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Volna vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Volna
Volna
Vs
66%
17%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Volna win✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✗ Miss
16.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W11D21W22D10W81W22D13L13L23LA·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07H·OSI09/07A·ORS17/07H·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.291.643.331.671.501.62
vs Stronger (3)2.002.003.002.001.502.00
vs Similar (8)1.501.751.672.331.401.40
vs Weaker (3)4.671.006.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D33D03L11D35L14L21W13L14L00DH·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.311.142.001.332.67
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (9)1.112.111.001.801.252.50
vs Weaker (3)1.672.332.001.001.503.00
Clean sheet %15% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%30%2%04%112%217%319%417%530%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.7%
Under 2.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
74.9%
No
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-2
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
4-1
5.5%
2-0 ✓
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
Volna goals ↓
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals →
01234
01.6%1.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%
12.8%5.5%3.9%2.0%0.8%
24.9%7.5%5.7%2.9%1.1%
34.9%7.4%5.7%2.9%1.1%
43.6%5.5%4.2%2.2%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volna goals (down), columns = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Volna is 0.29 points better than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.21).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Volna is 0.58 goals better than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Volna is 0.42 goals better than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.88).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W10W01L10W50W21W12L02L21WA·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07H·OSI09/07A·ORS17/07H·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.360.711.830.671.000.75
vs Stronger (3)1.001.332.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (8)1.000.621.001.001.000.40
vs Weaker (3)2.670.333.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D01L01L02L10W01L04L00DH·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.770.290.710.500.83
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (9)0.330.440.200.200.500.75
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D21W00D31W01L01L11D02LA·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07H·OSI09/07A·ORS17/07H·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.931.501.000.500.88
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (8)0.501.120.671.330.401.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.673.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D13L03L10W34L12L11D12L10W00DH·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.540.861.290.831.83
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (9)0.781.670.801.600.751.75
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.7%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes74.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Volna and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Volna and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Volna and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Volna and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VOL wins
0
Draws
1
M4 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Volna vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · H/A from VOL
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs VOL2-1

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/22AOstrovets FC Vs VOL3-2
13/08/22AML Vitebsk Vs VOL3-1
23/07/22HVOL Vs Smorgon1-3
17/07/22AOrsha Vs VOL2-2
09/07/22HVOL Vs Osipovichy8-1
02/07/22ANaftan Vs VOL0-1
12/06/22HVOL Vs Lida2-2
05/06/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs VOL1-2
20/05/22ABaranovichi Vs VOL1-1
15/05/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs VOL1-2

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/22HM4 Vs Ostrovets FC0-0
23/07/22HM4 Vs ML Vitebsk1-4
17/07/22ASmorgon Vs M43-1
10/07/22HM4 Vs Orsha2-1
03/07/22AOsipovichy Vs M44-1
11/06/22HM4 Vs Naftan3-5
05/06/22ALida Vs M41-1
22/05/22HM4 Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-3
15/05/22ABaranovichi Vs M43-3
08/05/22HM4 Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.57
HomeDWDWL1.83
AwayWWDLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%38%
AVG goals3.935.003.12
Over 1.5 %93%100%88%
Over 2.5 %86%100%75%
Over 3.5 %64%100%38%
Scored2.293.331.50
Conceded1.641.671.62
BTTS86%83%88%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD0.85
HomeLLWLD1.14
AwayDDDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%29%0%
AVG goals3.543.144.00
Over 1.5 %85%71%100%
Over 2.5 %77%71%83%
Over 3.5 %46%29%67%
Scored1.231.141.33
Conceded2.312.002.67
BTTS69%57%83%
Clean Sheet15%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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