Virtus vs Libertas Prediction & Stats

Virtus are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 77 % chance of victory, 16 % for a draw and only 7 % that Libertas will win. The prediction is driven by Virtus’ dominant home form, scoring an average of 2.75 goals and conceding just 0.58 against weaker opposition, while Libertas struggles away, scoring only 0.83 and conceding 3.33 against stronger teams. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively match, with the most likely total being 3 goals at a 22 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Virtus, with a 12.6 % chance. Recent form also favours Virtus, who come off a win, whereas Libertas return from a draw. The model’s selections highlight a very low chance of a high-scoring game: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.5 %, and Home +2 handicap at 97.9 %. Additional picks include Over 19.5 fouls (99.1 %), Over 21.5 fouls (97.4 %), Over 23.5 fouls (93.9 %), Under 7.5 (98.2 %), Under 6.5 (95.2 %) and Under 7.5 (98.2 %).