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Vjosa vs FC Besa Peja Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Vjosa
Vjosa
Vs
49%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Vjosa a 49% win probability against FC Besa Peja in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare on 2026-05-16, with 28% for the draw and 24% for FC Besa Peja. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (75%), Under 3.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Vjosa finished 2-3 against FC Besa Peja (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 49% home win, 28% draw and 24% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (75%). Missed: Under 3.5 (74%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vjosa win✗ Miss
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja win✓ Hit
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W11D13L22D14L11D30W02L13LH·TRE08/03A·KEK14/03H·VUS22/03A·FER29/03H·2 K05/04A·IST11/04H·PRI19/04A·TRE26/04H·RAM03/05A·VËL09/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.731.471.330.872.13
vs Stronger (7)1.002.711.672.000.503.25
vs Similar (19)1.161.681.301.301.002.11
vs Weaker (4)1.500.252.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D11D10W02L10W10W23L11D01L31WH·TRE08/03A·RAM14/03H·VËL22/03A·TRE29/03A·KIK05/04H·SUH12/04A·DIN19/04H·RIL26/04A·LIR03/05H·TEF09/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.571.531.200.731.93
vs Stronger (8)0.881.881.001.500.752.25
vs Similar (19)1.161.531.801.100.442.00
vs Weaker (3)1.671.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
Vjosa goals ↓
FC Besa Peja goals →
01234
08.6%6.4%3.9%1.3%0.3%
110%13%6.2%2.1%0.5%
29.2%9.4%4.9%1.7%0.4%
34.8%5.0%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.9%2.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vjosa goals (down), columns = FC Besa Peja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Vjosa is 0.03 points worse than FC Besa Peja in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Vjosa is 0.03 goals worse than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Vjosa is 0.22 goals worse than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Vjosa vs FC Besa Peja · H/A from VJO
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AFC Besa Peja Vs VJO0-0

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AVëllaznimi Vs VJO3-1
03/05/26HVJO Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-2
26/04/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VJO0-3
19/04/26HVJO Vs Prizreni1-1
11/04/26AIstogu Vs VJO4-1
05/04/26HVJO Vs 2 Korriku2-2
29/03/26AFeronikeli Vs VJO3-1
22/03/26HVJO Vs Vushtrria1-1
14/03/26AKEK-u Vs VJO0-1
08/03/26HVJO Vs Trepça'893-1

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HFBP Vs Tefik Canga3-1
03/05/26ALiria Prizren Vs FBP1-0
26/04/26HFBP Vs Rilindja 19741-1
19/04/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs FBP3-2
12/04/26HFBP Vs Suhareka1-0
05/04/26AKika Vs FBP0-1
29/03/26ATrepça'89 Vs FBP2-0
22/03/26HFBP Vs Vëllaznimi1-0
14/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs FBP1-1
08/03/26HFBP Vs Trepça Mitrovicë3-3

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.00
HomeWDDDL1.31
AwayWLLWL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%31%19%
AVG goals2.942.693.19
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %59%50%69%
Over 3.5 %38%25%50%
Scored1.121.380.88
Conceded1.811.312.31
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet25%19%31%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.00
HomeDWWDW1.56
AwayDLWLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%38%12%
AVG goals2.692.692.69
Over 1.5 %69%69%69%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %22%31%12%
Scored1.121.500.75
Conceded1.561.191.94
BTTS53%62%44%
Clean Sheet25%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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