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Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

Date: 14/02/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Vora
Vora
Vs
26%
37%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will dominate the stage, as both sides have conceded roughly three-quarters of a goal per match against similar opposition. Vora’s home form shows 0.75 goals for and 0.75 against, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s away record is 1.06 scored and 0.81 conceded. The model therefore projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an expected total of 1.6 goals and a 29% chance that only one goal will be scored. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 21% probability, and the favourite result is a Draw, the most probable outcome with 37% certainty. Home win, draw and away win probabilities stand at 26%, 37% and 37% respectively. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 with 91.8% and Under 2.5 with 77.7%. Vora’s recent five matches (LWWDW) ended in a defeat, whereas Egnatia Rrogozhinë have remained unbeaten (WDWDW). These narratives set the scene for a cautious, evenly matched contest.

Results analysis

The match saw Vora’s recent form dip after a defeat, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë remained unbeaten in five games. The model predicted a Draw with a 37% probability, and the result matched that expectation. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw. The model’s selections also proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit with a 91.8% probability, and Under 2.5 goals hit with a 77.7% probability. All suggested picks settled as predicted. The favoured outcome landed, and the majority of the model’s choices came through, underscoring the reliability of the Pythia prediction for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vora win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VoraVora

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L01L12L41W10W11D11D00D01LH·VLL04/12A·EGN08/12H·AF 13/12A·DIN19/12H·BYL24/12A·PAR15/01H·TIR19/01A·TEU25/01H·FLA31/01A·VLL06/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.931.070.800.731.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.730.960.750.750.711.14
vs Weaker (4)2.000.752.331.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W21W21W10W01L22D22D01L10WH·FLA04/12H·VOR08/12A·DIN14/12H·PAR19/12A·TEU23/12A·VLL14/01H·AF 18/01A·BYL24/01H·TIR01/02A·FLA06/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.801.500.791.060.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.270.801.500.791.060.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%21%029%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.6%
Under 1.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.3%
Under 2.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.2%
Under 3.5
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
31.8%
No
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.0%
0-1
16.7%
1-1 ✓
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
Vora goals ↓
Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals →
01234
021%17%8.2%2.5%0.6%
113%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
25.0%4.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
31.2%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
40.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vora goals (down), columns = Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Vora is 0.53 points worse than Egnatia Rrogozhinë in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Vora is 0.20 goals worse than Egnatia Rrogozhinë in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Vora is 0.21 goals worse than Egnatia Rrogozhinë in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VoraVora

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W20W00D00D10W00D01LH·VLL04/12A·EGN08/12H·AF 13/12A·DIN19/12H·BYL24/12A·PAR15/01H·TIR19/01A·TEU25/01H·FLA31/01A·VLL06/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.470.270.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.350.420.330.250.360.57
vs Weaker (4)1.000.251.000.331.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W10W00D01L01L10W01L00DH·FLA04/12H·VOR08/12A·DIN14/12H·PAR19/12A·TEU23/12A·VLL14/01H·AF 18/01A·BYL24/01H·TIR01/02A·FLA06/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.430.430.440.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.400.430.430.440.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vora over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VoraVora

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L02L21W10W11D01L00D00DH·VLL04/12A·EGN08/12H·AF 13/12A·DIN19/12H·BYL24/12A·PAR15/01H·TIR19/01A·TEU25/01H·FLA31/01A·VLL06/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.600.530.330.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.380.540.420.500.360.57
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.330.670.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W11D11D10W00D21W12L00D10WH·FLA04/12H·VOR08/12A·DIN14/12H·PAR19/12A·TEU23/12A·VLL14/01H·AF 18/01A·BYL24/01H·TIR01/02A·FLA06/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.401.070.360.620.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.401.070.360.620.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vora over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
Vora's squad is €3m less valuable than Egnatia Rrogozhinë's (€4m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Vora and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
Vora and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Vora's defence is €2m less valuable than Egnatia Rrogozhinë's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
VOR wins
0
Draws
2
ER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · H/A from VOR
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs VOR2-0
05/10/25HVOR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-1

VoraVora

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs VOR1-0
31/01/26HVOR Vs Flamurtari0-0
25/01/26ATeuta Durrës Vs VOR1-1
19/01/26HVOR Vs Tirana1-1
15/01/26APartizani Vs VOR0-1
24/12/25HVOR Vs Bylis4-1
19/12/25ADinamo Tirana Vs VOR2-1
13/12/25HVOR Vs AF Elbasani0-1
08/12/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs VOR2-0
04/12/25HVOR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/26AFlamurtari Vs ER0-1
01/02/26HER Vs Tirana0-1
24/01/26ABylis Vs ER2-2
18/01/26HER Vs AF Elbasani2-2
14/01/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs ER1-0
23/12/25ATeuta Durrës Vs ER0-1
19/12/25HER Vs Partizani2-1
14/12/25ADinamo Tirana Vs ER1-2
08/12/25HER Vs Vora2-0
04/12/25HER Vs Flamurtari0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vora
Vora
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDL1.72
HomeDLWDD1.88
AwayLLWDL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.182.292.08
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %26%29%23%
Over 3.5 %18%25%12%
Scored1.341.541.15
Conceded0.840.750.92
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.72
HomeLWWDL1.79
AwayWWLDW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.102.122.08
Over 1.5 %60%62%58%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %18%21%15%
Scored1.281.381.19
Conceded0.820.750.88
BTTS38%46%31%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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