PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Virtus vs La Fiorita Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Virtus
Virtus
Vs
44%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Virtus are the clear favourites, with a 44% chance of victory, 29% for a draw and 27% for La Fiorita to win. The model expects 2.5 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal total at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance. Virtus, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded, while La Fiorita, on the road, also averages 1.0 scored and 0.83 conceded. The model’s picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Over 19.5 fouls (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Over 21.5 fouls (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%). All selections are presented with their exact probabilities.

Results analysis

The surprise came early: a 0-0 draw left the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win pick, disappointed. The model had given Virtus a 44% chance of triumph, yet the match finished a stalemate, so the selection was wrong. The game’s final score was 0-0, a draw that mirrored both teams’ recent form, each coming off a draw in their last match. The model’s other picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9%, Under 6.5 at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.94
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
1.97
Dafabet
1.96
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.27
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.37
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.30
Bet365
3.30
La Fiorita win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.45
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.66
Marathonbet
3.58
Pinnacle
3.52
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.45

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VirtusVirtus

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-932W11D41W61W90W00D20W21W12L21WH·DOM22/03A·TRE08/04H·MUR12/04A·CAI19/04A·LIB26/04H·JUV03/05A·JUV06/05H·DOM09/05A·DOM12/05H·LA 16/05
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.732.400.532.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.001.000.500.601.40
vs Weaker (21)2.860.622.910.552.800.70
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D31W21W10W23L11D10W12L31WH·SAN07/04A·DOM11/04H·COS19/04A·FIO25/04H·FIO02/05A·FIO05/05H·TRE09/05A·TRE12/05A·VIR16/05A·TRE23/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.831.800.871.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.001.751.251.000.83
vs Weaker (20)1.900.751.820.732.000.78
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.28+1.9%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 3.07-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
2.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.00-0.7%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.71+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Superbet
1.69
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
@ 3.41-2.4%
Under 3.5
75.9%
@ 1.23+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
@ 1.80+0.0%
No
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
William Hil
1.75
No
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.05+6.9%
1-0
10.6%@ 6.45+4.2%
0-0 ✓
9.5%@ 8.22+4.5%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.08+3.8%
2-0
8.5%@ 8.40+3.6%
0-1
7.5%@ 8.88+2.8%
1-2
6.6%@ 10.96+2.8%
2-2
4.8%@ 13.60+1.7%
Virtus goals ↓
La Fiorita goals →
01234
09.5%7.5%4.6%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.5%9.0%4.8%1.7%0.4%
34.1%4.3%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Virtus goals (down), columns = La Fiorita goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tre Fiori
2.43
Virtus
2.34
Tre Penne
2.17
La Fiorita
1.97
Folgore
1.88
Domagnano
1.57
Fiorentino
1.53
Cosmos
1.42
Juvenes / Dogana
1.18
Libertas
1.16
San Giovanni
1.03
Pennarossa
1.03
Faetano
0.73
San Marino Academy
0.53
Cailungo
0.37
Murata
0.23
Virtus is 0.37 points better than La Fiorita in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Virtus
2.37
Folgore
2.16
Tre Penne
2.14
Tre Fiori
2.10
La Fiorita
2.00
Domagnano
1.89
Fiorentino
1.25
Juvenes / Dogana
1.12
Libertas
1.06
Cosmos
1.00
Pennarossa
0.94
San Giovanni
0.80
San Marino Academy
0.77
Cailungo
0.77
Faetano
0.73
Murata
0.67
Virtus is 0.37 goals better than La Fiorita in terms of goals scored per game (2.37 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tre Fiori
0.43
Tre Penne
0.60
Virtus
0.69
Cosmos
0.70
La Fiorita
0.89
Folgore
1.12
Juvenes / Dogana
1.24
Domagnano
1.26
Fiorentino
1.41
San Giovanni
1.43
Pennarossa
1.81
Faetano
1.83
San Marino Academy
2.00
Libertas
2.06
Cailungo
2.37
Murata
2.77
Virtus is 0.20 goals better than La Fiorita in terms of goals conceded per game (0.69 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Tre Fiori
64%
Tre Penne
60%
San Giovanni
53%
San Marino Academy
51%
Libertas
49%
Juvenes / Dogana
47%
Fiorentino
40%
Cosmos
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

VirtusVirtus

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

VirtusVirtus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (30)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (33)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Libertas
12.0
San Marino Academy
12.0
Fiorentino
10.0
Cosmos
8.7
Tre Penne
7.8
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Fiori
7.7
Folgore
5.0
Cailungo
5.0
San Giovanni
4.0
Juvenes / Dogana
4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
5.3
San Giovanni
5.0
Juvenes / Dogana
5.0
Cosmos
4.7
La Fiorita
4.5
Fiorentino
4.0
Tre Penne
3.6
Libertas
3.0
San Marino Academy
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fiorentino
34.0
San Giovanni
32.0
Juvenes / Dogana
32.0
Cosmos
30.0
Tre Penne
28.5
Tre Fiori
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
21.1%
@ 2.52-15.2%
Under 9.5
78.9%
@ 1.44+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.44
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Virtus or Draw✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.3%
44%
29%
27%
covers Virtus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Virtus or La Fiorita✗ Miss
71.0%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.8%
44%
29%
27%
covers Virtus + La Fiorita
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Draw or La Fiorita✓ Hit
55.5%
Avg Implied 53.4% · @ 1.71
Edge
+2.1%
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + La Fiorita
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Virtus over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.2%
@ 1.17-1.6%
Under
23.8%
@ 4.10+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.10
Virtus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.0%
@ 2.02-3.5%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.69+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Pinnacle
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Virtus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.2%
@ 1.46+2.3%
Under
34.8%
@ 2.47-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
La Fiorita over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.5%
@ 3.28+0.6%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.27-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
La Fiorita over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Fiorita over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Virtus, so a minus line means Virtus give that many goals of a start and La Fiorita receive them. At -1, Virtus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Virtus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Virtus)Actual: La Fiorita
Virtus -2
8.5%
@ 8.10-2.5%
Draw -2
13.7%
@ 5.80-1.6%
La Fiorita +2
77.7%
@ 1.21+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.80
Away
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap -1 (Virtus)Actual: La Fiorita
Virtus -1
22.3%
@ 3.64-2.1%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.54-2.8%
La Fiorita +1
55.5%
@ 1.75+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Draw
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.50
Away
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
Handicap +1 (Virtus)Actual: Virtus
Virtus +1
73.5%
@ 1.27+5.7%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 4.50-3.1%
La Fiorita -1
10.5%
@ 6.55-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Virtus)Actual: Virtus
Virtus +2
89.5%
Draw +2
7.4%
La Fiorita -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VirtusVirtus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L30W21W40W00D10W10W02L11DH·DOM22/03A·TRE08/04H·MUR12/04A·CAI19/04A·LIB26/04H·JUV03/05A·JUV06/05H·DOM09/05A·DOM12/05H·LA 16/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.200.130.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.890.500.250.401.40
vs Weaker (21)1.240.241.450.091.000.40
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W31W11D00D12L10W10W11D11DH·SAN07/04A·DOM11/04H·COS19/04A·FIO25/04H·FIO02/05A·FIO05/05H·TRE09/05A·TRE12/05A·VIR16/05A·TRE23/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.800.470.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.601.501.000.500.33
vs Weaker (20)0.650.350.550.270.780.44
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.1%
@ 1.38+3.3%
Under 0.5
30.9%
@ 2.64-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.3%
@ 2.82+1.1%
Under 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.34-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 7.00-2.9%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.07+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Under
William Hil
1.07
1xBet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Virtus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.7%
@ 1.88-0.4%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.81+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.77
Virtus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.25-3.0%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.11
Virtus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 11.00-5.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.50+0.2%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.44-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 7.85-4.2%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.85
Under
1xBet
1.05
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.00-7.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VirtusVirtus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W11D40W50W00D10W11D10W10WH·DOM22/03A·TRE08/04H·MUR12/04A·CAI19/04A·LIB26/04H·JUV03/05A·JUV06/05H·DOM09/05A·DOM12/05H·LA 16/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.301.200.401.270.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.110.500.250.200.00
vs Weaker (21)1.620.381.450.451.800.30
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (La Fiorita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W10W11D01L00D01L20WH·SAN07/04A·DOM11/04H·COS19/04A·FIO25/04H·FIO02/05A·FIO05/05H·TRE09/05A·TRE12/05A·VIR16/05A·TRE23/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.000.400.930.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.250.250.500.50
vs Weaker (20)1.250.401.270.451.220.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.7%
@ 1.24-0.7%
Under 0.5
26.3%
@ 3.60+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.6%
@ 2.18-3.5%
Under 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.59+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
Under 2.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Virtus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.7%
@ 1.68-1.1%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.04+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Under
1xBet
2.04
Virtus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.1%
@ 4.00-2.9%
Under
79.9%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Virtus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 9.10-4.3%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
La Fiorita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 2.09-1.4%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.63+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.09
Under
1xBet
1.63
La Fiorita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 6.15-2.7%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.09+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Under
1xBet
1.09
La Fiorita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.00-6.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls99.1%--------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Under 6.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.1%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.4%--------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.595.9%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+2.2%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.2%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+4.3%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls93.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners92.7%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+9.5%-
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.7%1.07
William Hil
1.07
1xBet
1.07
---+2.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.589.2%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls87.7%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.6%1.09
1xBet
1.09
----+2.7%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners87.1%1.21
1xBet
1.21
----+12.7%-
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.6%1.11
1xBet
1.11
----+3.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.9%1.19
1xBet
1.19
----+2.9%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.6%--------
Under 9.5 corners78.9%1.44
1xBet
1.44
----+15.2%-
Away +2 handicap77.7%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
----+4.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.2%1.17
1xBet
1.17
-----1.6%✗ Miss
Under 3.575.9%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
--+2.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.5%--------
Over 0.5 2H goals73.7%1.24
1xBet
1.24
-----0.7%✗ Miss
Home or Draw73.5%1.24
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-0.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.5%1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
----+5.7%✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%1.28
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
--+1.9%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals71.5%1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
----0.6%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.0%1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-1.8%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Virtus and La Fiorita have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Virtus and La Fiorita have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Virtus and La Fiorita have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Virtus and La Fiorita have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
VIR wins
6
Draws
0
LF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Virtus vs La Fiorita · H/A from VIR
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HVIR Vs La Fiorita2-1
18/01/26ALa Fiorita Vs VIR1-1
31/08/25HVIR Vs La Fiorita2-2
02/04/25HVIR Vs La Fiorita0-0
05/03/25ALa Fiorita Vs VIR0-0
16/02/25HVIR Vs La Fiorita1-1
20/10/24ALa Fiorita Vs VIR0-0
20/02/24ALa Fiorita Vs VIR0-1

VirtusVirtus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HVIR Vs La Fiorita2-1
12/05/26ADomagnano Vs VIR2-1
09/05/26HVIR Vs Domagnano2-1
06/05/26AJuvenes / Dogana Vs VIR0-2
03/05/26HVIR Vs Juvenes / Dogana0-0
26/04/26ALibertas Vs VIR0-9
19/04/26ACailungo Vs VIR1-6
12/04/26HVIR Vs Murata4-1
08/04/26ATre Penne Vs VIR1-1
22/03/26HVIR Vs Domagnano3-2

La FioritaLa Fiorita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ATre Fiori Vs LF1-3
16/05/26AVirtus Vs LF2-1
12/05/26ATre Penne Vs LF0-1
09/05/26HLF Vs Tre Penne1-1
05/05/26AFiorentino Vs LF3-2
02/05/26HLF Vs Fiorentino1-0
25/04/26AFiorentino Vs LF1-2
19/04/26HLF Vs Cosmos3-1
11/04/26ADomagnano Vs LF1-1
07/04/26HLF Vs San Giovanni3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Virtus
Virtus
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW2.06
HomeWWDWW2.38
AwayDWWWL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%73%50%
AVG goals2.962.773.17
Over 1.5 %86%85%88%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored2.122.082.17
Conceded0.840.691.00
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet46%50%42%
Corners---
Cards---
La Fiorita
La Fiorita
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.96
HomeWWWWD1.96
AwayWLWLW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.602.562.64
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.781.761.80
Conceded0.820.800.84
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FolgoreFolgore13
100%
3.0
50+5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0005.00.0
-
2Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana13
100%
3.0
40+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.00.0
47%
3Tre FioriTre Fiori13
100%
3.0
52+3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1015.02.0
64%
4FiorentinoFiorentino13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.0
40%
5Tre PenneTre Penne13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.02.0
60%
6DomagnanoDomagnano13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.0
-
7LibertasLibertas11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
49%
8CosmosCosmos11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
36%
9La FioritaLa Fiorita11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
10VirtusVirtus11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
53%
12CailungoCailungo10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
13San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
51%
14PennarossaPennarossa10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
15FaetanoFaetano10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16MurataMurata10
0%
0.0
05-5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.05.0
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

← all matches