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Vllaznia Shkodër vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 24/11/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Vllaznia Shkodër
Vllaznia Shkodër
Vs
38%
33%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will set the tone for Vllaznia Shkodër as they host Laci, with both sides averaging under a goal a game in recent matches. The model favours a home win, giving Vllaznia a 38% chance, a draw 33%, and an away win 29%. The expected total is a tight 2.0 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14.8% probability. Vllaznia’s home form shows they score 0.55 goals per game and concede 0.91 against similarly ranked opponents, while Laci, on the road, nets 1.33 and concedes 1.00. The model’s selection for the match is Under 3.5 goals, with an 85.3% chance of success. The team-specific probabilities remain the same: 38% home win, 33% draw, 29% away win. This concise outlook highlights a low-scoring encounter where Vllaznia’s defensive resilience and the under 3.5 selection are the key take-aways.

Results analysis

The 0-0 stalemate was a shock for the pre-match favourite, Vllaznia Shkodër, who had been coming off a draw in their last five and were tipped to win with a 38% probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished in a draw. The only other selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit its 85.3% probability, confirming the low-scoring nature of the encounter. Vllaznia’s home form had been shaky, while Laci, unbeaten in their last five, managed a clean sheet at home. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely outcome, yet it defied the model’s expectation of a home win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vllaznia Shkodër win✗ Miss
38.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L20W02L11D01L20W01L11D14LH·PAR14/09A·LAC19/09H·TEU23/09H·EGN27/09A·DIN02/10H·TIR07/10A·SKE21/10A·FK 27/10H·ERZ01/11A·PAR06/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.170.870.931.001.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.771.180.550.911.001.45
vs Weaker (8)1.381.121.751.001.001.25
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W21W12L01L30W20W01L00D01L11DH·TEU15/09H·VLL19/09A·EGN23/09H·DIN28/09A·TIR03/10H·SKE08/10A·FK 22/10A·ERZ27/10H·PAR01/11A·TEU05/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.871.331.131.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.601.201.851.381.331.00
vs Weaker (5)1.001.602.001.000.332.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vllaznia Shkodër) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.4%
Under 1.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.0%
Under 2.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.7%
Under 3.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.6%
No
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0 ✓
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
Vllaznia Shkodër goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
015%11%5.6%1.7%0.4%
113%15%6.2%1.9%0.4%
28.0%7.4%3.4%1.0%0.2%
32.9%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.8%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vllaznia Shkodër goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.76
Partizani
1.74
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Skenderbeu Korce
1.42
Teuta Durrës
1.39
Tirana
1.39
Dinamo Tirana
1.31
Laci
1.27
Flamurtari
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
0.89
FK Kukesi
0.75
Vllaznia Shkodër is 0.31 points better than Laci in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tirana
1.56
Partizani
1.37
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.37
Dinamo Tirana
1.17
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Skenderbeu Korce
1.05
Laci
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.86
Erzeni Shijak
0.81
Vllaznia Shkodër is 0.10 goals better than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Partizani
0.79
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.97
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.97
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
1.11
Dinamo Tirana
1.19
Tirana
1.36
FK Kukesi
1.56
Erzeni Shijak
1.58
Vllaznia Shkodër is 0.11 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 0.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W00D00D00D00D00D10W13LH·PAR14/09A·LAC19/09H·TEU23/09H·EGN27/09A·DIN02/10H·TIR07/10A·SKE21/10A·FK 27/10H·ERZ01/11A·PAR06/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.530.330.400.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.360.590.360.270.360.91
vs Weaker (8)0.750.501.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D01L01L10W10W00D00D00D01LH·TEU15/09H·VLL19/09A·EGN23/09H·DIN28/09A·TIR03/10H·SKE08/10A·FK 22/10A·ERZ27/10H·PAR01/11A·TEU05/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.930.600.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.560.920.620.250.50
vs Weaker (5)0.400.201.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Vllaznia Shkodër) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D02L11D01L20W01L01L01LH·PAR14/09A·LAC19/09H·TEU23/09H·EGN27/09A·DIN02/10H·TIR07/10A·SKE21/10A·FK 27/10H·ERZ01/11A·PAR06/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.330.600.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.410.590.180.640.640.55
vs Weaker (8)0.620.620.750.500.500.75
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W10W11D00D20W10W01L00D01L10WH·TEU15/09H·VLL19/09A·EGN23/09H·DIN28/09A·TIR03/10H·SKE08/10A·FK 22/10A·ERZ27/10H·PAR01/11A·TEU05/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.770.930.730.930.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.000.640.920.771.080.50
vs Weaker (5)0.601.401.000.500.332.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Vllaznia Shkodër) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vllaznia Shkodër over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
FK (20)
€1m
Vllaznia Shkodër's squad is €1m more valuable than Laci's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Vllaznia Shkodër and Laci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
FK (4)
€0m
Vllaznia Shkodër and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
Vllaznia Shkodër's defence is €1m more valuable than Laci's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
VS wins
2
Draws
2
LAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Laci · H/A from VS
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/23ALaci Vs VS2-1
25/05/23HVS Vs Laci1-1
19/03/23ALaci Vs VS2-0
21/01/23HVS Vs Laci4-1
16/10/22ALaci Vs VS1-1

Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/23APartizani Vs VS4-1
01/11/23HVS Vs Erzeni Shijak1-1
27/10/23AFK Kukesi Vs VS1-0
21/10/23ASkenderbeu Korce Vs VS0-2
07/10/23HVS Vs Tirana0-1
02/10/23ADinamo Tirana Vs VS1-1
27/09/23HVS Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-2
23/09/23HVS Vs Teuta Durrës2-0
19/09/23ALaci Vs VS2-1
14/09/23HVS Vs Partizani0-0

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23ATeuta Durrës Vs LAC1-1
01/11/23HLAC Vs Partizani0-1
27/10/23AErzeni Shijak Vs LAC0-0
22/10/23AFK Kukesi Vs LAC1-0
08/10/23HLAC Vs Skenderbeu Korce2-0
03/10/23ATirana Vs LAC0-3
28/09/23HLAC Vs Dinamo Tirana0-1
23/09/23AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs LAC2-1
19/09/23HLAC Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-1
15/09/23HLAC Vs Teuta Durrës6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vllaznia Shkodër
Vllaznia Shkodër
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.32
HomeDWLLD1.60
AwayLDWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.182.122.24
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.081.240.92
Conceded1.100.881.32
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners13.5011.0016.00
Cards7.007.007.00
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.28
HomeWWLWL1.44
AwayLWLDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.522.882.16
Over 1.5 %62%64%60%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.281.600.96
Conceded1.241.281.20
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners10.5011.0010.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3867
50%
1.8
5238+14
2.4
66%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.41.0
-
2PartizaniPartizani3866
47%
1.7
5230+22
2.2
63%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.40.8
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
4337+6
2.1
58%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
4Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3854
42%
1.4
4042-2
2.2
53%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
5TiranaTirana3650
36%
1.4
5649+7
2.9
78%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3650
36%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.0
-
7LaciLaci3747
27%
1.3
3832+6
1.9
59%
24%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
8Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3647
36%
1.3
4243-1
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.2
-
9Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3632
19%
0.9
2957-28
2.4
61%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3627
17%
0.8
3156-25
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.6
-
11FlamurtariFlamurtari11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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