Viking’s recent win over Dinamo Zagreb and a strong home form - averaging 3.38 goals scored and conceding just 1.12 - make them clear favourites. The model rates a home win at 76%, with a draw at 14% and an away win at 10%. The most likely result is a 3-1 victory for Viking, a 8.3% chance scoreline that reflects their offensive potency against a weaker opponent. Expected goals rise to 4.1, with the model favouring a 6+ total at 22%. Aalesund, struggling away with only one goal scored and 1.75 conceded against stronger teams, is unlikely to match Viking’s output. The suggested selections include an Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Home +2 handicap at 97.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 96.8% with a 4% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.7% with a 6% edge, Home or Draw at 93.6% with a 5% edge, and Home +1 handicap at 93.6% with a 7% edge. Viking’s dominance at home and Aalesund’s away struggles make the 3-1home win the model’s single most likely outcome.
Results analysis
Viking’s 2-1 win over Aalesund extended their two-game winning run, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The model had named a Home win with a 75% probability, and it proved correct. The match’s 4-goal expectation was exceeded, with the final tally of 3 goals fitting the most likely scoreline of 2-1. Every suggested pick settled in favour of the model: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1%, Home +2 handicap at 97.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 96.8%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.2%, Home or Draw at 93.6%, and Home +1 handicap also at 93.6%. All selections performed as forecasted, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viking win✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.30
Dafabet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw✗ Miss
15.1%
Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.29
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.93
1xBet
6.52
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Aalesund win✗ Miss
10.3%
Avg Implied 10.8% · @ 8.61
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
9.50
1xBet
9.10
BetVictor
9.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
0.97
3.46
1.00
1.82
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
3.29
1.00
3.60
0.80
2.50
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
2.30
0.96
3.38
1.12
1.73
0.87
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.80
1.87
1.93
1.87
1.67
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.12
1.75
2.50
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (21)
2.00
1.76
1.80
1.90
2.18
1.64
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.7%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Under 1.5
8.3%
@ 8.16-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
10Bet
8.50
BetVictor
8.00
888Sport
8.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.8%
@ 1.24+1.8%
Under 2.5
23.2%
@ 3.72-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
10Bet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.4%
@ 1.66+0.9%
Under 3.5
42.6%
@ 2.16-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.30
SBO
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.4%
@ 1.53+2.7%
No
36.6%
@ 2.36-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.67
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.45
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
8.4%@ 8.94+3.2%
3-1
8.2%@ 9.24+3.3%
2-0
7.7%@ 9.47+2.9%
3-0
7.6%@ 9.54+2.8%
1-1
6.2%@ 12.62+2.6%
4-1
6.1%@ 12.07+2.3%
4-0
5.6%@ 12.34+1.9%
1-0
4.6%@ 12.92+1.1%
Viking goals ↓
Aalesund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
1
4.6%
6.2%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
2
7.7%
8.4%
4.6%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.6%
8.2%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
4
5.6%
6.1%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viking goals (down), columns = Aalesund goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Viking is 1.56 points better than Aalesund in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Viking is 0.78 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Viking is 1.39 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Viking is 7.8 percentage points better than Aalesund in terms of average possession (51% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viking
For 6.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aalesund
For 5.7 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viking
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.2
10.7
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.0
25.2
24.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.0
11.8
7.7
4.1
3.9
4.5
25.5
24.5
26.8
vs Weaker (36)
12.0
12.5
11.7
3.3
3.3
3.3
24.8
25.8
24.2
% over line
64%
72%
58%
54%
55%
53%
64%
61%
67%
% under line
36%
28%
42%
46%
45%
47%
36%
39%
33%
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.9
11.8
12.0
1.2
1.6
1.0
23.4
24.9
21.4
vs Stronger (10)
12.3
11.8
13.5
1.9
3.0
0.8
24.8
28.8
17.0
vs Similar (35)
11.7
11.9
11.5
1.2
1.3
1.2
22.8
22.7
22.8
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
79%
73%
88%
18%
26%
11%
58%
64%
50%
% under line
21%
27%
12%
82%
74%
89%
42%
36%
50%
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valerenga
12.0
Aalesund
11.8
Viking
11.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.3
Rosenborg
11.2
Brann
11.0
Sandefjord
10.9
Bodo/Glimt
10.8
Lillestrom
10.5
Ham-Kam
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.2
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
10.0
Start
8.9
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Tromso
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Molde
4.2
Viking
4.2
Brann
4.2
Lillestrom
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
3.9
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.4
Tromso
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.2
Viking
24.7
Rosenborg
24.5
Valerenga
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Brann
23.9
Start
23.6
Molde
23.3
Ham-Kam
23.1
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
21.9
KFUM Oslo
21.7
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
21.1
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
74.8%
@ 1.29+4.3%
Under 9.5
25.2%
@ 3.09-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Unibet
2.95
1xBet
2.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.0%
Under 21.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Viking or Draw✓ Hit
93.6%
Avg Implied 88.8% · @ 1.06
Edge
+4.7%
75%
15%
10%
covers Viking + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Viking or Aalesund✓ Hit
88.9%
Avg Implied 85.5% · @ 1.10
Edge
+3.3%
75%
15%
10%
covers Viking + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Draw or Aalesund✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.68
Edge
-8.1%
75%
15%
10%
covers Draw + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
1xBet
3.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Viking over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.8%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Under
3.2%
@ 12.65-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
15.00
1xBet
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Viking over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
85.9%
@ 1.20+8.3%
Under
14.1%
@ 4.14-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
888Sport
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
10Bet
4.20
Viking over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
67.0%
@ 1.65+10.5%
Under
33.0%
@ 2.14-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
888Sport
1.65
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
888Sport
2.15
Viking over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 2.64+10.0%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.44-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Under
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Aalesund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.0%
@ 1.46-0.6%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.56+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.57
Unibet
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
Superbet
2.67
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Aalesund over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.24-2.6%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.31+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Unibet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Aalesund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 8.69-2.9%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
12.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Aalesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 19.67-3.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Viking, so a minus line means Viking give that many goals of a start and Aalesund receive them. At -1, Viking must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Viking win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Viking)Actual: Aalesund
Viking -2
47.2%
@ 2.48+11.3%
Draw -2
19.3%
@ 4.21-1.8%
Aalesund +2
33.5%
@ 2.07-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.50
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Away
Unibet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.00
Handicap -1 (Viking)Actual: Draw
Viking -1
66.5%
@ 1.65+12.4%
Draw -1
15.9%
@ 4.28-5.0%
Aalesund +1
17.6%
@ 3.58-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Away
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
Unibet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Handicap +1 (Viking)Actual: Viking
Viking +1
93.6%
@ 1.07+6.0%
Draw +1
4.3%
@ 12.00-3.5%
Aalesund -1
2.1%
@ 20.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Handicap +2 (Viking)Actual: Viking
Viking +2
97.9%
Draw +2
1.6%
Aalesund -2
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.50
1.69
0.46
1.24
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.00
0.86
2.20
0.60
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.26
0.39
1.38
0.38
1.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
0.93
0.73
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.12
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.71
1.00
0.70
1.36
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.5%
@ 1.14+0.3%
Under 0.5
18.5%
@ 4.94-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.00
William Hil
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.7%
@ 1.75-5.6%
Under 1.5
52.3%
@ 2.00+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
SBO
1.76
Under
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.2%
@ 3.33-5.6%
Under 2.5
77.8%
@ 1.29+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
72.7%
@ 1.29+1.1%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.26-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Under
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Viking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.0%
@ 2.37-4.2%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.52+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Viking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 5.29-2.5%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.12+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.40
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.6%
@ 2.46-6.1%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.49+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 8.22-5.4%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 32.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.77
0.54
0.59
0.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.14
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.57
2.00
0.75
0.53
0.47
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.00
0.93
1.20
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
1.05
0.80
1.20
0.82
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
87.0%
@ 1.08+0.4%
Under 0.5
13.0%
@ 7.03-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.90
William Hil
6.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.47-1.5%
Under 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.56+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
William Hil
2.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.2%
@ 2.41-4.5%
Under 2.5
65.8%
@ 1.51+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.63
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.50
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
80.0%
@ 1.19+1.6%
Under
20.0%
@ 4.31-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.10
Viking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 1.88-3.0%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.83+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Viking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.73-1.6%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.23+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 2.01-11.6%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.72+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.67
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 6.08-6.6%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.09+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 18.17-4.0%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
93.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.07
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
93.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
91.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
88.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.08
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
85.9%
1.20
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.20
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.12
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
83.9%
1.08
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
83.8%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
81.5%
1.14
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
77.8%
1.29
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
76.8%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
74.8%
1.29
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home win
74.6%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Dafabet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.8%
1.31
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
-
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
71.3%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-5.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viking
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Christiansen42%
Zlatko Tripić42%
Kristoffer Askildsen26%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog25%
Edvin Austbø23%
Gianni Stensness17%
Henrik Heggheim16%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Tobias Moi8%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol7%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Askildsen42%
Zlatko Tripić37%
Tobias Moi31%
Henrik Heggheim26%
Ruben Alte25%
Gianni Stensness22%
Edvin Austbø15%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol14%
Joe Bell14%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Arild Østbø11%
Peter Christiansen11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Ola Visted8%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatko Tripić58%
Peter Christiansen21%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad13%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Edvin Austbø8%
Tobias Moi8%
Joe Bell7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Christiansen37%
Romano Postema20%
Zlatko Tripić16%
Edvin Austbø15%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Tobias Moi8%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Gianni Stensness6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Aalesund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ólafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Viking's squad is €34m more valuable than Aalesund's (€47m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Viking's attack is €16m more valuable than Aalesund's (€21m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Viking's midfield is €8m more valuable than Aalesund's (€12m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Viking's defence is €11m more valuable than Aalesund's (€15m vs €4m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
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