Viimsi vs Flora II Result & Analysis

Viimsi are the clear favorites, with a 52% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 23% for Flora II. The model predicts a 3-goal average, but the most likely total is two goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.8% chance, reflecting the balanced attacking and defensive figures: Viimsi averages 1.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Flora II nets 1.57 and concedes 1.57 on the road. Recent form supports Viimsi’s edge; they are on a two-game winning streak after a 3-1 win over Tartu Welco, whereas Flora II comes off a 5-0 triumph over Tallinna Kalev. The model’s only selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 81% probability. The final result will be a draw.

The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Viimsi, who had been on a two-game winning run and were tipped to win with a 52% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The match ended in a stalemate, the final score being 0-0, and the actual result was a draw. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, which missed despite an 81% probability. The model’s prediction of a home win with a 52% chance proved incorrect, and the game’s outcome contradicted the expected total of three goals, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 11.8% also not materialising.