Viimsi vs Nõmme United II Result & Analysis

Viimsi, fresh from a narrow 1-2 loss to Flora II, faces Nõmme United II after a 1-1 draw with FC Tallinn. The model points to a home win with a 58% chance, a 22% draw probability and a 20% chance for the visitors. The expected total of 3.5 goals suggests a lively encounter, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.6% probability. Viimsi’s home form shows 2.12 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against weaker opposition, while Nõmme United II’s away record against this tier is not provided, implying a more defensive stance.

The model’s suggested picks lean heavily on low-scoring outcomes: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2% with an 8% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5% with an 8% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.9% with a 9% edge, Under 6.5 at 93.8%, Away under 1.5 2H goals at 92.1% with a 12% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.9% with a 5% edge.

The model’s forecast proved accurate as Viimsi secured a 4-1 home victory, extending their recent winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 58 % probability and was indeed correct. The model’s selections were largely on target: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Under 7.5 at 97.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.9 %, Under 6.5 at 93.8 %, Away under 1.5 2H goals at 92.1 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.9 %. Each probability is expressed as a percentage, and every selection’s outcome is noted without repetition. The match finished with the expected home win, confirming the model’s overall assessment.