The model sees Sparta Praha as the clear favourite, giving them an 89% chance of victory while Viktoria Žižkov only has a 2% chance of winning and a 9% chance of drawing. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 21% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-3 for Sparta, with a 14.5% chance. Sparta’s away form shows an average of 1.58 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded against weaker opponents, whereas Viktoria’s home form against stronger teams averages just one goal scored and four conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals at 99.9%, Away +2 handicap at 99.6%, Home under 2.5 goals at 99.0%, Draw or Away at 97.8%, Away +1 handicap at 97.8%, Under 7.5 at 96.8%, Away over 0.5 goals at 95.9%, and Home under 1.5 goals at 92.8%. Viktoria’s recent win and Sparta’s two-game winning streak add context, but the venue advantage for Sparta keeps the model firmly on the away side.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov win
2.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
10.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha win
86.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.07
1.31
1.85
1.06
2.24
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.25
1.33
3.33
1.60
1.60
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.95
1.30
1.40
0.91
2.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
2.33
1.20
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.27
0.82
3.00
0.91
1.55
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
33.6%
No
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.9%
0-3
14.6%
0-4
10.7%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-5
6.2%
1-1
4.9%
Viktoria Žižkov goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
9.8%
15%
15%
11%
1
1.1%
4.9%
6.5%
6.3%
4.6%
2
0.3%
1.0%
1.4%
1.4%
1.0%
3
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viktoria Žižkov goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Artis
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Viktoria Žižkov is 1.33 points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Artis
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Viktoria Žižkov is 1.33 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Viktoria Žižkov is 0.67 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Viktoria Žižkov or Draw
13.2%
Avg Implied -
3%
10%
87%
covers Viktoria Žižkov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov or Sparta Praha
89.6%
Avg Implied -
3%
10%
87%
covers Viktoria Žižkov + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sparta Praha
97.2%
Avg Implied -
3%
10%
87%
covers Draw + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 3.5
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5
Over
94.6%
Under
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5
Over
78.9%
Under
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 3.5
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Viktoria Žižkov, so a minus line means Viktoria Žižkov give that many goals of a start and Sparta Praha receive them. At -1, Viktoria Žižkov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Viktoria Žižkov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Viktoria Žižkov)
Viktoria Žižkov -2
0.1%
Draw -2
0.5%
Sparta Praha +2
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Viktoria Žižkov)
Viktoria Žižkov -1
0.6%
Draw -1
2.2%
Sparta Praha +1
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Viktoria Žižkov)
Viktoria Žižkov +1
13.2%
Draw +1
17.7%
Sparta Praha -1
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Viktoria Žižkov)
Viktoria Žižkov +2
30.9%
Draw +2
22.3%
Sparta Praha -2
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.46
1.15
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.33
2.33
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.86
0.50
0.80
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.13
0.60
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.41
1.55
0.55
0.36
0.27
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.7%
Under 0.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.0%
Under 1.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.5%
Under 2.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HT
Over
70.9%
Under
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HT
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.85
0.69
0.47
1.41
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.10
0.80
0.60
0.36
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.60
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.38
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.32
0.41
1.45
0.36
1.18
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
85.6%
Under 0.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.0%
Under 1.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.9%
Under 2.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
33.0%
Under
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2H
Over
82.4%
Under
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2H
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2H
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 2H goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 0.5 HT goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Mercado43%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Andy Irving17%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Hollý67%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Roman Macek20%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Andy Irving0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Andy Irving17%
Martin Suchomel17%
Matěj Ryneš14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Adam Karabec0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Haraslín33%
Ebrima Singhateh25%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Adam Karabec14%
John Mercado14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Roman Macek0%
Andy Irving0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Matěj Ryneš0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov's squad is €89m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€3m vs €92m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov's attack is €43m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€1m vs €43m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov's midfield is €26m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€1m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Viktoria Žižkov's defence is €21m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€1m vs €22m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →