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Viimsi vs FCI Levadia II Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 5-0
Viimsi
Viimsi
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FCI Levadia II
FCI Levadia II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The high-scoring narrative is driven by Viimsi's attacking prowess and FCI Levadia II's defensive vulnerabilities. The home side has averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded at home, while the away side has averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded when playing away against stronger opponents. This sets the stage for a thrilling encounter, with an expected total of 3.2 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals.

Viimsi, coming off a win, is the favourite to win at home, with a 41% chance of victory, while FCI Levadia II, unbeaten in their last 5, has a 34% chance of winning away. The draw is a 25% possibility. The most likely correct score is 1-1, with a 11.4% probability. The model's selection is the Home win, with a 41% chance of success.

The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.2% probability, indicating a high-scoring affair.

Results analysis

Viimsi's winning streak continues, with their 2-game unbeaten run now extended to 3 matches after a 5-0 thrashing of FCI Levadia II. The actual result was a home win, as predicted by the Pythia model, which correctly identified Viimsi as the favourite with a 41% chance of winning. The model's selection of a home win proved correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with 84.2% of the model's simulations predicting more than 1.5 goals. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, but the actual final score was 5-0.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Viimsi win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.70
Edge
-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 3.98
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.10
BetVictor
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
FCI Levadia II win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.65
Edge
+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.40
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ViimsiViimsi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L34L06L22D13L40W30W12L21W41WA·KUR29/11A·TRA11/03A·SAU10/06H·NÕM11/07H·ELV16/07H·NOM23/07A·NÕM27/07H·TAL03/08A·MAA08/08A·HEL12/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.402.071.472.131.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.081.082.001.502.140.71
vs Weaker (17)2.121.652.111.442.121.88
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W21W32W11D40W32W20W22D21WH·NÕM20/10H·ELV23/10A·VII27/10H·NÕM03/11A·TAL09/11A·FLO05/07H·TAL11/07A·NÕM18/07H·ELV01/08A·NÕM08/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.902.252.001.861.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.642.081.772.311.501.83
vs Weaker (5)4.201.004.330.674.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Viimsi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.10-0.9%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 6.25+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.4%
@ 1.35-4.7%
Under 2.5
37.6%
@ 2.77+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.2%
@ 1.92-7.5%
Under 3.5
59.8%
@ 1.75+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
BetVictor
1.90
Under
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.9%
@ 1.37-1.7%
No
35.1%
@ 2.74+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.75
William Hil
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 8.25+6.3%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.83+3.3%
1-2
7.9%@ 11.60+4.3%
2-2
6.7%@ 10.33+2.6%
1-0
5.7%@ 11.17+1.9%
2-0
5.7%@ 10.67+1.7%
0-1
5.1%@ 16.20+2.5%
0-0
5.0%@ 19.67+2.9%
Viimsi goals ↓
FCI Levadia II goals →
01234
05.0%5.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
15.7%11%7.9%4.1%1.6%
25.7%8.7%6.7%3.4%1.3%
33.2%4.9%3.8%1.9%0.7%
41.3%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viimsi goals (down), columns = FCI Levadia II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maardu
2.00
Elva
2.00
FCI Levadia II
1.78
Tallinna Kalev
1.62
Viimsi
1.60
Tartu Welco
1.50
Flora II
1.27
FC Tallinn
1.22
Nõmme United II
0.89
Nõmme Kalju II
0.50
Viimsi is 0.18 points worse than FCI Levadia II in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tartu Welco
2.62
Viimsi
2.30
Maardu
2.22
FCI Levadia II
2.11
Flora II
1.82
Tallinna Kalev
1.62
Elva
1.56
Nõmme United II
1.00
Nõmme Kalju II
0.90
FC Tallinn
0.89
Viimsi is 0.19 goals better than FCI Levadia II in terms of goals scored per game (2.30 vs 2.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Elva
0.78
FC Tallinn
1.22
Flora II
1.36
Viimsi
1.40
Tallinna Kalev
1.75
Nõmme United II
1.78
Tartu Welco
1.88
Maardu
2.00
FCI Levadia II
2.11
Nõmme Kalju II
2.70
Viimsi is 0.71 goals better than FCI Levadia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ViimsiViimsi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L04L22D02L00D00D11D11D10WA·KUR29/11A·TRA11/03A·SAU10/06H·NÕM11/07H·ELV16/07H·NOM23/07A·NÕM27/07H·TAL03/08A·MAA08/08A·HEL12/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.800.800.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.620.500.831.000.43
vs Weaker (17)0.820.761.000.780.620.75
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W11D10W20W20W10W00D10WH·NÕM20/10H·ELV23/10A·VII27/10H·NÕM03/11A·TAL09/11A·FLO05/07H·TAL11/07A·NÕM18/07H·ELV01/08A·NÕM08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.831.120.811.290.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.000.920.921.001.080.83
vs Weaker (5)2.200.402.000.002.501.00
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Viimsi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viimsi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ViimsiViimsi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L32W02L00D11D40W30W01L10W31WA·KUR29/11A·TRA11/03A·SAU10/06H·NÕM11/07H·ELV16/07H·NOM23/07A·NÕM27/07H·TAL03/08A·MAA08/08A·HEL12/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.701.270.671.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.310.461.500.671.140.29
vs Weaker (17)1.290.881.110.671.501.12
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L21W01L20W12L10W22D11DH·NÕM20/10H·ELV23/10A·VII27/10H·NÕM03/11A·TAL09/11A·FLO05/07H·TAL11/07A·NÕM18/07H·ELV01/08A·NÕM08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.071.121.190.570.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.641.160.851.310.421.00
vs Weaker (5)2.000.602.330.671.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viimsi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viimsi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.10
----0.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
VII wins
1
Draws
2
FLI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Viimsi vs FCI Levadia II · H/A from VII
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/25HVII Vs FCI Levadia II1-2
25/08/25AFCI Levadia II Vs VII0-2
16/06/25AFCI Levadia II Vs VII0-3
03/05/25HVII Vs FCI Levadia II2-0
23/09/24HVII Vs FCI Levadia II1-0
27/07/24HVII Vs FCI Levadia II1-1
10/07/24AFCI Levadia II Vs VII1-2
10/03/24AFCI Levadia II Vs VII2-0

ViimsiViimsi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/26AHelios Vs VII1-4
08/08/26AMaardu Vs VII1-2
03/08/26HVII Vs Tallinna Kalev1-2
27/07/26ANõmme United II Vs VII0-3
23/07/26HVII Vs Nomme Utd U194-0
16/07/26HVII Vs Elva1-3
11/07/26HVII Vs Nõmme Kalju II2-2
10/06/26ASaue Vs VII6-0
11/03/26ATrans Narva Vs VII4-3
29/11/25AKuressaare Vs VII2-0

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26ANõmme United II Vs FLI1-2
01/08/26HFLI Vs Elva2-2
18/07/26ANõmme Kalju II Vs FLI0-2
11/07/26HFLI Vs Tallinna Kalev3-2
05/07/26AFlora II Vs FLI0-4
09/11/25ATallinna Kalev II Vs FLI1-1
03/11/25HFLI Vs Nõmme United3-2
27/10/25AViimsi Vs FLI1-2
23/10/25HFLI Vs Elva2-1
20/10/25HFLI Vs Nõmme Kalju II0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Viimsi
Viimsi
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.98
HomeLDLWL2.08
AwayLLWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals3.343.563.12
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored2.242.482.00
Conceded1.101.081.12
BTTS42%52%32%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---
FCI Levadia II
FCI Levadia II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.30
HomeDWWWD1.36
AwayWDWWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals3.644.083.20
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.762.121.40
Conceded1.881.961.80
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElvaElva918
56%
2.0
147+7
2.3
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.8
-
2MaarduMaardu918
67%
2.0
2018+2
4.2
78%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
3ViimsiViimsi1016
50%
1.6
2314+9
3.7
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II916
56%
1.8
1919+0
4.2
100%
89%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.12.1
-
5Flora IIFlora II1114
36%
1.3
2015+5
3.2
82%
73%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
6Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev813
50%
1.6
1314-1
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
7Tartu WelcoTartu Welco812
50%
1.5
2115+6
4.5
100%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.9
-
8FC TallinnFC Tallinn911
33%
1.2
811-3
2.1
78%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II98
22%
0.9
916-7
2.8
89%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II105
10%
0.5
927-18
3.6
100%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.7
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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