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Vora vs Skenderbeu Korce Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Vora
Vora
Vs
32%
30%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Vora and Skenderbeu Korce is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. The odds are almost even: a 35 % chance of Vora triumphing, 31 % for a draw, and 34 % for Skenderbeu Korce to lift the trophy. The expected total goals hover at 2.3, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1, carrying a 14.6 % probability. Vora, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Skenderbeu Korce, on the road, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2 %), Under 5.5 (97.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Under 4.5 (91.8 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.4 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (88.9 %). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vora win
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce win
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

VoraVora

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L10W11D00D20W42W22D52W10W13LA·TIR22/03H·TEU05/04A·FLA11/04H·VLL18/04A·EGN26/04H·AF 02/05A·DIN06/05H·BYL10/05A·DIN23/08H·EGN31/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.131.331.070.931.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.131.331.070.931.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W10W10W40W11D01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.901.800.931.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.220.501.001.601.40
vs Weaker (21)1.950.762.270.911.600.60
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
Vora goals ↓
Skenderbeu Korce goals →
01234
010%10%7.3%3.1%1.0%
18.9%14%8.3%3.5%1.1%
25.8%7.4%4.7%2.0%0.6%
32.2%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vora goals (down), columns = Skenderbeu Korce goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Vora is 0.00 points better than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Vora is 0.17 goals better than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Vora is 0.10 goals better than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vora or Draw
61.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Vora + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vora or Skenderbeu Korce
69.9%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Vora + Skenderbeu Korce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Skenderbeu Korce
68.4%
Avg Implied -
32%
30%
38%
covers Draw + Skenderbeu Korce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vora over/under 0.5
Over
68.0%
Under
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 1.5
Over
31.5%
Under
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 2.5
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5
Over
72.1%
Under
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5
Over
36.5%
Under
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5
Over
13.7%
Under
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vora, so a minus line means Vora give that many goals of a start and Skenderbeu Korce receive them. At -1, Vora must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vora win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vora)
Vora -2
4.2%
Draw -2
9.2%
Skenderbeu Korce +2
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vora)
Vora -1
13.3%
Draw -1
18.3%
Skenderbeu Korce +1
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vora)
Vora +1
61.7%
Draw +1
20.7%
Skenderbeu Korce -1
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vora)
Vora +2
82.4%
Draw +2
11.5%
Skenderbeu Korce -2
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VoraVora

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D00D20W10W02L11D10W00DA·TIR22/03H·TEU05/04A·FLA11/04H·VLL18/04A·EGN26/04H·AF 02/05A·DIN06/05H·BYL10/05A·DIN23/08H·EGN31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.370.470.200.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.370.470.200.670.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D20W10W00D00D00DA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.800.330.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.220.330.250.000.200.60
vs Weaker (21)0.860.431.000.450.700.40
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vora over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VoraVora

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D00D00D00D32W20W41W00D13LA·TIR22/03H·TEU05/04A·FLA11/04H·VLL18/04A·EGN26/04H·AF 02/05A·DIN06/05H·BYL10/05A·DIN23/08H·EGN31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.870.870.270.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.770.870.870.270.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W10W20W01L01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.000.601.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.890.251.001.400.80
vs Weaker (21)1.100.331.270.450.900.20
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vora) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vora over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vora over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%-------
Under 5.596.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.9%-------
Under 4.590.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals89.3%-------
Away +2 handicap86.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.3%-------
Home +2 handicap82.4%-------
Under 3.577.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals72.1%-------
Over 1.570.8%-------

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Vora and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Vora and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Vora and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Vora and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VOR wins
0
Draws
0
SK wins

Head-to-head

Vora vs Skenderbeu Korce · H/A from VOR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VoraVora

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HVOR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-3
23/08/26ADinamo Tirana Vs VOR0-1
10/05/26HVOR Vs Bylis5-2
06/05/26ADinamo Tirana Vs VOR2-2
02/05/26HVOR Vs AF Elbasani4-2
26/04/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs VOR0-2
18/04/26HVOR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0
11/04/26AFlamurtari Vs VOR1-1
05/04/26HVOR Vs Teuta Durrës1-0
22/03/26ATirana Vs VOR3-0

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HSK Vs Dinamo Tirana0-1
21/08/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs SK2-2
04/05/26HSK Vs Laci0-1
25/04/26APogradeci Vs SK1-1
19/04/26HSK Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-0
11/04/26ABurreli Vs SK0-1
04/04/26HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-0
22/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs SK0-1
18/03/26HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
14/03/26AApolonia Fier Vs SK0-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Vora
Vora
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.40
HomeWDWWL1.58
AwayLDWDW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals2.182.461.88
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %30%35%25%
Over 3.5 %18%31%4%
Scored1.181.500.83
Conceded1.000.961.04
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL2.00
HomeDWWLL2.04
AwayWWWDD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.382.642.12
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.541.721.36
Conceded0.840.920.76
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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