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Victoria vs Speranța Drochia Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Victoria
Victoria
Vs
76%
14%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria win✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia win✗ Miss
10.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VictoriaVictoria

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-931W51W12L71W90W20WA·OLI26/08H·VĂS03/09A·SPE10/09A·REA01/10H·OLI08/10A·VĂS15/10
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
4.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game4.500.837.000.503.251.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (6)4.500.837.000.503.251.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W21W12L03L22DH·SPA27/08A·OLI03/09H·VIC10/09A·VĂS30/09A·SPA07/10H·OLI15/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.502.331.001.002.00
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (5)1.601.602.501.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
94.3%
Under 1.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.5%
Under 2.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
3-2
5.0%
Victoria goals ↓
Speranța Drochia goals →
01234
01.6%1.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%
13.2%5.0%2.9%1.2%0.4%
25.9%7.4%4.6%1.9%0.6%
36.4%8.0%5.0%2.1%0.7%
45.2%6.5%4.1%1.7%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria goals (down), columns = Speranța Drochia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartanii Selemet
2.40
Victoria
2.40
Floreşti
2.10
Sheriff II
2.00
Făleşti
1.90
Sporting Trestieni
1.53
Văsieni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.35
FCM Ungheni
1.12
Real Succes
0.82
Olimp Comrat
0.76
Sucleia
0.76
Victoria is 1.05 points better than Speranța Drochia in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria
4.10
Sheriff II
3.06
Spartanii Selemet
2.50
Sporting Trestieni
2.29
Făleşti
2.20
Văsieni
1.82
Floreşti
1.50
FCM Ungheni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.41
Real Succes
1.29
Olimp Comrat
1.24
Sucleia
1.12
Victoria is 2.69 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals scored per game (4.10 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.65
Floreşti
0.80
Victoria
0.90
Spartanii Selemet
1.10
Făleşti
1.60
Speranța Drochia
1.65
FCM Ungheni
1.94
Sporting Trestieni
1.94
Văsieni
2.24
Olimp Comrat
2.41
Real Succes
2.94
Sucleia
3.41
Victoria is 0.75 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VictoriaVictoria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VictoriaVictoria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Home win75.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VIC wins
0
Draws
1
SD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria vs Speranța Drochia · H/A from VIC
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22ASperanța Drochia Vs VIC2-1

VictoriaVictoria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22AVăsieni Vs VIC0-2
08/10/22HVIC Vs Olimp Comrat9-0
01/10/22AReal Succes Vs VIC1-7
10/09/22ASperanța Drochia Vs VIC2-1
03/09/22HVIC Vs Văsieni5-1
26/08/22AOlimp Comrat Vs VIC1-3

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22HSD Vs Olimp Comrat2-2
07/10/22ASpartanii Selemet Vs SD3-0
30/09/22AVăsieni Vs SD2-1
10/09/22HSD Vs Victoria2-1
03/09/22AOlimp Comrat Vs SD1-2
27/08/22HSD Vs Spartanii Selemet3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria
Victoria
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.50
HomeWW3.00
AwayWLWW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %83%100%75%
AVG goals5.337.504.25
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %83%100%75%
Over 3.5 %67%100%50%
Scored4.507.003.25
Conceded0.830.501.00
BTTS67%50%75%
Clean Sheet33%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.67
HomeWWD2.33
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%67%33%
AVG goals3.173.333.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %17%33%0%
Scored1.672.331.00
Conceded1.501.002.00
BTTS67%67%67%
Clean Sheet17%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II1734
59%
2.0
5211+41
3.7
82%
65%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.6
-
2Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni1726
47%
1.5
3933+6
4.2
94%
88%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
3VăsieniVăsieni1725
47%
1.5
3138-7
4.1
94%
88%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
4VictoriaVictoria1024
80%
2.4
419+32
5.0
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.10.9
-
5Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1024
80%
2.4
2511+14
3.6
100%
90%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.1
-
6Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia1723
41%
1.4
2428-4
3.1
82%
76%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1021
70%
2.1
158+7
2.3
60%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
8FăleştiFăleşti1019
60%
1.9
2216+6
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
9FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni1719
35%
1.1
2533-8
3.4
82%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
10Real SuccesReal Succes1714
24%
0.8
2250-28
4.2
94%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
11Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat1713
18%
0.8
2141-20
3.6
94%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12SucleiaSucleia1713
24%
0.8
1958-39
4.5
88%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.4
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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