The match between Völsungur and HK Kopavogur is shaping up to be a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.9 goals. This is driven by the attacking and defensive numbers, with Völsungur averaging 1.43 goals scored at home but conceding 3.14, while HK Kopavogur averages 1.67 goals scored away but concedes just 1.0.
HK Kopavogur's recent form is particularly noteworthy, having come off a defeat to Njardvik but also having a strong away record. Völsungur, on the other hand, is coming off a defeat to Fylkir and has struggled at home in recent matches.
The model predicts an away win for HK Kopavogur, with a 45% probability. The draw is the least likely outcome at 22%, while Völsungur's home win is 33% likely. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 8.3% probability. The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals has a 91% probability, with an edge of 2%. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely, with an edge of 1%. BTTS Yes is 74.2% likely, with an edge of 5%.
Results analysis
HK Kopavogur's 3-2 win over Volsungur extends their run of scoring goals, with the away side netting an impressive 3 goals. This result marks a surprise upset, as the home side was expected to take the win. The model's selection, an Away win, was incorrect, with the actual result being a Home win. The pre-match favourite was the home team, Volsungur, with a 33% probability of winning. The model's selection had a 45% probability of winning. The model's selection of an Away win was wrong. The model's suggestion of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a 91% probability, and Over 2.5 goals also hit, with a 75% probability. The suggestion of BTTS Yes, with a 74.2% probability, was also correct, as both teams scored.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Völsungur win✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.25
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.80
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.60
Unibet
4.40
1xBet
4.32
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.61
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.29
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
HK Kopavogur win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied 59.0% · @ 1.54
Edge
-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Dafabet
1.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Völsungur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.70
1.62
2.38
1.36
3.07
vs Stronger (23)
1.65
2.65
1.85
2.15
1.40
3.30
vs Similar (7)
1.00
2.86
0.67
3.33
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.0
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.83
2.81
1.38
2.00
2.36
vs Stronger (7)
2.57
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.33
3.33
vs Similar (22)
2.41
1.82
3.18
1.55
1.64
2.09
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.0%
@ 1.04+2.2%
Under 1.5
9.0%
@ 8.24-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Under
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
888Sport
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.0%
@ 1.24+0.9%
Under 2.5
25.0%
@ 3.55-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.1%
@ 1.66-0.7%
Under 3.5
44.9%
@ 2.09+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
888Sport
1.67
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.66
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.2%
@ 1.33+5.0%
No
25.8%
@ 2.99-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
10Bet
1.33
No
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.12
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Bet365
3.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.3%@ 10.16+4.1%
1-2
8.0%@ 8.12+2.7%
2-2
7.2%@ 10.86+3.2%
2-1
6.8%@ 13.74+3.6%
1-3
5.7%@ 9.44+1.1%
2-3
5.1%@ 12.36+1.6%
0-2
4.5%@ 11.36+0.7%
3-2 ✓
4.3%@ 21.00+2.3%
Völsungur goals ↓
HK Kopavogur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
3.5%
4.5%
3.2%
1.7%
1
2.8%
8.3%
8.0%
5.7%
3.0%
2
3.2%
6.8%
7.2%
5.1%
2.7%
3
1.9%
4.1%
4.3%
3.1%
1.6%
4
0.9%
1.8%
1.9%
1.4%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Völsungur goals (down), columns = HK Kopavogur goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Völsungur is 0.04 points better than HK Kopavogur in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Völsungur is 1.57 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 3.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Völsungur is 0.11 goals better than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Völsungur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.27
0.75
1.19
0.50
1.36
vs Stronger (23)
0.78
1.39
0.92
1.08
0.60
1.80
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.86
0.00
1.67
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.38
0.44
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.18
0.59
1.45
0.36
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Völsungur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.43
0.88
1.19
0.86
1.71
vs Stronger (23)
0.87
1.26
0.92
1.08
0.80
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
2.00
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.44
0.94
1.07
1.43
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
1.14
1.00
0.50
2.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.23
1.73
1.18
0.73
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
91.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
75.0%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
+0.9%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
74.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+5.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Völsungur and HK Kopavogur have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Völsungur and HK Kopavogur have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Völsungur and HK Kopavogur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Völsungur and HK Kopavogur have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Afturelding
Njardvik
Throttur Reykjavik
Fylkir
Grindavik
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
Grotta
Vestri
Ægir