PythiaFootballBETA
Voitsberg host SKU Amstetten in a finely balanced match, with the home side coming off a win against Rapid Wien II, while the away side has also been in good form, having beaten Admira Wacker in their last outing. The model's selection is a home win, with a 40% chance of success, compared to a 28% draw probability and a 33% chance of an away win.
The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely total goals being 2, and the most likely scoreline being 1-1 with a 13.2% probability. Voitsberg have been scoring an average of 1.2 goals at home, while conceding 1.1, against opponents of similar strength. SKU Amstetten have been scoring 1.09 goals away, while conceding 1.55, against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 3.5 cards (79.5%), Over 1.5 goals (77.6%), and Over 21.5 fouls (77.4%). The home win percentage is 40%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 33%.
The Voitsberg draw against SKU Amstetten extends their run of mixed results, following a win in their previous match. The final score was a 1-1 stalemate, which is exactly what the actual result was. In a major upset, the pre-match favourite, Voitsberg, did not come through, as the model's selection of Home win was incorrect. The model's call was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 40%. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.6%.
Voitsberg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 1.37 | 0.87 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 0.58 | 1.17 | 0.17 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (18) | 1.28 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
SKU Amstetten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.87 | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.90 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| SKU Amstetten goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 13% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
VoitsbergSKU AmstettenVoitsberg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (30) | 9.0 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 25.3 | 27.2 | 23.4 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 9.0 | 7.2 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 25.8 | 26.8 | 24.6 |
| vs Similar (18) | 9.0 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 24.9 | 27.5 | 22.3 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 35% | 25% | 45% | 60% | 67% | 53% | 70% | 75% | 64% |
| % under line | 65% | 75% | 55% | 40% | 33% | 47% | 30% | 25% | 36% |
SKU Amstetten| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.5 | 11.0 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 25.2 | 23.8 | 27.0 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 10.7 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 23.0 | 22.2 | 24.0 |
| vs Similar (35) | 8.6 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 26.9 | 25.0 | 29.2 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | 67% | 29% | 28% | 32% | 24% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| % under line | 50% | 33% | 71% | 72% | 68% | 76% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
Voitsberg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (18) | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
SKU Amstetten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.43 | 0.80 | 0.27 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.70 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 88.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 82.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 80.0% | 1.26 | 1.34 | 1.23 | 1.22 | - | - | +7.7% | - |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.18 | -0.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 75.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 10.5 corners | 70.3% | 1.46 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.42 | - | +7.3% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/24 | A | 0-3 | |
| 02/08/24 | H | 1-2 |
Voitsberg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 16/05/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 09/05/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/04/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 21/04/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/04/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 11/04/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/04/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 28/03/25 | H | 0-1 |
SKU Amstetten| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 13/03/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 06/03/26 | H | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  FC BW Linz | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | - |
| 2 |  Austria Salzburg | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 3.7 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 3 |  Wacker Innsbruck | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna (Am) | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.7 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 5 |  Rapid Wien II | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.7 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 6 | Voitsberg | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - |
| 7 | SKU Amstetten | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 |  FC Liefering | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 53% |
| 9 |  First Vienna | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 |  Floridsdorfer AC | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3.7 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | - |
| 11 |  Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3.3 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | - |
| 12 |  Admira Wacker | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 13 |  WSPG Wels | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 |  Sturm Graz II | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | - |
| 15 |  SKN ST. Polten | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 16 |  SV Kapfenberg | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3.3 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | - |