PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Volna vs Osipovichy Result & Analysis

Date: 09/07/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 8-1
Volna
Volna
Vs
67%
18%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Volna’s recent slump of three straight defeats has not dampened the model’s confidence in a home win, as their home form shows a prolific 4.0 goals scored per game and a clean sheet average against weaker opposition, while Osipovichy’s away record against stronger teams is a modest 0.75 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. The model rates Volna as the clear favourite, assigning a 67% chance of victory, 18% for a draw and 15% for an Osipovichy win. The expected total of 3.8 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely total of 3 goals carrying a 20% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Volna, with a 9.1% chance. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 90% and Over 2.5 goals at 73.2%. Volna’s home advantage and Osipovichy’s struggling away form combine to make a home win the model’s top pick.

Results analysis

Volna’s recent form, still rattled after three straight defeats, found its breakthrough as they secured an 8-1 victory over Osipovichy, extending their win streak and proving the model’s prediction correct. The Pythia model had favored a home win with a 67% probability, and the outcome matched that call. Its suggested picks also delivered: Over 1.5 goals, with a 90% probability, hit, and Over 2.5 goals, at 73.2%, hit as well. The final score of 8-1 not only confirmed the home win but also surpassed the expected total of 3.8 goals, showcasing the model’s accuracy across all selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volna win✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy win✗ Miss
15.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W22D12L40W21W11D21W22D10WH·ML 09/04H·OST16/04A·MOL23/04H·SLO08/05A·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.222.751.501.401.00
vs Stronger (2)2.501.503.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (6)1.501.332.002.001.251.00
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L24L11D04L00D01L03L13L41WH·BAR10/04A·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.892.221.001.600.753.00
vs Stronger (8)1.002.501.252.000.753.00
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.0%
Under 1.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.2%
Under 2.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
Volna goals ↓
Osipovichy goals →
01234
02.9%2.0%1.6%0.7%0.2%
15.1%7.7%4.2%1.7%0.5%
27.5%9.1%5.5%2.2%0.7%
36.5%7.9%4.7%1.9%0.6%
44.2%5.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volna goals (down), columns = Osipovichy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Volna is 0.96 points better than Osipovichy in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Volna is 0.96 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Volna is 0.75 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 2.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W01L10W11D10W10W01L10WH·ML 09/04H·OST16/04A·MOL23/04H·SLO08/05A·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.441.250.500.800.40
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.830.331.000.500.750.25
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D00D00D00D01L00D20WH·BAR10/04A·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.440.600.600.250.25
vs Stronger (8)0.500.500.750.750.250.25
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D30W10W01L11D21W00DH·ML 09/04H·OST16/04A·MOL23/04H·SLO08/05A·LOK15/05A·BAR20/05A·SHA05/06H·LID12/06A·NAF02/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.781.501.000.600.60
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (6)0.671.001.001.500.500.75
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L00D04L00D01L02L13L21WH·BAR10/04A·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.780.401.000.502.75
vs Stronger (8)0.502.000.501.250.502.75
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Volna and Osipovichy have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Volna and Osipovichy have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Volna and Osipovichy have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Volna and Osipovichy have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VOL wins
0
Draws
0
OSI wins

Head-to-head

Volna vs Osipovichy · H/A from VOL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/07/22ANaftan Vs VOL0-1
12/06/22HVOL Vs Lida2-2
05/06/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs VOL1-2
20/05/22ABaranovichi Vs VOL1-1
15/05/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs VOL1-2
08/05/22HVOL Vs Slonim4-0
23/04/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs VOL2-1
16/04/22HVOL Vs Ostrovets FC2-2
09/04/22HVOL Vs ML Vitebsk3-2

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/07/22HOSI Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 44-1
11/06/22AOstrovets FC Vs OSI3-1
04/06/22HOSI Vs ML Vitebsk0-3
21/05/22ASmorgon Vs OSI1-0
14/05/22HOSI Vs Orsha0-0
30/04/22ANaftan Vs OSI4-0
22/04/22HOSI Vs Lida1-1
17/04/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs OSI4-2
10/04/22HOSI Vs Baranovichi0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW2.00
HomeWDWD2.00
AwayLWDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%50%60%
AVG goals3.224.252.40
Over 1.5 %89%100%80%
Over 2.5 %78%100%60%
Over 3.5 %44%100%0%
Scored2.002.751.40
Conceded1.221.501.00
BTTS78%75%80%
Clean Sheet22%25%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW0.56
HomeLDDLW1.00
AwayLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%20%0%
AVG goals3.112.603.75
Over 1.5 %78%80%75%
Over 2.5 %67%60%75%
Over 3.5 %44%20%75%
Scored0.891.000.75
Conceded2.221.603.00
BTTS44%40%50%
Clean Sheet11%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches