxembourg National Division on August 23. Recent form suggests a high-scoring match, with Victoria Rosport coming off a win after 4 straight defeats and Wiltz coming off a defeat. The expected total goals are 3.6, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.6%.
Victoria Rosport has a strong home form, scoring 1.54 goals per game on average against stronger opponents, but conceding 2.15 goals. Wiltz has a weaker away form, scoring 1.54 goals per game on average against stronger opponents, but conceding 2.15 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, with a 41% probability. The away win probability is 36%, and the draw probability is 24%. The model also suggests Over 3.5 cards (89.9%), Over 1.5 (88.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (86.7%), BTTS Yes (70.8%), and Over 2.5 (70.1%) as its selections.
Results analysis
Victoria Rosport’s win extends their run, ending a five-match streak with a 4-0 triumph over Wiltz. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, at 41 % probability, proved correct, matching the actual 4-0 result. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals at 96.8 % hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8 % hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 % hit, Under 6.5 at 92.5 % hit, and the edge pick Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.1 % hit. Only Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3 % missed. The predicted most likely score of 1-1, 2-1 or 1-2 was not achieved, but the overall forecast was largely accurate.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Victoria Rosport win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.52
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.75
Dafabet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.52
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.55
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.70
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Wiltz win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.36
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
William Hil
2.38
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Victoria Rosport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.00
1.23
1.77
1.12
2.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.86
0.83
1.33
0.88
2.25
vs Similar (15)
1.40
2.07
1.57
2.14
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wiltz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.80
1.75
1.44
2.07
2.21
vs Stronger (15)
1.20
2.47
0.71
2.14
1.62
2.75
vs Similar (14)
2.71
1.14
2.75
0.88
2.67
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Under 1.5
11.5%
@ 4.31-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.58+11.6%
Under 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.23-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 2.46+11.6%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.46-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.8%
@ 1.49+9.3%
No
29.2%
@ 2.38-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
No
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.39
William Hil
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.34
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%@ 6.63+3.9%
2-1
8.2%@ 9.00+4.0%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.37+3.1%
2-2
7.2%@ 10.42+3.5%
3-1
5.1%@ 16.00+2.8%
2-0
4.7%@ 13.33+1.8%
3-2
4.5%@ 19.00+2.5%
1-3
4.5%@ 14.67+1.9%
Victoria Rosport goals ↓
Wiltz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.8%
4.1%
2.4%
1.0%
1
4.1%
9.6%
7.7%
4.5%
1.9%
2
4.7%
8.2%
7.2%
4.2%
1.8%
3
2.9%
5.1%
4.5%
2.6%
1.1%
4
1.4%
2.4%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Rosport goals (down), columns = Wiltz goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz are level in average points per game (both 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Victoria Rosport is 0.20 goals worse than Wiltz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Victoria Rosport
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Wiltz
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Victoria Rosport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
11.5
8.0
0.6
0.9
0.4
25.0
23.0
26.0
vs Stronger (20)
8.0
9.0
7.0
0.9
1.0
0.9
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (29)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.4
0.8
0.2
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
6%
10%
3%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
94%
90%
97%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wiltz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.9%
Under 9.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.9%
Under 3.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.7%
Under 21.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Victoria Rosport or Draw✓ Hit
64.3%
Avg Implied 61.3% · @ 1.49
Edge
+3.1%
41%
24%
36%
covers Victoria Rosport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Victoria Rosport or Wiltz✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
+1.9%
41%
24%
36%
covers Victoria Rosport + Wiltz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Draw or Wiltz✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-4.9%
41%
24%
36%
covers Draw + Wiltz
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.6%
@ 1.20+8.4%
Under
15.4%
@ 3.86-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.92
10Bet
3.80
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 2.06+11.0%
Under
44.1%
@ 1.68-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.9%
@ 4.20+7.1%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.17-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.17
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.1%
Under
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.6%
@ 1.19+5.6%
Under
17.4%
@ 3.98-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Wiltz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 2.01+6.2%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.71-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
10Bet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Wiltz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 4.10+3.2%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.18-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Wiltz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.40-4.3%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Victoria Rosport, so a minus line means Victoria Rosport give that many goals of a start and Wiltz receive them. At -1, Victoria Rosport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Victoria Rosport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport -2
10.0%
Draw -2
12.4%
Wiltz +2
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport -1
22.5%
@ 4.75+3.9%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 4.29-2.3%
Wiltz +1
59.2%
@ 1.46-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport +1
64.3%
@ 1.49+4.8%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.20-4.1%
Wiltz -1
18.7%
@ 4.55-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Victoria Rosport)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Victoria Rosport +2
81.3%
Draw +2
10.8%
Wiltz -2
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Victoria Rosport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.77
0.77
0.24
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.79
0.50
0.17
0.12
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.29
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wiltz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.62
0.44
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (15)
0.67
0.67
0.29
0.43
1.00
0.88
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.64
1.00
0.38
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.26+3.2%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 3.37-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 2.29-1.6%
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.52+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.13-3.8%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.0%
@ 1.90-7.0%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.82+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.50-6.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.10+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 1.83-5.8%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.89+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.85
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 4.90-1.2%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.13+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Victoria Rosport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.10
0.46
1.00
0.88
1.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.33
1.17
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.07
0.57
0.86
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wiltz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.13
1.12
1.00
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
1.80
0.43
1.71
0.62
1.88
vs Similar (14)
1.64
0.50
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.7%
@ 1.14+2.5%
Under 0.5
16.3%
@ 4.90-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.80+1.7%
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.88-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.75
Under
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.1%
@ 3.30-1.9%
Under 2.5
73.9%
@ 1.28+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.9%
@ 1.62-14.2%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.15+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.15
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.2%
@ 4.00-0.7%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.19+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.7%
@ 1.55+3.0%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.30-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.30
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 3.60+0.0%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.23-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 10.50-0.8%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.5%
1.16
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.12
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.1%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.19
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
-
-
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.4%
1.23
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.0%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.5%
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
74.5%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.9%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
71.1%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-7.1%
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
70.8%
1.49
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
+9.3%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
70.2%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-9.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.1%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
+11.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport's squad is €1m more valuable than Wiltz's (€2m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Victoria Rosport and Wiltz have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →