Voitsberg’s defensive record at home is fragile, conceding 1.08 goals per match while scoring only 0.92, and they have lost their last two outings. First Vienna, on the other hand, keeps just 0.64 goals against when away and averages a goal per game, riding a two-game winning streak. The model therefore picks an away win, with a 37% chance of victory, a 32% chance of a draw and a 31% chance of a home win. The expected total is 2.1 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.8% probability. The match is projected to be tight and low-scoring, with both sides unlikely to exceed two goals. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 5.5 (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 4.5 (93.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (91.6%) and Away under 2.5 goals (89.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Voitsberg win
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Voitsberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.43
1.06
1.31
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.80
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.36
0.92
1.08
1.77
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.97
1.43
1.29
1.00
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.19
0.93
1.38
1.23
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.3%
Under 2.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
Voitsberg goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.6%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.1%
6.8%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.1%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Voitsberg goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Voitsberg is 1.00 points worse than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Voitsberg is 0.40 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Voitsberg is 0.80 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Voitsberg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Voitsberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
9.0
8.4
9.6
2.9
3.0
2.8
25.3
27.2
23.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
9.0
11.0
2.0
1.4
5.0
36.0
41.0
31.0
vs Similar (39)
8.9
8.4
9.5
3.1
3.5
2.7
24.3
25.9
22.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
25%
45%
40%
43%
36%
70%
75%
64%
% under line
65%
75%
55%
60%
57%
64%
30%
25%
36%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
12.0
7.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
22.7
22.0
23.3
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.5
12.0
7.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
22.7
22.0
23.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
17%
33%
0%
4%
4%
4%
50%
33%
67%
% under line
83%
67%
100%
96%
96%
96%
50%
67%
33%
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.5%
Under 9.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.7%
Under 21.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Voitsberg or Draw
63.3%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Voitsberg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg or First Vienna
67.8%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Voitsberg + First Vienna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or First Vienna
68.9%
Avg Implied -
31%
32%
37%
covers Draw + First Vienna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5
Over
63.9%
Under
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5
Over
27.1%
Under
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Voitsberg, so a minus line means Voitsberg give that many goals of a start and First Vienna receive them. At -1, Voitsberg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Voitsberg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Voitsberg)
Voitsberg -2
3.5%
Draw -2
8.7%
First Vienna +2
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Voitsberg)
Voitsberg -1
12.3%
Draw -1
18.8%
First Vienna +1
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Voitsberg)
Voitsberg +1
63.3%
Draw +1
21.0%
First Vienna -1
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Voitsberg)
Voitsberg +2
84.3%
Draw +2
10.7%
First Vienna -2
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Voitsberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.38
0.69
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.25
0.58
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.37
0.64
0.57
0.75
0.19
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.37
0.69
0.54
0.71
0.21
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Voitsberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.69
0.62
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.80
0.67
0.50
0.62
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.79
0.71
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.56
0.69
0.69
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →