Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape the early minutes, with Vora averaging one goal conceded at home and Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceding just under one on the road. The model favours a home win, assigning 36% to Vora, 32% to a draw and 33% to an away victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, a tight 2-goal spread that lands the most likely total at 2 with a 28% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.7% probability. Vora’s home form shows 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s away form registers 1.4 scored and 0.93 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 3.5, hit with an 81.3% probability. The match is projected to be low-scoring, with Vora’s defensive record and the tight goal expectation suggesting a cautious, balanced encounter.

The upset came early, with Vora’s pre-match favourite failing to deliver as the match ended 0-1 in favour of Egnatia Rrogozhinë, extending their unbeaten run. The model had tipped a home win with a 36% probability, but the pick was wrong. The suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 81.3% chance, and the final score matched that expectation. Vora’s recent form shows a win-win-draw-win-draw streak, yet they came off a defeat, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s last five included three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten. The game’s single goal fell within the model’s most likely 2-goal total, though the 1-1 scoreline was only a 14.7% possibility.