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Völsungur vs Afturelding Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-6
Völsungur
Völsungur
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Völsungur win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Afturelding win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VölsungurVölsungur

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1022D25L12L27L20W21W04L010L15L22DH·THR09/08H·THO13/08H·LEI17/08A·KEF23/08H·GRI30/08A·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
3.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.701.652.411.463.08
vs Stronger (22)1.682.551.831.921.503.30
vs Similar (8)1.253.121.203.601.332.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D01L21W20W04L05L32W61W52W31WH·VES19/10A·IA 25/10A·IA 29/01H·GRO06/02A·VAL21/02H·THO25/02A·IR 29/03H·ÝMI03/04H·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.872.251.751.212.00
vs Stronger (2)3.501.506.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.631.962.001.931.232.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.8%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.8%
No
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
Völsungur goals ↓
Afturelding goals →
01234
03.8%4.2%4.6%2.7%1.2%
14.2%10.0%8.1%4.8%2.2%
24.5%8.0%7.1%4.2%1.9%
32.6%4.7%4.2%2.5%1.1%
41.1%2.1%1.8%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Völsungur goals (down), columns = Afturelding goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Völsungur is 0.56 points worse than Afturelding in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Völsungur is 1.78 goals worse than Afturelding in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 3.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Völsungur is 0.44 goals worse than Afturelding in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VölsungurVölsungur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-800D13L01L13L10W01L02L08L11D01LH·THR09/08H·THO13/08H·LEI17/08A·KEF23/08H·GRI30/08A·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.270.651.120.541.46
vs Stronger (22)0.731.270.830.830.601.80
vs Similar (8)0.251.250.201.800.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D01L02L00D31W10W01LH·VES19/10A·IA 25/10A·IA 29/01H·GRO06/02A·VAL21/02H·THO25/02A·IR 29/03H·ÝMI03/04H·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.500.940.290.43
vs Stronger (2)1.500.503.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.330.740.361.000.310.46
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VölsungurVölsungur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D12L11D14L10W20W02L02L04L21WH·THR09/08H·THO13/08H·LEI17/08A·KEF23/08H·GRI30/08A·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.431.001.290.921.62
vs Stronger (22)0.951.271.001.080.901.50
vs Similar (8)1.001.881.001.801.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D20W20W03L03L32W30W42W30WH·VES19/10A·IA 25/10A·IA 29/01H·GRO06/02A·VAL21/02H·THO25/02A·IR 29/03H·ÝMI03/04H·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.171.750.810.931.57
vs Stronger (2)2.001.003.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.301.221.640.930.921.54
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Völsungur and Afturelding have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Völsungur and Afturelding have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Völsungur and Afturelding have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Völsungur and Afturelding have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VÖL wins
0
Draws
0
AFT wins

Head-to-head

Völsungur vs Afturelding · H/A from VÖL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VölsungurVölsungur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/26HVÖL Vs Kormákur / Hvöt2-2
22/02/26HVÖL Vs IA Akranes1-5
18/02/26AThor Akureyri Vs VÖL10-0
13/09/25HVÖL Vs HK Kopavogur0-4
06/09/25AFylkir Vs VÖL1-2
30/08/25HVÖL Vs Grindavik2-0
23/08/25AKeflavik Vs VÖL7-2
17/08/25HVÖL Vs Leiknir R.1-2
13/08/25HVÖL Vs Thor Akureyri2-5
09/08/25HVÖL Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/06/26HAFT Vs Stjarnan3-1
13/05/26HAFT Vs Njardvik5-2
03/04/26HAFT Vs Ýmir6-1
29/03/26AIR Reykjavik Vs AFT2-3
25/02/26HAFT Vs Thor Akureyri0-5
21/02/26AValur Reykjavik Vs AFT4-0
06/02/26HAFT Vs Grotta2-0
29/01/26AIA Akranes Vs AFT1-2
25/10/25AIA Akranes Vs AFT1-0
19/10/25HAFT Vs Vestri1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Völsungur
Völsungur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD0.97
HomeLWLLD1.06
AwayLDLWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals4.184.064.29
Over 1.5 %97%100%94%
Over 2.5 %74%76%71%
Over 3.5 %62%65%59%
Scored1.441.651.24
Conceded2.742.413.06
BTTS76%76%76%
Clean Sheet6%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.52
HomeWLWWW1.96
AwayDLWLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%29%
AVG goals3.343.583.08
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%65%58%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.802.351.21
Conceded1.541.231.88
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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