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Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 2-0
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vs
58%
21%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Vikingur Reykjavik host Valur Reykjavik in the Icelandic top flight. The home side has been scoring freely, averaging 3.18 goals per game at home, while conceding just 1.27. This form is particularly impressive against weaker opponents. In contrast, Valur Reykjavik have struggled away, scoring 1.5 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding the same amount. This suggests a high-scoring encounter, with 3.7 goals expected on average.

Given the home side's recent form, it's worth noting they are coming off a defeat, but their attacking prowess remains a concern for Valur Reykjavik. Valur Reykjavik, meanwhile, are struggling to find the net, having scored just 1.5 goals per game away against stronger opponents.

The model predicts Vikingur Reykjavik to win with a probability of 61%, with a draw at 21% and an away win at 19%. The most likely score is 2-1 in favour of Vikingur Reykjavik, with a probability of 9.3%. The model's selection is the home win, which is also the favourite. The model also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 88.9% and Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70.9%.

Results analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik’s recent win extends a strong run, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct as the final score was 2-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 58 % probability and the model’s call was right. Every suggested selection hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6 %, Under 7.5 at 96.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.8 %, Under 6.5 at 91.6 %, and Home +2 handicap at 90.6 %. The match confirmed the model’s confidence, with all probabilities reflected in the outcomes.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied 69.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Dafabet
1.31
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied 16.8% · @ 5.40
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
6.00
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
5.50
Valur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 13.8% · @ 6.57
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
Betano
6.90
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W51W02L22D03L22D32W42W13LA·THO18/07H·HAP21/07H·KEF24/07A·HAP29/07A·IA 02/08A·FC 06/08H·IBV09/08H·FC 13/08A·FH 16/08H·BOR20/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.472.201.201.871.73
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.422.082.002.000.832.17
vs Weaker (17)2.590.882.330.672.881.12
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L24L02L23L22D23L02L31W05L44DA·THO10/03A·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.702.172.201.931.202.40
vs Stronger (3)0.673.000.002.001.003.50
vs Similar (18)2.002.062.442.001.562.11
vs Weaker (9)1.442.112.201.800.502.50
Clean sheet %7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
@ 1.05+0.7%
Under 1.5
10.6%
@ 8.20-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Under
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
8.40
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
6.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
71.8%
@ 1.21-3.4%
Under 2.5
28.2%
@ 3.67+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.0%
@ 1.58-6.8%
Under 3.5
49.0%
@ 2.17+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.6%
@ 1.41+3.7%
No
31.4%
@ 2.61-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
No
Betfair
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.72
William Hil
2.70
10Bet
2.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.1%@ 8.74+3.9%
1-1
8.6%@ 12.28+4.9%
3-1
7.1%@ 9.13+2.1%
2-0 ✓
6.6%@ 10.48+2.2%
2-2
6.4%@ 13.93+3.1%
1-2
5.5%@ 20.35+3.2%
3-0
5.1%@ 10.84+0.9%
3-2
4.9%@ 14.21+1.7%
Vikingur Reykjavik goals ↓
Valur Reykjavik goals →
01234
03.2%2.6%2.4%1.1%0.4%
14.9%8.6%5.5%2.5%0.9%
26.6%9.1%6.4%3.0%1.0%
35.1%7.1%4.9%2.3%0.8%
43.0%4.1%2.9%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vikingur Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Valur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
Vikingur Reykjavik is 1.00 points better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik is 0.57 goals better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
Vikingur Reykjavik is 1.00 goals better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 2.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied 86.3% · @ 1.07
Edge
-7.7%
58%
21%
21%
covers Vikingur Reykjavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Vikingur Reykjavik or Valur Reykjavik✓ Hit
79.0%
Avg Implied 83.7% · @ 1.11
Edge
-4.8%
58%
21%
21%
covers Vikingur Reykjavik + Valur Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Draw or Valur Reykjavik✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.09
Edge
+12.5%
58%
21%
21%
covers Draw + Valur Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
SBO
3.09

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
@ 1.02-0.9%
Under
9.8%
@ 10.50+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
12.00
Bet365
9.00
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
@ 1.20-8.8%
Under
32.5%
@ 3.86+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.90
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.1%
@ 1.66-13.8%
Under
58.9%
@ 2.03+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Under
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 2.64-13.9%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.39+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.76
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.2%
@ 1.35+7.8%
Under
24.8%
@ 2.80-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.33
Under
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Unibet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.6%
@ 2.65+6.3%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.39-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
@ 6.00+1.2%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.08-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.70
1xBet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Betano
6.20
Under
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Valur Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 11.50-2.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vikingur Reykjavik, so a minus line means Vikingur Reykjavik give that many goals of a start and Valur Reykjavik receive them. At -1, Vikingur Reykjavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vikingur Reykjavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vikingur Reykjavik)Actual: Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik -2
19.8%
@ 2.62-13.6%
Draw -2
17.2%
@ 4.21-3.5%
Valur Reykjavik +2
63.0%
@ 1.90+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.74
10Bet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.81
Handicap -1 (Vikingur Reykjavik)Actual: Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik -1
37.0%
@ 1.76-13.9%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 4.34-0.2%
Valur Reykjavik +1
42.5%
@ 3.16+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Handicap +1 (Vikingur Reykjavik)Actual: Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik +1
78.6%
@ 1.08-6.2%
Draw +1
12.0%
@ 10.00+2.8%
Valur Reykjavik -1
9.4%
@ 15.00+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Handicap +2 (Vikingur Reykjavik)Actual: Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik +2
90.6%
Draw +2
6.2%
Valur Reykjavik -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D11D02L11D22D21W02LA·THO18/07H·HAP21/07H·KEF24/07A·HAP29/07A·IA 02/08A·FC 06/08H·IBV09/08H·FC 13/08A·FH 16/08H·BOR20/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.800.600.730.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.000.831.170.330.83
vs Weaker (17)0.940.290.780.221.120.38
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L00D13L21W11D01L10W02L13LA·THO10/03A·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.801.200.671.00
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.721.110.671.220.781.00
vs Weaker (9)0.781.001.201.200.250.75
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.14-6.3%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 5.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.7%
@ 1.71-12.3%
Under 1.5
58.3%
@ 2.01+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 3.25-9.9%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.29+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.8%
@ 1.32-12.4%
Under
42.2%
@ 3.10+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 2.44-14.6%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.49+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 5.45-10.3%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.11+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.23-2.2%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.57+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 7.33-4.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W31W02L11D01L11D10W21W11DA·THO18/07H·HAP21/07H·KEF24/07A·HAP29/07A·IA 02/08A·FC 06/08H·IBV09/08H·FC 13/08A·FH 16/08H·BOR20/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.871.400.601.131.13
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.831.081.170.830.501.33
vs Weaker (17)1.650.591.560.441.750.75
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D02L10W01L12L01L21W03L31WA·THO10/03A·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.400.730.531.40
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.280.941.780.780.781.11
vs Weaker (9)0.671.111.000.600.251.75
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.9%
@ 1.07-4.3%
Under 0.5
17.1%
@ 7.30+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.80
William Hil
7.00
Betano
6.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.42-12.1%
Under 1.5
47.0%
@ 2.65+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.66
Superbet
2.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.4%
@ 2.28-12.2%
Under 2.5
71.6%
@ 1.56+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
68.2%
@ 1.18-10.0%
Under
31.8%
@ 4.22+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.6%
@ 1.91-10.9%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.80+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 3.60-13.3%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.24+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 1.89-4.3%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.81+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.40-2.8%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 10.00-5.8%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.6%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.8%✓ Hit
Under 7.596.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
--+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
---+2.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.4%1.11
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
---+10.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.8%1.05
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
--+4.4%✓ Hit
Under 6.591.6%1.08
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+7.3%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.6%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals90.2%1.02
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
----0.9%✓ Hit
Over 1.589.4%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+0.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals87.6%1.24
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
---+13.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.6%1.12
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
--+2.8%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.2%--------
Away under 2.5 goals83.5%1.08
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-1.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals82.9%1.07
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
--4.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.582.7%1.22
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
+8.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals81.4%1.29
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
+9.9%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals79.4%1.39
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+13.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away79.0%1.11
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-4.8%✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.6%1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-7.7%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap78.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----6.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.3%--------
Home under 1.5 HT goals76.7%1.49
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
-+14.6%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.4%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals75.3%1.14
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-6.3%✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals75.2%1.35
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.33
+7.8%✗ Miss
Over 2.571.8%1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-3.4%✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls71.8%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals71.6%1.56
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
+12.2%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Vikingur Reykjavik · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ari Sigurpálsson38%
Gunnar Vatnhamar25%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson20%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Nikolaj Hansen14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Davíð Örn Atlason12%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Gísli Thórdarson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikolaj Hansen57%
Davíð Örn Atlason38%
Tarik Ibrahimagić38%
Oliver Ekroth29%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson20%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson17%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Aron Elís Þrándarson14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Ari Sigurpálsson12%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Gísli Thórdarson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erlingur Agnarsson33%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson17%
Gísli Thórdarson17%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Davíð Örn Atlason0%
Nikolaj Hansen0%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gísli Thórdarson17%
Nikolaj Hansen14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson0%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Davíð Örn Atlason0%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
Vikingur Reykjavik's squad is €2m more valuable than Valur Reykjavik's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Vikingur Reykjavik's attack is €1m more valuable than Valur Reykjavik's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
VR wins
2
Draws
1
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HVR Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
20/07/25HVR Vs Valur Reykjavik1-2
28/04/25AValur Reykjavik Vs VR1-1
29/09/24AValur Reykjavik Vs VR2-3
01/09/24HVR Vs Valur Reykjavik3-2
18/06/24AValur Reykjavik Vs VR2-2
07/10/23HVR Vs Valur Reykjavik5-1
20/08/23AValur Reykjavik Vs VR0-4

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/26HVR Vs Borac Banja Luka1-3
16/08/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs VR2-4
13/08/26HVR Vs FC Thun3-2
09/08/26HVR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2
06/08/26AFC Thun Vs VR3-0
02/08/26AIA Akranes Vs VR2-2
29/07/26AHapoel Beer Sheva Vs VR2-0
24/07/26HVR Vs Keflavik5-1
21/07/26HVR Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva2-1
18/07/26AThor Akureyri Vs VR2-1

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26HVR Vs KA Akureyri4-4
13/08/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs VR5-0
09/08/26ABreidablik Vs VR1-3
06/08/26HVR Vs FC Nordsjaelland0-2
03/08/26HVR Vs Stjarnan2-3
30/07/26AZrinjski Vs VR2-2
18/07/26HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik2-3
12/07/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs VR2-0
06/04/26AKR Reykjavik Vs VR4-2
10/03/26AThor Akureyri Vs VR5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.92
HomeWWDWL2.38
AwayLLDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%75%42%
AVG goals3.403.753.08
Over 1.5 %88%96%81%
Over 2.5 %68%75%62%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored2.042.541.58
Conceded1.361.211.50
BTTS60%71%50%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners9.5011.507.50
Cards4.253.505.00
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.56
HomeWLLLD1.88
AwayLLDWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.844.003.68
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored2.062.521.60
Conceded1.781.482.08
BTTS72%76%68%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners12.0012.0012.00
Cards2.502.003.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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