Voitsberg enters the match after a 1-5 loss to FC BW Linz, a defeat that has left the side struggling to score, averaging 1.33 goals per home game against stronger opponents while conceding 1.67. FC Liefering, fresh from a 2-1 win over Austria Vienna (Am), shows a more balanced away form, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.36 against weaker teams. The model’s strongest edge lies in the away win probability of 49%, far exceeding the market’s implied odds, and it also predicts a 1-1 draw with a 13.6% chance, the single most likely scoreline. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with a 27% probability that the match will finish with exactly two goals. Home win stands at 22%, draw at 29%, and away win at 49%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with an 8% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5% with a 13% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 10% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (96.3% with an 11% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0% with a 6% edge).
Results analysis
The match saw FC Liefering extend their two-game winning run, beating Voitsberg 3-2 to confirm the model’s pick of an away win, which had a 49% probability. The final score matched the predicted 2-3 outcome. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%, and Under 5.5 at 96.3%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s result was noted without repetition.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Voitsberg win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.19
Edge
-19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
SBO
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.88
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.25
Bet365
4.10
Marathonbet
3.96
Dafabet
3.95
1xBet
3.92
FC Liefering win✓ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.68
Edge
+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.77
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.72
BetVictor
2.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Voitsberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.37
1.06
1.19
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.50
1.33
1.67
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.35
1.00
1.08
1.77
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.33
2.20
1.40
1.40
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.82
1.39
2.14
1.43
1.50
1.36
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
@ 1.09-14.3%
Under 1.5
29.3%
@ 6.22+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Under
Pinnacle
7.07
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.36-24.7%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 2.91+24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
@ 1.95-25.7%
Under 3.5
77.6%
@ 1.81+25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
SBO
2.06
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
@ 1.35-20.4%
No
51.9%
@ 2.93+20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
No
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 7.90+7.8%
0-1
12.0%@ 15.02+9.0%
0-0
10.2%@ 19.79+7.9%
0-2
9.8%@ 17.98+7.3%
1-2
9.2%@ 9.81+4.5%
1-0
7.1%@ 13.14+3.6%
2-1
5.8%@ 8.75+0.6%
0-3
4.9%@ 30.19+3.4%
Voitsberg goals ↓
FC Liefering goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
12%
9.8%
4.9%
1.8%
1
7.1%
14%
9.2%
4.5%
1.7%
2
3.9%
5.8%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Voitsberg goals (down), columns = FC Liefering goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Voitsberg is 1.00 points worse than FC Liefering in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Voitsberg is 1.20 goals worse than FC Liefering in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Voitsberg is 0.40 goals worse than FC Liefering in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Voitsberg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Liefering
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Voitsberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
9.0
8.4
9.6
3.3
3.5
3.0
25.3
27.2
23.4
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
9.0
11.0
3.0
2.3
5.0
36.0
41.0
31.0
vs Similar (36)
8.9
8.4
9.5
3.3
3.7
2.9
24.3
25.9
22.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
25%
45%
45%
50%
40%
70%
75%
64%
% under line
65%
75%
55%
55%
50%
60%
30%
25%
36%
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.1
10.4
1.4
1.6
1.2
23.8
24.3
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
13.5
13.5
-
2.8
3.7
0.0
24.5
24.5
-
vs Weaker (46)
8.9
7.9
10.4
1.3
1.4
1.2
23.7
24.3
22.8
% over line
50%
33%
80%
18%
20%
16%
64%
56%
80%
% under line
50%
67%
20%
82%
80%
84%
36%
44%
20%
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.2%
@ 1.90-2.6%
Under 9.5
53.8%
@ 1.81+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.0%
Under 3.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.9%
Under 21.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Voitsberg or Draw✗ Miss
51.2%
Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.41
Edge
-14.6%
22%
29%
49%
covers Voitsberg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Voitsberg or FC Liefering✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.22
Edge
-5.1%
22%
29%
49%
covers Voitsberg + FC Liefering
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or FC Liefering✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 57.8% · @ 1.61
Edge
+19.7%
22%
29%
49%
covers Draw + FC Liefering
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.61
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.12-22.0%
Under
39.4%
@ 5.34+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.55
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Voitsberg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
23.9%
@ 1.68-31.8%
Under
76.1%
@ 2.11+31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Voitsberg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 3.08-23.3%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.33+23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.08
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Voitsberg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 6.38-13.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.09+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
FC Liefering over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.17-2.0%
Under
22.7%
@ 4.49+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
FC Liefering over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.7%
@ 1.86-6.5%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.87+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.87
FC Liefering over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.7%
@ 3.68-6.5%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.24+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
3.74
BetVictor
3.70
Pinnacle
3.67
Betano
3.60
Under
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
FC Liefering over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 7.57-6.0%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.07+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Voitsberg, so a minus line means Voitsberg give that many goals of a start and FC Liefering receive them. At -1, Voitsberg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Voitsberg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Voitsberg)Actual: FC Liefering
Voitsberg -2
2.1%
@ 7.70-9.6%
Draw -2
6.0%
@ 6.30-8.3%
FC Liefering +2
91.9%
@ 1.22+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Handicap -1 (Voitsberg)Actual: FC Liefering
Voitsberg -1
8.1%
@ 3.72-15.9%
Draw -1
14.3%
@ 4.29-6.5%
FC Liefering +1
77.5%
@ 1.62+22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.68
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Voitsberg)Actual: Draw
Voitsberg +1
51.2%
@ 1.39-13.1%
Draw +1
23.6%
@ 4.77+4.8%
FC Liefering -1
25.3%
@ 5.28+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Handicap +2 (Voitsberg)Actual: Voitsberg
Voitsberg +2
74.7%
@ 1.12-2.7%
Draw +2
15.2%
@ 6.50+1.8%
FC Liefering -2
10.0%
@ 9.50+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Voitsberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.38
0.62
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.54
0.31
0.54
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.20
0.47
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.96
0.50
1.29
0.50
0.64
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.7%
@ 1.20-10.4%
Under 0.5
33.3%
@ 4.03+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
William Hil
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.1%
@ 2.01-15.4%
Under 1.5
68.9%
@ 1.75+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
SBO
2.08
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
SBO
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 4.07-13.0%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.20+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.8%
@ 1.66-17.1%
Under
61.2%
@ 2.11+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.15-9.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.19+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 10.38-7.2%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.1%
@ 1.78-9.0%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.94+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.90
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.91-6.3%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.14+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.11
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.38-4.6%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Voitsberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.69
0.56
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.81
0.69
0.54
0.62
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.00
0.93
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.86
0.89
0.86
0.93
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.11-9.2%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 5.65+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.55
William Hil
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 1.58-17.9%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 2.24+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 2.73-19.4%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.40+19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.88
1xBet
2.77
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.4%
@ 1.44-16.8%
Under
52.6%
@ 2.59+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.50
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 3.01-17.0%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.33+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 7.33-10.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.06+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.5%
@ 1.54-7.6%
Under
47.5%
@ 2.32+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Under
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.36
10Bet
2.15
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 3.54-6.3%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.25+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
10Bet
1.20
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 8.97-6.9%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-
-
+17.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+13.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.19
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
-
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.14
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.11
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
1.33
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
-
+17.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.40
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
+19.4%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
10Bet
1.20
-
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
77.5%
1.61
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.61
+19.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.17
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
1.29
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+5.6%
-
Home +2 handicap
74.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.11
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
-9.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.7%
1.09
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-14.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Liefering · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gaoussou Diakite46%
Enrique Aguilar22%
Luka Reischl20%
Valentin Sulzbacher20%
Phillip Verhounig20%
Aboubacar Camara20%
Alexander Murillo18%
Zétény Jánó17%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure17%
Tim Paumgartner14%
Bryan Okoh10%
Julian Hussauf10%
Jannik Schuster8%
Tolgahan Sahin6%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
John Mellberg0%
Kristjan Bendra0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Jakob Brandtner0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zétény Jánó50%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure50%
Luka Reischl40%
John Mellberg36%
Tim Paumgartner36%
Benjamin Ožegović33%
Raphael Hofer33%
Jannik Schuster33%
Rüstü Erdogan33%
Gaoussou Diakite31%
Kristjan Bendra23%
Bryan Okoh20%
Tolgahan Sahin19%
Marcel Moswitzer17%
Oliver Lukić17%
Christian Zawieschitzky14%
Rocco Žiković11%
Enrique Aguilar11%
Julian Hussauf10%
Jakob Brandtner9%
Salko Hamzic0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Tim Trummer0%
Phillip Verhounig0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Lukić25%
Valentin Sulzbacher20%
Phillip Verhounig20%
Aboubacar Camara20%
Tim Trummer14%
Lassina Traoré12%
Julian Hussauf10%
John Mellberg9%
Jakob Brandtner9%
Kristjan Bendra8%
Gaoussou Diakite8%
Tolgahan Sahin6%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bryan Okoh0%
Luka Reischl0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure0%
Enrique Aguilar0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentin Sulzbacher40%
Zétény Jánó33%
Gaoussou Diakite23%
Enrique Aguilar11%
Kristjan Bendra8%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bryan Okoh0%
Luka Reischl0%
Tolgahan Sahin0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Phillip Verhounig0%
John Mellberg0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Jakob Brandtner0%
Marc Striednig0%
Julian Hussauf0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC BW Linz
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
Austria Salzburg
Wacker Innsbruck
Austria Vienna (Am)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Admira Wacker
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Rapid Wien II
WSPG Wels
SKN ST. Polten
SV Kapfenberg