Viimsi vs Flora II Result & Analysis

The contest between Viimsi and Flora II is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest, as Viimsi’s average home scoring of 1.75 goals and conceding only 0.25 against similar opposition suggests a solid, but not overwhelming, edge. Flora II, playing away, has a slightly higher average away scoring of 1.43 and a higher concession rate of 0.71, hinting at a more defensive stance. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals, a 27% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.1% probability. The model’s probabilities are 39% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 goals at 76% and Over 1.5 goals at 72.3%. Viimsi are on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 victory over Tartu Welco, while Flora II return from a 5-0 win over Tallinna Kalev, adding to the uncertainty of the match.

Viimsi continued a two-game winning run to beat Flora II 3-2, a result that comfortably exceeded the model’s expected total of 2.5 goals. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 39% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, at 76%, missed, while its choice of Over 1.5, at 72.3%, hit. The match also confirmed the home side’s recent form, with Viimsi’s last five results showing two wins, a loss, and two wins again, and Flora II’s recent form ending on a win. The final score of 3-2 gave the home side a deserved victory.