Viktoria Žižkov is the favourite to win against Prostějov, with a 46% chance of a home victory. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.7 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%. Viktoria Žižkov has been struggling at home, scoring an average of 1.42 goals and conceding 1.42 against similar opponents. Prostějov, on the other hand, has been weak on the road, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1.8 against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 46% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a 76.3% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 71.5% probability. Home win is the favourite, with a 46% chance, followed by a draw at 28%, and an away win at 26%.
Results analysis
The win extends Viktoria Žižkov's recent run, coming off a defeat. Viktoria Žižkov secured a 1-0 win against Prostějov, matching the model's call of a home win. The model correctly predicted the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 46%. Viktoria Žižkov's model selection was the favourite, with Prostějov the underdog. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 76.3% and actual result of "miss". In contrast, the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 71.5% and actual result of "hit".
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.04
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Prostějov win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.14
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.77
1.21
1.50
1.12
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.19
1.77
1.25
1.42
1.14
2.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.53
1.29
1.57
1.25
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
1.50
2.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.50
1.27
1.45
1.15
1.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.3%
@ 1.22+1.0%
Under 1.5
23.7%
@ 3.72-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.97+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
@ 2.83-3.9%
Under 3.5
71.5%
@ 1.36+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
@ 1.62-2.0%
No
45.2%
@ 2.13+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.15+6.1%
1-0 ✓
9.3%@ 7.73+3.7%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.76+3.7%
2-0
8.2%@ 9.75+3.7%
0-0
7.9%@ 10.87+3.9%
1-2
6.8%@ 10.07+2.5%
0-1
6.5%@ 9.85+2.0%
2-2
5.3%@ 11.84+1.6%
Viktoria Žižkov goals ↓
Prostějov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.5%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
1
9.3%
13%
6.8%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.3%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.3%
4.9%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viktoria Žižkov goals (down), columns = Prostějov goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
2.40
Táborsko
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.20
Slavia Praha II
2.20
Příbram
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Vlašim
1.20
Opava
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Baník Ostrava II
0.80
Třinec
0.80
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Viktoria Žižkov is 0.40 points worse than Prostějov in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.60
Karviná
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Vlašim
1.80
Příbram
1.80
Táborsko
1.60
Dukla Praha
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.20
Opava
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Viktoria Žižkov is 0.80 goals worse than Prostějov in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.60
Vysočina Jihlava
0.60
Karviná
1.00
Ústí nad Labem
1.00
Třinec
1.20
Opava
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Kladno
1.40
Vlašim
1.40
Příbram
1.40
Dukla Praha
1.60
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.20
Hanácká
2.40
Viktoria Žižkov
2.40
Viktoria Žižkov is 1.00 goals worse than Prostějov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.50
0.93
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.85
0.58
0.83
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.21
0.57
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.75
0.18
0.64
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.71
0.57
0.38
1.19
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.92
0.67
0.58
0.43
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prostějov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.07
1.00
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.75
1.09
0.82
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
76.3%
1.22
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.5%
1.36
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+3.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (57)
€40m
KAR (38)
€22m
DP (44)
€13m
BOI (53)
€13m
VLA (44)
€5m
VJ (33)
€4m
PRO (40)
€4m
TÁB (34)
€4m
PŘÍ (41)
€3m
OPA (34)
€3m
HAN (40)
€3m
VŽ (35)
€3m
ÚNL (33)
€2m
TŘI (25)
€0m
AČL (30)
€0m
KLA (32)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov's squad is €1m less valuable than Prostějov's (€3m vs €4m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →