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Vjosa vs Trepça Mitrovicë Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 1-2
Vjosa
Vjosa
Vs
30%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trepça Mitrovicë
Trepça Mitrovicë
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vjosa win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë win✓ Hit
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-713L11D13L07L30W23L03L00D11D10WA·RIL27/08H·LIR31/08A·TEF05/09A·TRE13/09H·KEK17/09A·VUS20/09H·FER27/09A·2 K04/10H·IST11/10A·PRI18/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.922.251.001.200.863.00
vs Stronger (2)0.004.000.001.000.007.00
vs Similar (9)1.001.781.251.250.802.20
vs Weaker (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D00D12L71W32W02L00D02L22D32WH·TRE27/08H·RAM30/08A·VËL06/09H·FC 13/09A·KIK17/09H·SUH20/09A·DIN27/09H·RIL04/10A·LIR11/10H·TEF18/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.252.141.291.801.20
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (9)2.441.332.331.332.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2 ✓
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
Vjosa goals ↓
Trepça Mitrovicë goals →
01234
08.2%8.9%7.3%3.5%1.3%
17.2%14%8.9%4.3%1.6%
25.1%7.4%5.4%2.6%0.9%
32.1%3.0%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vjosa goals (down), columns = Trepça Mitrovicë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Vjosa is 0.03 points better than Trepça Mitrovicë in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Vjosa is 0.29 goals worse than Trepça Mitrovicë in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Suhareka
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Vjosa is 0.03 goals better than Trepça Mitrovicë in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VjosaVjosa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L20W11D00D00D00D10WH·LIR31/08A·TEF05/09A·TRE13/09H·KEK17/09A·VUS20/09H·FER27/09A·2 K04/10H·IST11/10A·PRI18/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.440.750.000.400.80
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.140.750.000.330.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D20W20W00D00D01L01L21WH·TRE27/08H·RAM30/08A·VËL06/09H·FC 13/09A·KIK17/09H·SUH20/09A·DIN27/09H·RIL04/10A·LIR11/10H·TEF18/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.451.140.430.750.50
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (8)1.120.381.170.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VjosaVjosa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L05L10W12L03L00D11D00DH·LIR31/08A·TEF05/09A·TRE13/09H·KEK17/09A·VUS20/09H·FER27/09A·2 K04/10H·IST11/10A·PRI18/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.560.501.250.401.80
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (7)0.431.000.501.250.330.67
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D00D01L51W12L02L00D01L21W11DH·TRE27/08H·RAM30/08A·VËL06/09H·FC 13/09A·KIK17/09H·SUH20/09A·DIN27/09H·RIL04/10A·LIR11/10H·TEF18/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.911.000.860.751.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (8)1.251.121.171.001.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VJO wins
0
Draws
0
TM wins

Head-to-head

Vjosa vs Trepça Mitrovicë · H/A from VJO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VjosaVjosa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25APrizreni Vs VJO0-1
11/10/25HVJO Vs Istogu1-1
04/10/25A2 Korriku Vs VJO0-0
27/09/25HVJO Vs Feronikeli0-3
20/09/25AVushtrria Vs VJO3-2
17/09/25HVJO Vs KEK-u3-0
13/09/25ATrepça'89 Vs VJO7-0
05/09/25ATefik Canga Vs VJO3-1
31/08/25HVJO Vs Liria Prizren1-1
27/08/25ARilindja 1974 Vs VJO3-1

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HTM Vs Tefik Canga3-2
11/10/25ALiria Prizren Vs TM2-2
04/10/25HTM Vs Rilindja 19740-2
27/09/25ADinamo Ferizaj Vs TM0-0
20/09/25HTM Vs Suhareka0-2
17/09/25AKika Vs TM2-3
13/09/25HTM Vs FC Besa Peja7-1
06/09/25AVëllaznimi Vs TM2-1
30/08/25HTM Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-0
27/08/25HTM Vs Trepça'891-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vjosa
Vjosa
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW0.75
HomeLDWLD1.00
AwayLLLDW0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%20%14%
AVG goals3.172.203.86
Over 1.5 %75%80%71%
Over 2.5 %58%40%71%
Over 3.5 %42%0%71%
Scored0.921.000.86
Conceded2.251.203.00
BTTS50%40%57%
Clean Sheet25%20%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Trepça Mitrovicë
Trepça Mitrovicë
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.58
HomeDWLLW1.57
AwayWLWDD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%40%
AVG goals3.253.433.00
Over 1.5 %83%86%80%
Over 2.5 %58%43%80%
Over 3.5 %42%43%40%
Scored2.002.141.80
Conceded1.251.291.20
BTTS58%57%60%
Clean Sheet25%14%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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