The model predicts a narrow away win for Baník Ostrava II over Viktoria Žižkov, with the visitors coming off a recent win after two straight defeats. Viktoria Žižkov, however, is struggling, having lost their last four matches, including a 1-4 defeat to Vlašim. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a probability of 12.9%. The home side, Viktoria Žižkov, has struggled to score at home, averaging 1.27 goals per match, while conceding the same amount. In contrast, Baník Ostrava II has averaged 1.2 goals scored away from home, but has conceded 1.9 goals per match. The model suggests over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 78.4%. The probabilities for the match result are 29% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 44% for an away win. The model's selection is an away win.
Results analysis
The win extends Viktoria Žižkov's recent form woes, as they fell to a 1-4 defeat at home to Baník Ostrava II. The actual result was a decisive away win, as the model's selection, Baník Ostrava II, took the three points on the road. The model's call was correct, as it had predicted the away win with a pre-match probability of 44%. The model's selection, an away win, was the favourite, and it landed. The model's selection, Over 1.5, also hit, with a probability of 78.3% prior to the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 42.8% · @ 2.11
Edge
-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.33
10Bet
2.15
Dafabet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.40
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.50
Baník Ostrava II win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 2.96
Edge
+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.25
Dafabet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.21
1.50
1.19
2.06
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
1.57
1.33
2.00
2.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
1.04
1.87
1.18
1.36
0.92
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.37
1.31
1.12
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.18
1.59
1.17
1.33
1.20
1.90
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
@ 1.20+1.6%
Under 1.5
21.7%
@ 3.97-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
888Sport
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.68-1.7%
Under 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.2%
@ 2.69-3.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
@ 1.41+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.70
888Sport
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
@ 1.56-1.3%
No
42.4%
@ 2.24+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Betfair
1.57
No
Betfair
2.30
888Sport
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.32+5.9%
1-2
9.2%@ 9.76+4.7%
0-1
8.2%@ 10.57+4.0%
0-2
7.4%@ 15.79+4.6%
2-1
7.3%@ 7.79+1.6%
0-0
7.2%@ 11.67+3.4%
1-0
6.3%@ 8.44+1.1%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.01+1.7%
Viktoria Žižkov goals ↓
Baník Ostrava II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
8.2%
7.4%
3.8%
1.5%
1
6.3%
13%
9.2%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.7%
7.3%
5.7%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.9%
3.0%
2.4%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viktoria Žižkov goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov is 0.67 points worse than Baník Ostrava II in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov is 1.33 goals worse than Baník Ostrava II in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Viktoria Žižkov is 1.17 goals worse than Baník Ostrava II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.43
0.93
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.86
0.33
1.33
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.83
0.45
0.82
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.38
0.56
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.86
0.42
0.75
0.70
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.12
0.25
0.00
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.79
0.57
0.44
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.48
1.04
0.73
0.55
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.94
0.56
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.73
0.75
0.58
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.62
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.3%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.20
+1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov and Baník Ostrava II have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov and Baník Ostrava II have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov and Baník Ostrava II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov and Baník Ostrava II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →