Vlašim is heavily favoured to win against Viktoria Žižkov, with a 57% chance of taking the three points. This match is likely to be a closely contested and low-scoring affair, with an expected total of 2.8 goals. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, but the model actually predicts a 2-0 home win for Vlašim as its single most likely correct score, with a 10.2% probability.
At home, Vlašim has been scoring at a rate of 1.18 goals per game against similar opponents, while conceding 0.91 goals. In contrast, Viktoria Žižkov has been scoring 1.15 goals per game away from home against similar opponents, but conceding 2.15 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, but it also suggests Over 1.5 goals with a 78.4% probability, offering a 2% edge. The model also suggests the draw, with a 25% probability. The home win percentage is 57%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 18%.
Results analysis
The win extends Vlašim's run of form, coming off a win and now having secured a convincing home victory. The final score of 4-1 reflected the actual result, with the home side dominating the match. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, as it was the pre-match favourite with a probability of 57%. The model's call was also vindicated by the Over 1.5 total goals, which landed with a probability of 78.4%. The model's selection of Over 1.5 total goals hit, while the other selections were not tested.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vlašim win✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.88
Edge
+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
SBO
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.50
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.70
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Viktoria Žižkov win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.52
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.73
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
Pinnacle
3.61
Betfair
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vlašim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.03
1.86
0.93
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.44
0.93
1.86
0.93
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.67
1.20
1.40
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.50
1.33
2.00
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.08
1.71
1.17
1.25
1.00
2.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
@ 1.20+1.7%
Under 1.5
21.6%
@ 3.96-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.68-1.5%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 2.06+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.70
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.68-3.1%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.41+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
888Sport
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
10Bet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.4%
@ 1.60-4.3%
No
46.6%
@ 2.18+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.43+4.9%
2-0
10.2%@ 9.45+5.6%
1-0
10.0%@ 7.92+4.4%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.53+4.1%
0-0
7.0%@ 11.53+3.2%
3-0
6.3%@ 15.40+3.5%
3-1
6.1%@ 12.82+2.7%
1-2
5.2%@ 10.90+1.1%
Vlašim goals ↓
Viktoria Žižkov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
4.7%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
1
10.0%
12%
5.2%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.3%
6.1%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.9%
2.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vlašim goals (down), columns = Viktoria Žižkov goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Vlašim is 0.50 points better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Vlašim is 1.17 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Vlašim is 1.00 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vlašim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.71
0.50
0.25
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.37
0.71
0.50
0.23
0.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.87
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.33
1.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vlašim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.14
0.43
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
-
-
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.56
1.14
0.43
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.73
0.53
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.25
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
+1.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vlašim's squad is €1m more valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vlašim's attack is €1m more valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vlašim and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vlašim and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká